{"id":10211,"date":"2011-11-21T09:02:13","date_gmt":"2011-11-21T14:02:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=10211"},"modified":"2011-11-21T10:44:32","modified_gmt":"2011-11-21T15:44:32","slug":"more-turmoil-what-joy-but-a-couple-of-tax-free-bond-funds-have-appeal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=10211","title":{"rendered":"More turmoil. What joy. But a couple of tax-free bond funds have appeal."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">As this mess goes on, we shatter myths. The latest to go: the theory of non-correlated asset classes.\u00a0 Gold is going down with equities. Most asset classes move together these days. Not good to own equities today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But I correct myself. Bonds aren&#8217;t cratering. They&#8217;re holding up nicely.\u00a0 See below for two recommendations.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">For a taste of the turmoi, some headlines from today&#8217;s wall Street Journal:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ An agreement on U.S. budget cuts looks increasingly unlikely, a situation that could mean more turmoil for markets.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Germany&#8217;s central bank sharply lowered its growth forecast for the German economy in 2012, repeating its warning that the country could hit a &#8220;pronounced&#8221; weak patch if the euro zone&#8217;s debt crisis worsens.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ European stock markets slumped Monday (today), hit by the combined fears over ongoing euro-zone debt worries and a rift between members of the U.S super committee.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Spanish bond yields rose sharply as the markets ignored the opposition party&#8217;s sweeping victory in Sunday&#8217;s Spanish general election and focused on the economic problems the country faces.<\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong> VWAHX is a seriously good idea. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">This high yield muni bond\u00a0 fund is yielding 4.25% federal tax-free. Which means it&#8217;s equivalent to about 6.54% pre-tax. But the fund has also been appreciating so you get\u00a0 higher returns. According to Vanguard&#8217;s chart below, the returns since inception have been 6.86% a year, which is equivalent to 10.6% federal tax-free. That&#8217;s very good.\u00a0 Much better than equities have performed in the past ten years. <\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\">Facts from Vanguard, which runs the fund:<\/div>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">This low-cost municipal bond fund seeks to provide a high level of <strong>federally tax- exempt income <\/strong>and typically appeals to investors in higher tax brackets. The fund\u2019s lower credit quality may provide a higher yield, but it makes the fund more susceptible to price volatility due to uncertain prospects for the bond issuers. Investors who are looking for a fund that may provide sustainable federal tax-exempt interest income and can tolerate moderate risk to principal may wish to consider this fund as a complement to an already diversified fixed income portfolio.<\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VWAHXChart2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10226\" title=\"VWAHXChart2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VWAHXChart2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"407\" height=\"215\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VWAHXChart2.jpg 407w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VWAHXChart2-300x158.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 407px) 100vw, 407px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/div>\n<p>The fund\u00a0<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"> has 768 bonds with an average duration of 8.5 years. I don&#8217;t believe there&#8217;s any significant risk in this fund. It has so many bonds that one or two going broke would not affect performance.\u00a0 You can only buy the fund if you have an account at Vanguard.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\">\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Here&#8217;s a short-term muni box fund, also a good idea. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">It&#8217;s called the<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"> <\/span>Vanguard Limited-Term Tax-Exempt Fund Admiral Shares (VMLUX).\u00a0 It has 1579 bonds with an average maturity of 2.8 years.<\/p>\n<p>Vanguard describes it:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">This  low-cost municipal bond fund seeks to provide income exempt from  federal taxes and typically appeals to investors in higher tax brackets.  The fund holds high-quality short-term municipal bonds with an average  duration of approximately 2 years, a bit longer than the Short-Term  Tax-Exempt Fund. Risks of the fund include the fact that changes in  interest rates, both up and down, can affect the fund by resulting in  lower bond prices or an eventual decrease in income for the fund.  Investors who are looking for a modest level of federal tax-exempt  interest income and can tolerate some income and share price risk may  wish to consider this fund.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VMLUXChart2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10239\" title=\"VMLUXChart2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VMLUXChart2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"411\" height=\"224\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VMLUXChart2.jpg 411w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VMLUXChart2-300x163.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 411px) 100vw, 411px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VMLUXChart1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10240\" title=\"VMLUXChart1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VMLUXChart1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"375\" height=\"304\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VMLUXChart1.jpg 375w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/VMLUXChart1-300x243.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 375px) 100vw, 375px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>There also a New York State fund which is exempt from Federal and States taxes. Click <a href=\"https:\/\/personal.vanguard.com\/us\/funds\/snapshot?FundId=0076&amp;FundIntExt=INT\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Treasury  Admits\u00a0 Taxpayer Losses On GM Bailout Are Going to  be Massive. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">From <\/span><\/span>Reason Magazine.<\/div>\n<div id=\"article\">\n<div>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">The Treasury Department yesterday <a title=\"http:\/\/www.detnews.com\/article\/20111114\/AUTO01\/111140434\/1361\/U.S.-boosts-estimate-of-auto-bailout-losses-to-$23.6B\" href=\"http:\/\/www.detnews.com\/article\/20111114\/AUTO01\/111140434\/1361\/U.S.-boosts-estimate-of-auto-bailout-losses-to-$23.6B\">revised<\/a> its loss estimate for the Government Motors bailout from $14.33 billion to $23.6  billion, thanks to the company\u2019s sinking stock price. GM\u2019s Sept. 30 closing  price, on which the new estimate is based, was $20.18, about $13 less than its  December IPO price and $35 less than what is needed for taxpayers to break  even. (It closed on Friday at $21.68.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">The $23.6 billion represents a 25 percent loss on the feds $60 billion direct  \u201cinvestment\u201d in GM. But that\u2019s not all that taxpayers are on the hook for. Uncle Sam\u2019s special GM bankruptcy package allowed the company to write off $45  billion in previous losses going forward. This could work out to as much as $15  billion in tax savings that GM wouldn\u2019t have had had it gone through a normal  bankruptcy. Why? Because after bankruptcy, the tax liabilities of companies  increase since they have no more losses to write off.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">This means that the total hit to taxpayers, who still own about a quarter of  the company, could add up to $38.6 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Why the Treasury didn&#8217;t sell the bulk of its shares at the IPO beats me.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Favorite recent newspaper headline.<\/strong><\/span> From the New York Times of October 10, 2011:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/DealIsnear.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10221\" title=\"DealIsnear\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/DealIsnear.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"359\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/DealIsnear.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/DealIsnear-300x179.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The deal is near. Ha. Ha.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The camera that will change photography &#8212; forever.<\/strong><\/span> Maybe. It&#8217;s called the Lytro Light Field camera. It has an 11 megaray sensor (all other cameras have only one),\u00a0 that captures photos that can be refocused after shooting. I have not played with it. Read about the novel camera\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dpreview.com\/news\/2011\/10\/19\/lytrooverview?utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=generic\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Fujifilm X10 is getting a lot of attention, also. The X10 combines a  bright 4x stabilized zoom lens with extensive direct control  and the  attractive rangefinder-esque styling of its big brother, the X100. It  fits into the same category as my beloved Canon G10 &#8212; what they&#8217;re  calling the enthusiast&#8217;s camera with oodles of manual controls. I have  not played with it, either. I can&#8217;t keep up. New digital cameras are  coming out too quickly. Click <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dpreview.com\/news\/2011\/10\/29\/fujifilmx10preview?utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=generic\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\ufeff\ufeff<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Lessons from my experience with charities.<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nYou have to pick them, carefully. You have to know them, well. The world is full of needy causes. You can&#8217;t solve all of them. Even Bill Gates found he can&#8217;t cure all the diseases he&#8217;d like to.<\/p>\n<p>When I sold the business, I gave big money to a charity devoted to helping ex-convicts achieve a normal life. I&#8217;d fund a networking lab &#8212; computers, routers, WiFi, desks, chairs, etc. The ex-cons would learn how to troubleshoot and fix. New York&#8217;s financial firms were desperate for these skills. A good job would keep them out of jail the second time (a huge problem). The first equipment bill I got was three times the price anyone would buy the same equipment online at Dell. Why so expensive? Their consultant had chosen the vendor.<\/p>\n<p>The people who run non-profits have their own agenda (and their own pricey, friendly consultants). Sometimes their agenda focuses on whom they&#8217;re meant to be helping. Often it&#8217;s their own careers.<\/p>\n<p>Charities need as much due diligence as investing in companies. The best charity is one you started yourself and control. You know where the money is going and can see, first hand, if your money is doing any good.<\/p>\n<p>Years later I&#8217;ve found a few charities that do good work cheaply &#8212; meaning most of my money goes to help people. But it&#8217;s been hard work finding them. I have to be ultra-wary of the superb direct mail marketing skills charities have developed and the tendency to use all my money on their &#8220;administrative&#8221; expenses.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The most expensive bicycle in the world. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Only $500,000. <\/span><\/span>This is a Trek Madone made for the return of Lance Armstrong, designed by <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Damien_Hirst\" target=\"_blank\">Damien Hirst<\/a>, an English Artist, who ringed the entire bike with (of all things) butterflies.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/trek-butterfly-300x235.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10217\" title=\"trek-butterfly-300x235\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/trek-butterfly-300x235.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"235\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Buy me me one, please. Click <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The awesome benefits of Apple iPhone 4S Siri.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/SiriArgument.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10219\" title=\"SiriArgument\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/SiriArgument.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"234\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/SiriArgument.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/SiriArgument-300x156.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">To watch this wonderful video, click<\/span><strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Jz8NFEFVGTg&amp;feature=youtube_gdata_player\" target=\"_blank\">here.<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who cautions: Before you go on a trip, empty your wallet of stuff you won&#8217;t need. Photocopy everything you&#8217;re taking. Use a color copier or scanner.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Son Michael with baby, not his.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/MichaelWithBaby.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10223\" title=\"MichaelWithBaby\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/MichaelWithBaby.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"276\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/MichaelWithBaby.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/MichaelWithBaby-300x184.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As this mess goes on, we shatter myths. The latest to go: the theory of non-correlated asset classes.\u00a0 Gold is going down with equities. Most asset classes move together these days. Not good to own equities today. But I correct myself. Bonds aren&#8217;t cratering. They&#8217;re holding up nicely.\u00a0 See below for two recommendations. For a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10211","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10211"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10211\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10211"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10211"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10211"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}