{"id":10559,"date":"2011-12-12T09:03:38","date_gmt":"2011-12-12T14:03:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=10559"},"modified":"2011-12-12T09:13:46","modified_gmt":"2011-12-12T14:13:46","slug":"europe-dominates-as-usual-the-soverign-bond-crisis-and-its-huge-impact-on-banks-and-investors-and-the-austerity-programs-will-slow-world-growth-will-industrious-german-taxpayers-bail-out-the-indole","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=10559","title":{"rendered":"Europe dominates as usual. The soverign bond crisis will have a huge impact on banks and investors. The austerity programs will slow world growth. Will industrious German taxpayers bail out Europe&#8217;s indolents? Would you?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Stocking stuffers for the kids (revised). <\/strong><\/span>Here&#8217;s a list of companies which make things kids can relate to. Buy them one or several shares of<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Activision (ATVI)<br \/>\nAmazon (AMZN)<br \/>\nApple (AAPL),<br \/>\nDisney (DIS)<br \/>\nElectronic Arts (ERTS),<br \/>\nGlu Mobile (GLUU)<br \/>\nGoogle (GOOG)<br \/>\nIntel (INTC),<br \/>\nMicrosoft (MSFT) &#8212; for the Xbox,<br \/>\nNew York Times (NYT)<br \/>\nNike (NKE)<br \/>\nNintendo (NTDOY)<br \/>\nZynga (when it comes public later this week)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Some companies will die.\u00a0 Some will boom. Discussing what happened and why each Christmas will be a great, continuing lesson in investing. I wish my father had done that for me.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Shorting Dell and Blackberry (RIMM). <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">I&#8217;ve pushed shorting Resarch in Motion several times. It keeps falling. and falling. Management is way out touch with the reality of competition from Apple and the android (Google) devices.<\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RIMMShort.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10571\" title=\"RIMMShort\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RIMMShort.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"649\" height=\"282\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RIMMShort.jpg 649w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RIMMShort-300x130.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 649px) 100vw, 649px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Dell hasn&#8217;t introduced an exciting product in eons &#8212; if ever. Its business model &#8212; in time manufacturing &#8212; cheaper and &#8220;custom&#8221; doesn&#8217;t work any longer. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">This is what you get when you visit Dell&#8217;s home page. Gives excitement a whole new meaning? Nobody&#8217;s buying laptops today.\u00a0 Everyone is buying an iPad. You see anything here you want for Christmas? Me neither.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellFrontPage.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10573\" title=\"DellFrontPage\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellFrontPage.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"416\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellFrontPage.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellFrontPage-300x166.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellFrontPage.jpg\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"> <\/span><strong> <\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This is Dell from the beginning of this year. It&#8217;s going lower.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellShortAgain.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10574\" title=\"DellShortAgain\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellShortAgain.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"634\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellShortAgain.jpg 634w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/DellShortAgain-300x118.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 634px) 100vw, 634px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Your money at risk. s old dangerous ways.<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\"> As you  know, my number one obsession is capital preservation. And my number two  obsession is beware of\u00a0 Wall Street. It hasn&#8217;t changed. And with the  Justice Department ignoring Wall street fraud from the sub-prime mortgage mess  and the Republicans stymieing appointment of a head of the Consumer  Finance Protection Agency,\u00a0 it&#8217;s likely Wall Street will continue their old dangerous ways. Weekend reading only added to my fears:<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">+ BusinessWeek has a piece on Beware of EFTs on Steroids. <\/span>Laurence D. Fink, chairman of BlackRock, the world\u2019s largest asset manager, has called leveraged ETFs \u201ctoxic.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">He&#8217;s right. Everyone has warned against these things &#8212; including me (on several occasions) and Jim Cramer (also on several occasions). This is the chart accompanying the BusinessWeek article:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LeveragedETFs.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10579\" title=\"LeveragedETFs\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LeveragedETFs.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"770\" height=\"454\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LeveragedETFs.jpg 770w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LeveragedETFs-300x176.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 770px) 100vw, 770px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You should read the entire BusinessWeek piece <a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessweek.com\/magazine\/beware-of-etfs-on-steroids-12082011.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">+ This comes from a kind reader:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Just wanted to comment on Corzine. He&#8217;s lying. He knows exactly what happened to that $1.2 billion. It&#8217;s called re-hypothecation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">&#8220;Both U.S. and U.K. securities laws allow customer assets pledged as collateral (as in margin accounts) to be re-pledged by brokerage houses for their own accounts. U.S. law places a limit on the percentage of customer assets that can be re-hypothecated. However, U.K. law has no such limits. Therefore, most international brokerage houses transfer these pledged securities to their U.K. subsidiaries where they are used as collateral for loans to the brokerage house. By hypothecating, re-hypothecating, and re-re-hypothecating, etc., these securities get leveraged to about four times their value.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">&#8220;MF Global pledged these securities to get loans to make their big Euro-bond bet. When that bet went sour, the securities were taken by the banks that made the loans to MF Global. All perfectly legal. But now, MF Global customers are just unsecured creditors to a bankrupt MF Global. The banksters win again.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">+ James Stewart is a financial reporter for the New York Times. He got stuck in the auction rate preferreds mess. I believe he eventualy got out unscathed, but certainly chastened (like all of us). Here&#8217;s the beginning of his piece:<\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">December 9, 2011<\/div>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>A Risk Once Unthinkable<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Are customer accounts at brokerage firms safe?<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Until the collapse of <a title=\"More articles about MF Global Ltd..\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/news\/business\/companies\/mf-global-ltd\/index.html?inline=nyt-org\">MF Global<\/a>, that\u2019s a question I thought I\u2019d never have to ask.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Brokerage firms are required by law to maintain segregated accounts holding all client assets, including <a title=\"More articles about stocks and bonds.\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/your-money\/investments\/stocks-and-bonds\/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier\">stocks<\/a>, bonds, <a title=\"More articles about mutual funds and exchange-traded funds.\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/your-money\/investments\/mutual-funds-and-etfs\/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier\">mutual funds<\/a>,  money market funds and cash. The law was passed after the 1929 crash,  in the depths of the Depression, to make sure that customer assets were  there at all times, ready to be disbursed even if everyone asked for  their money at once.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">This obligation to protect customer assets \u201cis considered sacrosanct,\u201d  Robert Cook, director of the division of trading and markets at the  Securities and Exchange Commission, told me this week. \u201cIt\u2019s considered a  sacred obligation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Lehman Brothers may have engaged in many foolhardy practices, but even  in the firm\u2019s last days, when officials were desperate for cash, no one  dared touch customer assets, which remained safely segregated despite  the firm\u2019s collapse.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">And then came the revelation that an estimated $1.2 billion in customer  assets had vanished at MF Global, the large brokerage and futures  trading firm headed by Jon S. Corzine, the former Goldman Sachs  executive and Democratic politician, that collapsed in late October  after a catastrophic bet on European sovereign debt.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">How could such a thing happen? I had always assumed it was impossible  and that strict internal controls existed at all brokerage firms so that  firm officials couldn\u2019t tap segregated customer funds even if they were  willing to break the law. Thanks to MF Global, it\u2019s now apparent that  isn\u2019t necessarily true. \u201cIf people are determined to misuse customer  funds, they will misuse them,\u201d said Ananda Radhakrishnan, the director  of the division of clearing and risk at the Commodities Futures Trading  Commission.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">That\u2019s because the commodities and securities industry is mostly  self-regulating, and self-regulation ultimately depends on the integrity  of the regulated. Broker-dealers \u2014 securities firms that execute trades  of stocks, bonds and other assets for customers \u2014 are overseen by the  S.E.C., while futures commission merchants, which trade commodities, <a title=\"More articles about derviatives.\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/subjects\/d\/derivatives\/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier\">derivatives<\/a> and futures, are regulated by the C.F.T.C. Like most large brokerage  firms, MF Global was both a broker-dealer and a futures commission  merchant, though its primary business was commodities futures trading.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You can (and should) read the entire piece<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2011\/12\/10\/business\/an-unthinkable-risk-at-a-brokerage-firm.html?_r=1&amp;ref=your-money&amp;pagewanted=all\" target=\"_blank\"> <strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sage legal advice.<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">A man about to be electrocuted phoned his lawyer from the death chamber. &#8220;They are about to put me in the electric chair. You are my lawyer. What should I do now?&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The lawyer answered helpfully. &#8220;So, don&#8217;t sit down.&#8221;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"> <\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who marvels at the creativity of the American entrepreneur. Rosie now has an elegant down jacket that looks like it came from\u00a0 Neiman\u00a0 Marcus.\u00a0 And probably did, for all I know.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RosieInDown.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10570\" title=\"RosieInDown\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RosieInDown.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"414\" height=\"324\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RosieInDown.jpg 414w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/RosieInDown-300x234.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 414px) 100vw, 414px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">She moved her head just as I was taking the picture. Dogs are harder to photograph than children and have, sadly,\u00a0 fewer expressions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Beware of cloud computing. It&#8217;s unreliable.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Beware of the Kindle Fire. It&#8217;s getting bad reviews. Stick with the iPad 2.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stocking stuffers for the kids (revised). Here&#8217;s a list of companies which make things kids can relate to. Buy them one or several shares of Activision (ATVI) Amazon (AMZN) Apple (AAPL), Disney (DIS) Electronic Arts (ERTS), Glu Mobile (GLUU) Google (GOOG) Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT) &#8212; for the Xbox, New York Times (NYT) Nike (NKE) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10559","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10559"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10559\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10559"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10559"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10559"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}