Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Technology Investor. Harry Newton
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9:00
AM EDT, Wednesday, September 16, 2009: Nice continuing rise in equities.
See yesterday's column for why. Check.
Check. Check. I ran the same chart twice yesterday (or tried to). To repeat, there
are two easy ways to invest in gold (both of which rose yesterday):
There is a fund
which invests primarily in companies engaged in exploration, mining, processing,
or dealing in gold, or to a lesser degree in silver, platinum, diamonds, or
other precious metals and minerals. Its top three holdings are Barrick Gold,
Goldcorp and Newmont Mining.. The theory is that mining companies benefit more
from gold's rise in price. Assume it costs them $600 a produce an ounce of gold
and gold is $800. They make $200. If gold goes to $,1000. They make $400 --
twice as much. But gold has gone up only 25%. Sometimes this maths works.
Gold
is seriously hot.
Today's email from my friend, the European currency and coin dealer, Bruce Tupholme
Hi Harry,
Interesting times ! We are seeing a lot of movement into collectible and investment
currency and coins especially our Mandela higher graded coins and a flight
out of Dollars, Almost mass panic selling of the Do9llar at the moment .
There's been
a 35% increase so far this year in prices and about a 200 % in volume. In
the high grade values , Proofs 65 and up and in Mint States MS 65 and up there
is substantial demand with record prices being reached , we understand investors
are more comfortable holding hard assets like coins and investment notes than
actual cash Dollar or other currency balances and there is a persistent daily
move out of the latter into hard assets .
His web site is
CollectorsCurrency.com.
I asked him what happens if I want to sell my coins to buy groceries? His answer:
"Bring them back to a coin dealer like me and we will cash them in."
For the record,
I don't own physical gold coins. I do have some Australian currency in a bank
there. And I do own EWZ, which keeps rising. I like Brazil:
You
can avoid getting sick. Wash your hands. Use
sanitizer. Don't touch your eyes. Stay away from your sick friends.
Don't believe me? Read yesterday's New York Times piece by their excellent
health reporter, Tara Parker-Pope.
With Soap
and Water or Sanitizer, a Cleaning That Can Stave Off the Flu
It sounds so
simple as to be innocuous, a throwaway line in public-health warnings about
swine
flu. But one of the most powerful weapons against the new H1N1 virus
is summed up in a three-word phrase you first heard from your mother: wash
your hands.
A host of recent
studies have highlighted the importance and the scientific underpinning of
this most basic hygiene measure. One of the most graphic was done at the University
of California, Berkeley, where researchers focused video cameras on
10 college students as they read and typed on their laptops.
The scientists
counted the times the students touched their faces, documenting every lip
scratch, eye rub and nose pick. On average, the students touched their eyes,
noses and lips 47 times during a three-hour period, once every four minutes.
Hand-to-face
contact has a surprising impact on health. Germs can enter the body through
breaks in the skin or through the membranes of the eyes, mouth and nose.
The eyes appear
to be a particularly vulnerable port of entry for viral infections, said Mark
Nicas, a professor of environmental health sciences at Berkeley. Using mathematical
models, Dr. Nicas and colleagues estimated that in homes, schools and dorms,
hand-to-face contact appears to account for about one-third of the risk of
flu infection, according to a report this month in the journal Risk Analysis.
In one study
of four residence halls at the University
of Colorado, two of the dorms had hand sanitizer dispensers installed
in every dorm room, bathroom and dining area, and students were given educational
materials about the importance of hand hygiene. The remaining two dorms were
used as controls, and researchers simply monitored illness rates.
During the eight-week
study period, students in the dorms with ready access to hand sanitizers had
a third fewer complaints of coughs, chest congestion and fever. Over all,
the risk of getting sick was 20 percent lower in the dorms where hand hygiene
was emphasized, and those students missed 43 percent fewer days of school.
Young children
benefit, too. In a study of 6,000 elementary school students in California,
Delaware, Ohio and Tennessee, students in classrooms with hand sanitizers
had 20 percent fewer absences due to illness. Teacher absenteeism in those
schools dropped 10 percent.
Better hand
hygiene also appears to make a difference in the home, lowering the risk to
other family members when one child is sick. Harvard researchers studied nearly
300 families who had children 5 or younger in day care. Half the families
were given a supply of hand sanitizer and educational materials; the other
half were left to practice their normal hand washing habits.
In homes with
hand sanitizers, the risk of catching a gastrointestinal illness from a sick
child dropped 60 percent compared with the control families. The two groups
did not differ in rates of respiratory illness rates, but families with the
highest rates of sanitizer use had a 20 percent lower risk of catching such
an illness from a sick child.
Regular soap
and water and alcohol-based hand sanitizers are both effective in eliminating
the H1N1 virus from the hands. In February, researchers in Australia coated
the hands of 20 volunteers with copious amounts of a seasonal H1N1 flu virus.
The concentration of virus was equivalent to the amount that would occur when
an infected person used a hand to wipe a
runny nose.
When the subjects
did not wash their hands, large amounts of live virus remained even after
an hour, said the lead author, Dr. M. Lindsay Grayson, a professor of medicine
at the University of Melbourne. But using soap and water or a sanitizer virtually
eliminated the presence of the virus.
Frequent hand
washing will not eliminate risk. When an infected person coughs or sneezes,
a bystander might be splattered by large droplets or may inhale airborne particles.
In a recent Harvard study of hand sanitizer use in schools, hand hygiene practices
lowered risk for gastrointestinal illness but not upper respiratory infections.
Still, it is
a good idea to wash your hands regularly even if youre not in contact
people who are obviously ill. In a troubling finding, a recent study of 404
British commuters found that 28 percent had fecal bacteria on their hands.
In one city, 57 percent of the men sampled had contaminated hands, according
to the study, which was published this month in the journal Epidemiology and
Infection.
We were
surprised by the high level of contamination, said Gaby Judah, a researcher
at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Ms. Judah added that
many of the contaminated commuters reported that they had washed their hands
that morning. They may have been embarrassed to admit they hadnt washed,
or they may have picked up the bacteria on their hands during their commute.
For all those
reasons,
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, with other health
organizations around the world, urge frequent hand washing with soap and water
or alcohol-based hand sanitizers. (They also repeat some advice you may not
have heard from your mother: cough or sneeze into the crook of your elbow,
not your bare hands.)
And as hospitals
put stricter hand hygiene programs in place, absentee rates during cold and
flu season also drop.
Statistically,
you cant determine a causal relationship, but its very suggestive,
said Dr. Neil O. Fishman, infectious disease specialist at the University
of Pennsylvania. Our vaccination rates remained relatively stable,
so what else changed? The only thing different was that hand hygiene rates
increased.
How
to connect your HD TV? You have three choices:
1.
Component TV cables, which come free with your cable or satellite box.
2.
A cheap HDMI cable, which costs $7 or so for six feet, bought online.
3.
Expensive HDMI cable, which costs $50 or so for six feet and is typically sold
by Best Buy when you buy a new TV.
Here is my learned
opinion: It makes no difference. I defy anyone between 40 and death to find
a difference in picture or sound quality.
My
Republican friends don't like Obamacare. They send me these boring
clichés.
It's long been
said that there are three great lies:
"The
check is in the mail."
"I'll respect you in the morning."
"I'm from the government, and I'm here to help you."
I
like old people jokes. Maybe there's a reason?
Just before the
funeral services, the undertaker came up to the very elderly widow and asked,
"How old
was your husband?"
"98,"
she replied.
"Two years
older than me"
"So you're 96," the undertaker commented.
She responded, "Hardly worth going home, is it?
This column is about my personal search
for the perfect investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have
to be registered with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter
and an investor. I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available
for three reasons: Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second,
the column is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the
Perfect Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their
ideas, concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email
address is .
You can't click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects
me from software scanning the Internet for email addresses to spam. I have no
role in choosing the Google ads on this site. Thus I cannot endorse, though
some look interesting. If you click on a link, Google may send me money. Please
note I'm not suggesting you do. That money, if there is any, may help pay Michael's
business school tuition. Read more about Google AdSense, click
here and here.
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