Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Technology Investor. Harry Newton
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9:00
AM EST, Friday,
June 26, 2009. Big 2% rally yesterday. I have no idea
why. Interesting to see the moves of the Dow 30 members. Some serious moves
here.

Chart courtesy Bloomberg.
So
how does this rally compare with the 1930s? From
Chart of the Day.
Many investors
continue to look to the early 1930s for some insight into the current economic/stock
market environment. While there are significant differences (global economy,
credit default swaps, TARP, FDIC, etc.) between the current environment and
that what occurred in the early 1930s, there are also many similarities (bank
failures, bankruptcies, severe market declines, etc.). For some perspective
on the current stock market rally that began on March 9th, today's chart illustrates
duration (calendar days) and magnitude (percent gain) of all significant Dow
rallies that occurred during the 1929-1932 bear market (solid blue dots).
For example, the bear market rally that began in November 1929 lasted 155
calendar days and resulted in a gain of 48%. As today's chart illustrates,
the current Dow rally (hollow blue dot labeled you are here) is above average
in both duration and magnitude relative to the average 1929-1932 bear market
rally (hollow red dot). Compared to the current rally, only one 1929-1932
bear market rally was greater in both magnitude and duration and that was
the first 1929-1932 bear market rally that began in November 1929.

The
Great American Bubble Machine: This long 12-page
piece in the present issue of Rolling Stone by a really good financial
writer, Matt Taibbi, is causing consternation (for Goldman Sachs) and great
mirth (for others) on Wall Street.

The piece concludes:
It's not always
easy to accept the reality of what we routinely allow these people to get
away with; there's a kind of collective denial that kicks in when a country
goes through what America has gone through lately, when a people lose as much
prestige and status as we have in the past few years. You can't really register
the fact that you're no longer a citizen of a thriving first-world democracy;
that you're no longer above getting robbed in broad daylight, because like
an amputee, you can still sort of feel things that are no longer there.
But this is
it. This is the world we live in now. And in this world, some of us have to
play by the rules, while others get a note from the principal excusing them
from homework till the end of time, plus 10 billion free dollars in a paper
bag to buy lunch. It's a gangster state, running on gangster economics, and
ever prices can't be trusted anymore; there are hidden taxes in every buck
you pay. And maybe we can't stop it, but we should at least know where it's
all going.
You can read the
entire piece. Click here.
Finally
an industry that can't be outsourced to China. West
33rd Street in Manhattan is the capital of this apparently thriving domestic
industry.



It's
graduation time in the town: They came to town
last night to celebrate. It was charming. Life moves on.

Proud father and
son.

He's now off to
John Jay College to study computer science. His
graduation presents -- one each hand:

The family was
proudly wearing buttons.

Wimbledon
2009 Tennis TV Schedule. Everything is live,
except on The Tennis Channel, which shows repeats. I think I finally got it
right.
Friday,
June 26 |
.
|
.
|
7:00
AM to 5:00 PM
|
Early
rounds
|
ESPN2
|
7:00
PM on
|
Early
rounds
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
Saturday,
June 27 |
.
|
.
|
8:00
AM to 3:00 PM
|
Early
rounds
|
ESPN2
|
3:00
PM to 6:00 PM
|
Early
rounds
|
NBC
|
7:00
PM on
|
Early
rounds
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
11:00
PM on
|
Early
rounds
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
Sunday,
June 28 |
.
|
.
|
No
live play, shucks
|
--
|
--
|
7:00
PM on
|
Early
rounds
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
11:00
PM on
|
Early
rounds
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
Monday,
June 29 |
.
|
.
|
7:00
AM to 10:00 AM
|
Early
rounds
|
ESPN2
|
10:00
AM to 1:00 PM
|
Early
rounds
|
NBC
|
1:00
PM to 7:00 PM
|
Early
rounds
|
ESPN2
|
7:00
PM on
|
Early
rounds
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
Tuesday,
June 30 |
.
|
.
|
12:00
AM
|
Early
rounds
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
7:00
AM to 10:00 AM
|
Quarterfinals
|
ESPN2
|
10:00
AM to 1:00 PM
|
Quarterfinals
|
NBC
|
1:00
PM to 5:00 PM
|
Quarterfinals
|
ESPN
|
7:00
PM on
|
Quarterfinals
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
Wednesday,
July 1 |
.
|
.
|
12:00
AM
|
Quarterfinals
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
7:00
AM to 10:00 AM
|
Quarterfinals
|
ESPN2
|
10:00
AM to 1:00 PM
|
Quarterfinals
|
NBC
|
1:00
PM to 5:00 PM
|
Quarterfinals
|
ESPN2
|
7:00
AM on
|
Quarterfinals
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
Thursday,
July 2 |
.
|
.
|
7:00
AM to 12:00 PM
|
Women's
Semifinals
|
ESPN2
|
12:00
to 5:00 PM
|
Women's
Semifinals
|
NBC
|
12:00
AM
|
Women's
Semifinals
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
Friday,
July 3 |
.
|
.
|
7:00
AM to 12:00 PM
|
Men's
Semifinals
|
ESPN2
|
12:00
PM to 5:00 PM
|
Men's
Semifinals
|
NBC
|
12:00
AM on
|
Men's
Semifinals
|
The
Tennis Channel
|
Saturday,
July 4 |
.
|
.
|
9:00
AM to 2:00 PM
|
Women's
Final
|
NBC
|
Sunday,
July 5 |
.
|
.
|
9:00
AM - 3:00 PM
|
Men's
Final
|
NBC
|
Proud
Mothers.
Three
mothers are sitting on a park bench in Miami Beach talking about (what else?)
how much their sons love them.
Sadie says, "You know the Chagall painting hanging in my living room? My
son, Arnold, bought that for me for my 75th birthday. What a good boy he is,
and how much he loves his mother."
Minnie
says, "You call that love? You know the Eldorado Cadillac I just got for
Mother's Day? That's from my son Bernie. What a doll."
Shirley
says, "That's nothing. You know my son Stanley? He's in analysis with a
psychoanalyst on Park Avenue, no less. Five sessions a week- $200 an hour, and
what does he talk about?
Me!"

This column is about my personal search for the perfect
investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have to be registered
with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter and an investor.
I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available for three
reasons: Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second, the column
is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the Perfect
Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their ideas,
concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email address
is . You can't
click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects me from software
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here and here.
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