{"id":21249,"date":"2013-07-30T09:13:31","date_gmt":"2013-07-30T13:13:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=21249"},"modified":"2013-07-30T09:28:59","modified_gmt":"2013-07-30T13:28:59","slug":"new-industries-five-reasons-berkshire-still-makes-sense-ditto-ba-not-bhp-rio-or-fcx","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=21249","title":{"rendered":"New industries. Five reasons Berkshire still makes sense; Ditto BA. Not BHP, Rio or FCX."},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"yass_top_edge_dummy\" style=\"width: 1px; height: 1px; padding: 0px; margin: -11px 0px 0px; border-width: 0px; display: block; text-align: left;\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"yass_top_edge\" style=\"background-image: url('chrome:\/\/yass\/content\/edgebgtop.png'); background-attachment: scroll; background-position: center bottom; padding: 0px; margin: 0px 0px 10px -10px; border-width: 0px; height: 0px; display: block; width: 1px; text-align: left;\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px; text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">A reader emailed: If you&#8217;re so excited about new industries, list a few. Here&#8217;s a few:<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px; text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">3-D printing, solar on your roof (solar continues to drop in price), in-home computer-controlled greenhouses, LED lights, some breakthrough drugs (see Gilead), tiny portable refrigerators (a la Bill Gates), portable toilets (for use in poor countries), the cloud, heavy duty data analytics (helping companies find value in their massive data stores),\u00a0 new materials (as in the Dreamliner), private social network sites, new drugs (look at Gilead), new ways of financing ventures &#8212; crowd-sourcing, microfinance, at-the-market equity line equity financing, new ways of managing your money online, etc.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 10px; text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>5 Reasons Why the Bears Are Wrong About Berkshire Hathaway.<\/strong><\/span> Warren Buffett is smarter than you. Berkshire is my largest holding. Of late it&#8217;s eased a tinge:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/BRKAThisYear.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21251\" alt=\"BRKAThisYear\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/BRKAThisYear.jpg\" width=\"637\" height=\"280\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/BRKAThisYear.jpg 637w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/BRKAThisYear-300x131.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Motley Fool just did a piece that began:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">\u00a0Berkshire Hathaway&#8217;s growth over the last year would be impressive, at least, if you ignored the upward drift of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. However, taken together with the massive run up in the rest of the market, Berkshire&#8217;s prospects look less rosy. In fact, Berkshire-favored stocks like DaVitaHealthCare Partners and Chicago Bridge &amp; Iron have given back most of their gains from Spring.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">On May 13, Michael Price of MFP Investors gave a slide presentation at London Value Conference arguing that the fair value of Berkshire Hathaway&#8217;s stock should be roughly 20% lower than it is today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">So are the bears right about Berkshire? Here&#8217;s five reasons why I believe the answer is an emphatic &#8220;No.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">1. Berkshire has better accounting practices than 95% of U.S.-listed companies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">2. Heinz is likely to surprise.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">3. Burlington Northern Sante Fe has a lock on US shale oil transportation.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">4. Berkshire&#8217;s entry into the commercial underwriting market will dramatically increase the company&#8217;s float.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">5. Buffett&#8217;s prot\u00e9g\u00e9s are a chip off the old block.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You can can read the entire Motley Fool article. Click <a title=\"5 Reasons Why the Bears are arong about Berkshire Hathaway\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/id\/52603176\/ns\/business-motley_fool\/#.UfecKG2bHeP\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>I bought BA on a its recent dip<\/strong><\/span> &#8212; when the fire broke out in an Ethiopian Airlines 787 Dreamliner. It&#8217;s bounced back. And today&#8217;s New York Times story has a positive piece on repairing the hole the fire made. BA is high-priced, with a P\/E of 19.2. I think it can climb another 10% to 15% this year. The new Dreamliner has a big order book and is cheaper to fly. But whether the plane is build from carbon fiber, aluminum, titanium or gold, won&#8217;t stop Delta losing Susan&#8217;s luggage. Remember, Delta stands for <strong>Don&#8217;t Expect Luggage To Arrive.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/BAThisYear.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21257\" alt=\"BAThisYear\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/BAThisYear.jpg\" width=\"638\" height=\"276\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/BAThisYear.jpg 638w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/BAThisYear-300x129.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 638px) 100vw, 638px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>15 Charts That Should Terrify Saudi Arabia,<\/strong><\/span> according to Business Insider. They basically show oil and gas production outside Saudi skyrocketing and prices ebbing. Which is bad news for Saudi Arabia. Couldn&#8217;t happen to a more deserving country. I&#8217;m not a fan of their form of radical Islam and the many ills it has foisted on the world. Click <a title=\"Charts that should scare Saudi Arabia\" href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/terrifying-charts-for-saudi-arabia-2013-7?nr_email_referer=1&amp;utm_source=Triggermail&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=emailshare#saudi-arabia-needs-high-oil-prices-to-function--below-80-and-the-kingdom-starts-getting-into-trouble-there-are-some-trends-that-could-easily-push-prices-much-lower-1\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The tale Scottish Jew and the golf club he couldn&#8217;t join.<\/strong><\/span>.<br \/>\nA Scottish Jew decided to retire and take up golf, so he applied for membership at a local golf club.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">About a week later he received a letter that his application has been rejected.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">He went to the club to inquire as to why.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Secretary: You are aware that this is a Scottish golf club?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Scot: Aye, but I am as Scottish as you are, ma&#8217;am, my name is MacTavish.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Secretary: Do you know that on formal occasions we wear a kilt?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Scot: Aye, I do know, and I wear a kilt too.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Secretary: You are also aware, that we wear nothing under the kilt?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Scot: Aye, and neither do I.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Secretary: Are you also aware, that the members sit naked in the steam room?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Scot: Aye, I also do the same.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Secretary: But you are a Jew?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Scot: Aye, I be that.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Secretary: So, being Jewish, you are circumcised, is that correct?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Scot: Aye, I be that, too.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Secretary: I am sorry, but the members just would not feel comfortable sitting in the steam room with you, since your privates are different from theirs.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Scot: Ach, I know that you have to be a Protestant to march with the Orangemen. And I know that you have to be a Catholic to join the Knights of Columbus. But this is the first time I&#8217;ve heard that you have to be a complete prick to join a golf club.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton whose handsome, intelligent and favorite son was in town yesterday:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/MichaelInNewYorkAugust.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21263\" alt=\"MichaelInNewYorkAugust\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/MichaelInNewYorkAugust.jpg\" width=\"450\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/MichaelInNewYorkAugust.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/MichaelInNewYorkAugust-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The only time they&#8217;ll &#8220;pose&#8221; these days is when they have that cursed cell phone glued to their head. Photo by Nikon 7100 and 18-200 mm lens, the best all-around Nikon lens.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Most Newton family &#8220;vacations&#8221; seem to begin at B&amp;H Photo on Ninth and 35th and end walking home through Times Square, where the &#8220;famous&#8221; Naked Cowboy continues to ply his meager talents for the tourists:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/NakedCowboy.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21267\" alt=\"NakedCowboy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/NakedCowboy.jpg\" width=\"450\" height=\"268\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/NakedCowboy.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/NakedCowboy-300x178.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u00a0After reading this week&#8217;s Economist on the slowing BRIC, I&#8217;m much less excited by BHP, Rio and FCX, and will probably dump my small holdings today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;d give you a link to the Economist&#8217;s article (hint: it&#8217;s in this week&#8217;s issue). However&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/EconomistProblems.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21274\" alt=\"EconomistProblems\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/EconomistProblems.jpg\" width=\"550\" height=\"203\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/EconomistProblems.jpg 550w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/EconomistProblems-300x110.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"yass_bottom_edge\" style=\"background-image: url('chrome:\/\/yass\/content\/edgebgbot.png'); background-position: 0px 0px; position: absolute; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border-width: 0px; height: 0px; left: 0px; top: 0px; width: 100%; display: block;\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A reader emailed: If you&#8217;re so excited about new industries, list a few. Here&#8217;s a few: 3-D printing, solar on your roof (solar continues to drop in price), in-home computer-controlled greenhouses, LED lights, some breakthrough drugs (see Gilead), tiny portable refrigerators (a la Bill Gates), portable toilets (for use in poor countries), the cloud, heavy [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21249","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21249","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=21249"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21249\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=21249"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=21249"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=21249"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}