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Ticks and axes will break my bones

My local bank manager recommended an actively managed fund. The fund had a compelling world view strategy.  I won’t bore you with its name.

I took its results and compared them with a simple Vanguard index ETF — VTI.

VanguardVTI

I did a little calculation. If I started five years ago with the manager at $1 million and grew it at 9.90% over five years, today I’d have $1,603,202.80.

If I started five years ago with VTI at $1 million and grew it at 14.55% over years, today I’d have $1,972,311.32.

That’s 23.02% more with VTI.

Every study in recent years has concluded that most professional money managers don’t beat the S&P 500.

And, in fact, investors have been fleeing professional money managers.

More on hearing aids

I have light to moderate hearing loss. I can watch TV perfectly with these Sennheiser wireless headphones.

sennheiserwireless

See right hand column for more on the wonderful Sennheisers.

I’m not doing so good at movies nor theaters — with or without the miserable, cheap hearing devices they provide.

Hence, I’m still on my quest for decent hearing aids. A dear friend tried two sets of $6,000 a pair hearing aids and then settled on two $400 hearing aids from:

MDHearingAid

He raves about them. Before I buy a pair, I’m curious: Has anyone else tried these?

Don’t Do Stupid (Cont’d)

The worst Don’t Do Stupids are when you try something you’ve never done before.

It needs to be done. It looks easy. And it is easy — if you know what you’re doing.

But only IF you know what you’re doing and have done it before.

A dear friend helped fell a tree. The tree fell on him. He became a paraplegic and died at an early age.

Chain saws and axes are dangerous. But so are cars — now that everyone is texting and driving.

Axes are big. Ticks are small, but hugely dangerous also. I know people who’ve had Lyme Disease for 20 and 30 years. It’s a miserable disease. Often impossible to fully cure. Yesterday’s New York Times had a piece:

Ticks’ Numbers and Territory Grow

SOUTHAMPTON, N.Y. – This town is under siege from tiny invaders.

A doctor at Southampton Hospital recently pulled a tick off a woman’s eyeball. After a 10-minute walk outside, a mother reported finding a tick affixed to her 7-year-old daughter’s buttocks.

Another mother called the hospital in a “hysterical state,” according to the nurse who answered, because a tick had attached itself to her son’s penis.

Like many towns across the country, Southampton is seeing a tick population that is growing both in numbers and variety – at a time when ticks are emerging as a significant public health danger.

“Tick-borne diseases are a very serious problem, and they’re on the rise,” said Rebecca Eisen, a research biologist at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

“Even though you may live in an area where you didn’t have ticks in the past or your parents don’t remember having ticks, the distribution is changing,” she added. “More and more people are at risk.”

With the expansion of the suburbs and a push to conserve wooded areas, deer and mice populations are thriving. They provide ample blood meals for ticks and help spread the pests to new regions.

Originally from the Southeast, the lone star tick, for example, is heading north; it can now be found in 1,300 counties in 39 states. The blacklegged tick, also called the deer tick, is expanding its territory, too. In a recent study, Dr. Eisen reported a nearly 45 percent increase since 1998 in the number of counties with blacklegged ticks.

Thomas Mather, director of the University of Rhode Island’s TickEncounter Resource Center, said it used to get reports of three or four lone star ticks in the greater Chicago area each year. Now, it is receiving up to 15.

When a tick species marches into a new region, it poses a double-barreled threat, said Jerome Goddard, extension professor of medical and veterinary entomology at Mississippi State University.

First, the species brings diseases from its original location. Second, the ticks pick up new pathogens from animals in their new ecosystem.

Physicians and patients in a tick’s new home may be less familiar with the diseases it carries. They can overlook symptoms or attribute them to a different cause, delaying effective treatment.

The best known threat is Lyme disease. Cases in the United States increased from about 12,000 annually in 1995 to nearly 40,000 in 2015. Experts say the real number of infections is likely closer to 300,000.

But scientists are finding ticks carry more than just Lyme: At least a third of known tick-borne pathogens were found in the last 20 years. Heartland virus and Bourbon virus, which can prove fatal, were discovered in just the last five years.

Powassan virus, a rare but dangerous pathogen that can cause permanent brain damage or death, can be passed from tick to human in just 15 minutes. It was discovered in 1958, and an average of seven cases are reported each year. Earlier this month, a resident of Saratoga County, N.Y., who had Powassan disease died.

Dr. Gary Wormser, founder of the Lyme Disease Diagnostic Center at New York Medical College, said the most worrisome tick-borne contagion he sees is babesiosis, which can cause malaria-like symptoms and require hospitalization. A few of his patients have died from it; several required intensive care.

Before 2001, babesiosis was not found in Westchester, N.Y. But Westchester Medical Center has diagnosed at least 21 cases in the past year. A study of babesiosis in Wisconsin found a 26-fold increase in the number of cases between 2001 to 2003, and 2012 to 2015.

In places where the lone star tick is gaining prevalence, doctors also are seeing an increase in cases of alpha-gal syndrome, a strange allergy to red meat induced by tick bites.

Alpha-gal is a sugar molecule carried by the lone star tick. When the tick bites a human, it activates the immune system, which starts producing alpha-gal antibodies.

The body becomes wired to fight alpha-gal sugar molecules, which are abundant in red meat. Eating meat can trigger allergic reactions, from an itchy rash to anaphylactic shock.

Dr. Erin McGintee, an allergist and immunologist at ENT and Allergy Associates in Southampton, sees two to three cases of alpha-gal syndrome per week during tick season. Since diagnosing her first case in October 2010, she has seen more than 380 patients.

“The cases are definitely increasing over time,” she said.

That is no surprise to Karen Wulffraat, administrative director of Southampton Hospital’s Tick-Borne Disease Resource Center.

“The calls about lone star tick bites are increasing in number, even overtaking the blacklegged tick,” which is native to the Northeast, she said.

Cathy Ward and her husband bought a summer home in Southampton in 1984, and moved there permanently eight years ago.

Ms. Ward remembers taking her son Bill to the nearby wildlife refuge as a child, where he would fill his hands with birdseed and stand with his arms outstretched until birds came and perched on them.

Now when Bill Ward visits with his young daughter, Taylor, his mother tells them the refuge is off limits – it is a breeding ground for ticks.

“It wasn’t a concern when Bill was young,” Ms. Ward said. “Now you have to protect yourself all the time. You don’t know where you’re going to pick up a tick.”

She will not garden in the yard anymore, and has it sprayed for ticks annually. Despite that, her granddaughter got a tick while visiting during the Fourth of July weekend. The family found it before it had bitten her, but it was a shock nonetheless.

“It’s scary, because we don’t know which diseases they carry,” said Mr. Ward.

Brian Kelly, owner of East End Tick and Mosquito Control, has noticed the change, too. His company now sprays people’s lawns instead of just their bushes because lone star ticks are more aggressive than the native blacklegged ticks, and tend to venture further from the woods.

“People can walk across their lawn barefoot to get the newspaper and get a tick,” he said.

As human exposure to ticks continues to increase, it’s likely that even the rarest infections they carry will become more common, Dr. Goddard said.

“This really has a human toll that a lot of people don’t recognize,” he said.

You can read the full piece and see the gruesome photos. Click here.

Check. Check. Check. That’s my lifelong motto.

+ Check that your idiot iPhone sent out your emails. Often they get “stuck” in its outbox.

+ Check that your idiot iPhone’s ringer isn’t turned off from the last time you were in a meeting, a movie or whatever.

+ Check that you don’t have credit cards you’re not using, but are paying an annual fee on.

+ Check that you have your home/office landline simultaneously ring your cell phone. You can do this easily with Verizon FiOS.

What I found in a ritzy supermarket

DogFood2

And the ridiculous price?

DogFood1

Meantime, the local gas station in Chatham, New York, tells me has has many customers who buy three packs of cigarettes a day — one for the father, one for the mother and one for the kid. At $10 a pack, that’s $35 a day, or $750 a month. He tells me “these are not rich people. Often they buy four packs.” He comments, “What they spend of cigarettes each month would rent a much nicer place to live than where they currently live.”

Whatever went on with Russia?

Where there’s smoke, there’s fire.

Right now there’s an awful lot of smoke. Trump is attacking Sessions, warming up to fire him, then to fire Rosenstein, then Mueller. These firings will be designed to kill Mueller’s Russia probe. But why the frenetic urgency? There’s got to be something going on we don’t know. Should we guess?

Putin is the world”s richest man. There are people in Russia that would like to see him gone. Putin has made plenty of enemies. To provide for his next life in the west, Putin needs money. Oodles of it. Money outside Russia. Putin has systematically looted the Russian Treasury in his 17 years in power. I’m guessing Trump has personally helped with the laundering thereby breaking a myriad of American laws. Putin has probably protected his tushy with all sorts of incriminating material on Donald — including the infamous sex tapes. But undoubtedly a lot more. Back when I ran a telecommunications publishing “empire,” I was also involved with the Russians. They wanted information on how American submarines deep beneath the ocean communicated with their bases back home.  It’s really neat technology. I brought the FBI in from Day one. And I met with the Russians many times over several months. I got a good feeling for just how nasty Russia’s KGB’s could be and was. Remember that’s who trained Vladimir Putin.

There’s a really good book on all this:

CommanderinChief

It’s fiction. It was published a long time ago —  in 2016. But it sure reads like today. Pick it up from Amazon for your weekend reading. Click here.

HarryNewton
Harry Newton, who’s just learned a new term “a double hater.” They were the people who hated both Donald and Hillary in the last election. By some twist of fate they determined the outcome. I think it’s time for some of them to contact their Senators and Congresspeople and to say we really don’t want 32 million to lose their health care. If I were Mr. Trump, I’d announce Medicare for everyone who’s 50 and older. It’s now only for 65 and older. Then I’d start angling to get Medicare for everyone — like all civilized countries do. UNH is still a buy. If GOOGL gets any cheaper, buy it. I’m off to play tennis. It’s a glorious day in midstate New York.