{"id":13426,"date":"2012-06-08T08:13:55","date_gmt":"2012-06-08T12:13:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=13426"},"modified":"2012-06-08T08:15:23","modified_gmt":"2012-06-08T12:15:23","slug":"on-turning-70-this-sunday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=13426","title":{"rendered":"On turning 70 this Sunday"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I don&#8217;t feel old. I&#8217;m healthy. I look old. But I don&#8217;t look at myself in the mirror. Too frightening.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;ll never be a great tennis player nor a billionaire. I&#8217;ll never able to write software.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But there are real joys. My family is number one. Their awesome accomplishments and their continued happiness. And Susan&#8217;s ongoing, incredible ability to pull it all together.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I fear for the mess in Washington and Europe. But I have faith we&#8217;ll muddle through, without the wars we saw from previous economic messes. Think what happened after the Great Depression. Hitler and World War II .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;ll never be a great investor. But I&#8217;ll muddle through and protect what I have left.\u00a0 I&#8217;m still learning how to say No &#8212; what\u00a0 brighter people call &#8220;risk management.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;m learning to do what makes me happy. And I improve those skills.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Would I rather be in a different place?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I fantasize about the fun I had running a business. Bouncing ideas off bright people is thrilling. But I&#8217;m too opinionated. And no one listens to an opinionated asshole with less than 51% of the voting stock.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My big hope (and excitement) remains technology. I&#8217;m writing these words at 5:00 AM so I can rush out for an early morning meeting with an entrepreneur who has a really neat\u00a0 invention. Will I invest? Will he listen to me? Ego is a big bar to successful investing.\u00a0 It gets a nice boost when someone actually does listen.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Fortunately, I&#8217;m still curious. I want to know about anything and everything. I ask the rudest questions. What amazes my family is that I get answers. I think of life as one gigantic blog. Sort of like this one. Dabbling in technology, psychology, health, investing&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I am lucky. I can afford the luxury of dabbling.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">As I age, I try to be less of an asshole. I&#8217;m learning to find fun in all manner of folks, even ones who are wrong.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In coming weeks I&#8217;m taking Susan,\u00a0 the two kids and their spouses on safari to Botswana.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Highlight of each day chasing animals is to have dinner and watch great African sunsets. The sunsets are ultra-romantic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Maybe I&#8217;ll see some grandchildren in 2013 &#8212; before I finally croak.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The boom in multi-family housing.<\/strong><\/span> Everyone and their uncle is pitching me on their syndicated residential complex. There are a thousand reasons. People can&#8217;t buy, because the banks won&#8217;t lend. There are lots of young people who needs roofs\u00a0 over their head. It&#8217;s cheaper\u00a0 to rent. Lose one tenant. No big deal. Lose one in a commercial office building. It is a big deal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Every few months, there&#8217;s another hot investment idea designed specifically to part with my money.\u00a0 The history of my investing the proceeds of the 1997 sale of my business is a litany of failed new Wall Street investment ideas. Which brings me to:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The business dangerous cycle. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">A reader yesterday commented that I was a &#8220;momentum&#8221; investor.\u00a0 That means I like things that go up. And I get out of things which go down. Wall Street is a product machine. Its favorite is funds. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Funds have two benefits for Wall Street &#8212; fees and longevity (which means fees forever).\u00a0 Funds were good in Romney&#8217;s day. But these days we have regular, fast, dangerous business cycles. A fund will boom in one part of the cycle and crater in the next part. Since we cannot reign in our banks with regulation or legislation, we face a future of regular economic booms and busts. This\u00a0 means if you&#8217;re stuck in a fund, you&#8217;re screwed. You can&#8217;t get out as the economy turns down. . As I age, I favor things which are liquid &#8212; which I can sell instantly, if not sooner.\u00a0 Stop loses are still the best way preserve my meager, remaining\u00a0 capital.<\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>French tennis climaxing. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The French Tennis mens semi-finals begin at 7:00 AM EST on The Tennis Channel. <\/span><\/span>The Tennis Channel will re-air the semifinals from 5pm to Midnight Eastern Time, and then again from midnight to 6am. Womens finals on Saturday at 9:00 AM EST on NBC. Men&#8217;s finals at 9:00 AM on Sunday on NBC. I&#8217;m guessing the semi-final matches today featuring Federer, Nadal, Ferrer and Djokovic will be more interesting than the finals. The semis are usually more fun than the finals.<\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who thanks his readers for their comments yesterday on photo sharing web sites. I finally ended up paying Phanfare $29 for a year&#8217;s subscription. The family is happy with Phanfare&#8217;s display of last weekend&#8217;s wedding. If you&#8217;re interested in how to share all those zillion photos on your hard disk (or worse still in your camera), read the comments on yesterday&#8217;s site. Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=13403#disqus_thread\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">File this away under &#8220;Boring is good.&#8221; It pays a dividend and keeps on ticking.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/VWALXOneYearChart.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13441\" title=\"VWALXOneYearChart\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/VWALXOneYearChart.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"648\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/VWALXOneYearChart.jpg 648w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/VWALXOneYearChart-300x133.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 648px) 100vw, 648px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I don&#8217;t feel old. I&#8217;m healthy. I look old. But I don&#8217;t look at myself in the mirror. Too frightening. I&#8217;ll never be a great tennis player nor a billionaire. I&#8217;ll never able to write software. But there are real joys. My family is number one. Their awesome accomplishments and their continued happiness. And Susan&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13426","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13426","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13426"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13426\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13426"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13426"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13426"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}