{"id":13820,"date":"2012-07-10T07:48:11","date_gmt":"2012-07-10T11:48:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=13820"},"modified":"2012-07-10T07:48:11","modified_gmt":"2012-07-10T11:48:11","slug":"a-magical-mystery-tour","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=13820","title":{"rendered":"A magical mystery tour"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Apple is edging\u00a0 back. RIMM continues to fall. Nice short. AGNC, MITT and NLY are doing well, especially AGNC. It&#8217;s hard to see what can hurt the mortgage REITs in this continuing low interest rate world. My muni bond funds NUV and VWALX are holding in nicely, also. ED is also doing nicely.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My real estate syndications are stabilizing, as new tenants are found at lower rents. this requires time, patience and skills. They exist &#8212; but rarely\u00a0 among institutional holders. Therein lies a continuing opportunity.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I don&#8217;t have any new, brilliant ideas &#8212; except to keep away from big industrials with heavy exposure overseas.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Your children, and the hollowing of the American workforce. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Jobs are lost short-term because of recessions. Jobs are lost long-term because of technology (new smarter computers) and outsourcing (shipping the jobs to China). Today&#8217;s big unemployment is among younger people &#8212; especially among younger people with few skills. There are jobs available , but employers report finding a dearth of people with the skills they need. Education is the only solution &#8212; formal and informal. I am writing this not for us, but for our children. The rest comes from a piece in the New York Times:<\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The issue of the disappearing middle is not new, but credible economists have added a more threatening twist to the argument: the possibility that a well-functioning, efficient modern market economy, driven by exponential growth in the rate of technological innovation, can simultaneously produce economic growth and eliminate millions of middle-class jobs.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Michael Spence, a professor at N.Y.U.&#8217;s Stern School of Business, and David Autor, an economist at M.I.T., have argued that this &#8220;hollowing out&#8221; process is a result of twin upheavals: globalization and the hyper-acceleration of technological progress.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Just two weeks ago at the Aspen Ideas Festival, Alan Krueger, Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, stressed this theme:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">If you look at the decade before the recession, the U.S. economy was not creating enough jobs, particularly not enough middle class jobs, and we were losing manufacturing jobs at an alarming rate even before the recession. And I would also put together, combined with those two problems, the polarization of the U.S. job market, the fact that we are getting more and more people at the very top and the very bottom and the middle has been shrinking.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">McAfee has graphically illustrated the key findings that worry him and Brynjolfsson. The red line in the figure below, the employment to population ratio, tracks the ratio of the number of people working to the total number of working-age men and women in the United States.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/NYTUnemploymenChart.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13822\" title=\"NYTUnemploymenChart\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/NYTUnemploymenChart.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"671\" height=\"481\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/NYTUnemploymenChart.jpg 671w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/NYTUnemploymenChart-300x215.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 671px) 100vw, 671px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">On his blog, McAfee explains the graphic:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Since the Great Recession officially ended in June of 2009 G.D.P., equipment investment, and total corporate profits have rebounded, and are now at their all-time highs. The employment ratio, meanwhile, has only shrunk and is now at its lowest level since the early 1980s when women had not yet entered the workforce in significant numbers. So current labor force woes are not because the economy isn&#8217;t growing, and they&#8217;re not because companies aren&#8217;t making money or spending money on equipment. They&#8217;re because these trends have become increasingly decoupled from hiring &#8211; from needing more human workers. As computers race ahead, acquiring more and more skills in pattern matching, communication, perception, and so on, I expect that this decoupling will continue, and maybe even accelerate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You can read the entire piece <a href=\"http:\/\/campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com\/2012\/07\/08\/the-future-of-joblessness\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The greatest iPhone feature is iMaps.<\/strong><\/span>You don&#8217;t need a separate GPS. The iPhone works fine. This is the app Maps:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/iMaps1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13832\" title=\"iMaps1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/iMaps1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"960\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/iMaps1.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/iMaps1-200x300.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Touch the left bottom arrow and little blue arrow will appear in the center of the screen showing where you are. Touch the bottom right page-turning button and you will get his screen:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/imaps23.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13838\" title=\"imaps2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/imaps23.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"960\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/imaps23.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/imaps23-200x300.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Touch the button that shows Show Traffic and your previous screen will show red and green lines on the streets (as they do above) showing the traffic. It&#8217;s magical.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Favorite recent New Yorker cartooons.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/MusicDownHere.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13827\" title=\"MusicDownHere\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/MusicDownHere.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"448\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/MusicDownHere.jpg 540w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/MusicDownHere-300x248.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/Macaroni.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13828\" title=\"Macaroni\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/Macaroni.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"539\" height=\"505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/Macaroni.jpg 539w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/Macaroni-300x281.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 539px) 100vw, 539px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/Reality1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13829\" title=\"Reality1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/Reality1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"559\" height=\"479\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/Reality1.jpg 559w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/Reality1-300x257.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 559px) 100vw, 559px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who constantly marvels at that wonderful phenomenon called Gotchas. Item: I walk into local pharmacy and ask for a refill on the prescription they have on file. &#8220;Sorry, Harry, refills expire in 12 months.&#8221; You gotta be kidding? Nope, apparently that&#8217;s the law. Go figure.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Moral of this story. Get your refills now and store them in your refrigerator, where they&#8217;ll survive nicely.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Apple is edging\u00a0 back. RIMM continues to fall. Nice short. AGNC, MITT and NLY are doing well, especially AGNC. It&#8217;s hard to see what can hurt the mortgage REITs in this continuing low interest rate world. My muni bond funds NUV and VWALX are holding in nicely, also. ED is also doing nicely. My real [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13820"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13820\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}