{"id":10621,"date":"2011-12-14T09:05:01","date_gmt":"2011-12-14T14:05:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=10621"},"modified":"2011-12-14T09:08:27","modified_gmt":"2011-12-14T14:08:27","slug":"some-strategies-for-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=10621","title":{"rendered":"Some strategies for the future. Search for structurally declining."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>He&#8217;s going to swing. Or at least go to prison. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">I have zero sympathy for someone who dipped into customer accounts and took customer money to enhance and\/or cover his souring bets.\u00a0 From the New York Times DealBook:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">CME Chief Claims Corzine Knew About Missing Money: Terrence Duffy, the chief executive of the CME Group, the exchange responsible for regulating MF Global, told the Senate Agriculture Committee that he has information that indicates Jon S. Corzine, the former chief executive of MF Global, knew about the missing customer money and was aware of the improper transfers of customer money. Mr. Corzine had earlier told the panel that he &#8220;never directed anyone at MF Gobal to misuse customer funds.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I continue to be worried about all my accounts at brokerage companies and in banks. The only solution is to spread your &#8220;wealth.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I sound like Cassandra, forecasting doom and disaster. But&#8230; The Euro has now fallen below $1.30 for the first time in 11 months and <strong>will<\/strong> fall lower. I don&#8217;t believe they&#8217;ll hold the Euro together, though that may actually be good for countries like Italy that routinely devaluted every five to seven years &#8212; before they joined the Euro.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Gold has busted through my key support line. I dumped most of my gold holdings. I suspect that hedge funds are selling gold to help finance end-of-year redemptions, which promise to be huge &#8212; after an awful year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/GoldSupportLine.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10641\" title=\"GoldSupportLine\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/GoldSupportLine.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"284\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/GoldSupportLine.jpg 650w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/GoldSupportLine-300x131.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I may pick my gold holdings back up in the New Year, since I can see it rising strongly if we have an economic mess in 2012 and the Euro falls apart. Who&#8217;ll want fiat currencies then?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I do like my latest <em><strong>King of the Declining Industries<\/strong><\/em> title. My two forays into shorting Dell and RIMM has already produced handsome profits. (see Monday&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=10559\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>column<\/strong><\/a>.) I&#8217;m looking for more. The world is full of companies which boomed, then the world changed. For example, the iPad is killing the laptop market. The iPhone and sundry Android devices is killing Research in Motion. There are zillions of others. Important to turn one&#8217;s head to declining industries.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I am not becoming a day trader. That&#8217;s a fool&#8217;s game. But I do recognize that changing time calls for changing strategies. I bought some more muni bonds yesterday. But I&#8217;m very selective. I stay no more than 5-7 years, since I recognize that one day &#8212; in the distant future &#8212; interest rates will rise. But for now, they&#8217;re staying low &#8212; affirmed yesterday, once again, by the Fed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Harry&#8217;s Rule:<\/strong> Interest rates will only rise when the Fed (not you or me) sees we have inflation. The Fed will not see inflation with high unemployment and high under-employment. Figure another five years before we see anything like &#8220;normal&#8221; employment.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Two of my ultra-high yield mortgage REITs &#8212; NLY and AGNC &#8212; are holding up, despite doom and gloom predictions from several readers:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/NLYThisYear4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10646\" title=\"NLYThisYear4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/NLYThisYear4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"651\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/NLYThisYear4.jpg 651w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/NLYThisYear4-300x133.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 651px) 100vw, 651px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/AGNCTHISYEAR3.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10645\" title=\"AGNCTHISYEAR3\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/AGNCTHISYEAR3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"290\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/AGNCTHISYEAR3.jpg 650w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/AGNCTHISYEAR3-300x133.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Stocking Stuffers &#8212; Part 3. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Here are two pictures of one of my laptops powering an external, portable, two pound, 14&#8243;, $200, 1366 x 768 pixel\u00a0 monitor called a<\/span><strong> <\/strong><\/span>Lenovo ThinkVision LT1421. A second monitor significantly increases your &#8220;productivity.&#8221; You can paste from one screen to the other. Look at assumptions on one screen, fix the spreadsheet on the other. I could also easily extend a spreadsheet across the two monitors.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In my office I write this column\u00a0 using four monitors &#8212; three external and one on the laptop. I\u00a0 can&#8217;t take my heavy glass monitors with me on trips. But I can take this darling featherweight monitor, which\u00a0 comes with a sturdy plastic clip-on cover making it perfect for travel and easily setting up in your distant hotel room.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I thought I&#8217;d use the occasion of this review to test the enhanced camera on the iPhone 4S. This is the 4S.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LenovoScreenIphone4S.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10628\" title=\"LenovoScreenIphone4S\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LenovoScreenIphone4S.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"332\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LenovoScreenIphone4S.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LenovoScreenIphone4S-300x199.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This is the iPhone 4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LenovoScreenIphone4.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-10626\" title=\"LenovoScreenIphone4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LenovoScreenIphone4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"343\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LenovoScreenIphone4.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/12\/LenovoScreenIphone4-300x205.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">There is more detail in the 4S and slightly more richness of color. Not a reason to upgrade, however.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Buy the external monitor at <\/span><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Lenovo-1452DS6-Thinkvision-LT1421-Wide\/dp\/B005L2NA54\/ref=sr_1_13?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1323868315&amp;sr=8-13\" target=\"_blank\">Amazon.<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The long kiss goodbye<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nA tough looking group of bikers were riding when they saw a beautiful girl about to jump off a bridge so they stopped.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The leader, a big burly man, gets off his bike and says, &#8220;What are you doing?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;I&#8217;m going to commit suicide,&#8221; she says.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">While he did not want to appear insensitive, he didn&#8217;t want to miss an opportunity, so he asked&#8230;. &#8220;Well, before you jump, why don&#8217;t you give me a kiss?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">So she does&#8230; It was a long, deep lingering kiss.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">After she&#8217;s finished, the biker says, &#8220;Wow! That was the best kiss I have ever had. That&#8217;s a real talent you are wasting. You could be famous. Why are you committing suicide?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;My parents don&#8217;t like me dressing up like a girl&#8230;&#8230;&#8221;<\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who wonders why Rosie suddenly weighs 13 lbs. If only my portfolio were growing as fast as Rosie. I wish.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>He&#8217;s going to swing. Or at least go to prison. I have zero sympathy for someone who dipped into customer accounts and took customer money to enhance and\/or cover his souring bets.\u00a0 From the New York Times DealBook: CME Chief Claims Corzine Knew About Missing Money: Terrence Duffy, the chief executive of the CME Group, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10621","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10621"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10621\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10621"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10621"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10621"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}