{"id":23328,"date":"2013-11-22T08:14:37","date_gmt":"2013-11-22T13:14:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=23328"},"modified":"2013-11-22T08:14:37","modified_gmt":"2013-11-22T13:14:37","slug":"im-psyched-and-exhausted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=23328","title":{"rendered":"I&#8217;m psyched, and exhausted."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The place was packed and jumping. 750 attendees. At $7,500 a piece, that&#8217;s $5.6 million.\u00a0 All to charity. I took this photo (with my trusty Canon G16) late in the day. That&#8217;s why you see some empty seats.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/HigherReturns.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23343\" alt=\"HigherReturns\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/HigherReturns.jpg\" width=\"650\" height=\"148\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/HigherReturns.jpg 650w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/HigherReturns-300x68.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/RobinHoodConference2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23341\" alt=\"RobinHoodConference2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/RobinHoodConference2.jpg\" width=\"650\" height=\"316\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/RobinHoodConference2.jpg 650w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/RobinHoodConference2-300x145.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Much of the market&#8217;s leap yesterday (Dow closing above 16,000 for the first time ever) was because there was so many positive presentations yesterday &#8212; including and especially David Tepper&#8217;s exhortation that we&#8217;re absolutely NOT in a bubble and we&#8217;ll see 20% to 40% gains in the stockmarket in the next year or so. Tepper is very persuasive.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cast your eyes down these charts. As speakers spoke positively about their favorite stocks, they jumped. I noticed this first with David Einhorn&#8217;s pitch for Micron. But also check out W.R. Grace (below). Einhorn liked Micron because of the DRAM industry consolidation and the rationalization of Micron&#8217;s DRAM business.(It&#8217;s primarily a DRAM company.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">All these charts are intraday. You can pretty well see when each speaker started:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/MU.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23339\" alt=\"MU\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/MU.jpg\" width=\"645\" height=\"276\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/MU.jpg 645w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/MU-300x128.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 645px) 100vw, 645px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u00a0Solar is now competitive with grid electricity. Moreover solar is getting cheaper. Grid electricity is getting more expensive.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/SCTY.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23338\" alt=\"SCTY\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/SCTY.jpg\" width=\"639\" height=\"284\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/SCTY.jpg 639w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/SCTY-300x133.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 639px) 100vw, 639px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/PNK.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23337\" alt=\"PNK\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/PNK.jpg\" width=\"635\" height=\"279\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/PNK.jpg 635w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/PNK-300x131.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 635px) 100vw, 635px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/BIDU.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23336\" alt=\"BIDU\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/BIDU.jpg\" width=\"636\" height=\"276\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/BIDU.jpg 636w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/BIDU-300x130.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 636px) 100vw, 636px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/WYN.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23335\" alt=\"WYN\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/WYN.jpg\" width=\"639\" height=\"275\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/WYN.jpg 639w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/WYN-300x129.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 639px) 100vw, 639px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/SFTBY.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23334\" alt=\"SFTBY\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/SFTBY.jpg\" width=\"641\" height=\"273\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/SFTBY.jpg 641w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/SFTBY-300x127.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 641px) 100vw, 641px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/TCEHY.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23333\" alt=\"TCEHY\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/TCEHY.jpg\" width=\"638\" height=\"279\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/TCEHY.jpg 638w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/TCEHY-300x131.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 638px) 100vw, 638px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/GRA.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23332\" alt=\"GRA\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/GRA.jpg\" width=\"635\" height=\"275\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/GRA.jpg 635w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/GRA-300x129.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 635px) 100vw, 635px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/NFLX.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23331\" alt=\"NFLX\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/NFLX.jpg\" width=\"638\" height=\"275\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/NFLX.jpg 638w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/NFLX-300x129.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 638px) 100vw, 638px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/GOOG.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23330\" alt=\"GOOG\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/GOOG.jpg\" width=\"639\" height=\"274\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/GOOG.jpg 639w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/GOOG-300x128.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 639px) 100vw, 639px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">As I was finishing these charts (they take time), I realized I should have done a two-day chart. That shows the full impact of the positive comments. Anyway, here&#8217;s a chart on one stock that one of the speakers loved:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/AMED.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-23347\" alt=\"AMED\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/AMED.jpg\" width=\"638\" height=\"276\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/AMED.jpg 638w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/11\/AMED-300x129.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 638px) 100vw, 638px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Some of the speakers pitched shorts &#8212; after all they are hedge funds. These included:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Great Wall Auto.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Progressive Insurance.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ OPKO Health.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;d love to give you all their logic. But it&#8217;s 2:28 AM. I got to be back at the Sheraton by 7:00 AM. That&#8217;s not long. And I&#8217;m beat.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;d also love to tell you about Charlie Rose&#8217;s interview with Mayor Michael Bloomberg &#8212; clearly one of the world&#8217;s most amazing people.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">As I crawl into bed, I pose a quiz: What&#8217;s the Mayor worth?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You guessed wrong.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">He&#8217;s worth $31 billion.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">And he&#8217;s going to give it all away.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton who really digs what the Robin Hood Foundation does. Their mission: To fight poverty in New York City. It&#8217;s an amazing charity. Every nickel of administrative expense is picked up by the board members, though the conference&#8217;s expenses were paid by JPMorgan.\u00a0 Hence all donations, including my $7,500 admission fee go directly to their poverty-fighting projects. Their signature mantra is to apply rigorous financial analysis to all the projects they fund. They want solid, measurable returns &#8212; just like in their own hedge funds. You can (and should) read more about them on their web site. Click <a title=\"The Robin Hood Foundation\" href=\"http:\/\/www.robinhood.org\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I owe you more background on the picks and also the Vanguard index funds I like. But do look at VTV. More Monday.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Why are you here? I asked a bunch of attendees at Robin Hood. Sample answers:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ I&#8217;m just here to listen.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ I didn&#8217;t want to go to work to day.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Hearing some of the people is interesting, though I could get more ideas if I sat at my desk.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ I&#8217;m just here to hear the speakers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">On page C4 of today&#8217;s Wall Street Journal, I note that Goldman Sachs has a &#8220;<em>Conviction Buy<\/em>&#8221; list. Goldmans just took Philip Morris off its <em>Conviction Buy<\/em> List. I guess they just lost PM&#8217;s merchant banking business.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Good night. Have a great weekend.<\/p>\n<p><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The place was packed and jumping. 750 attendees. At $7,500 a piece, that&#8217;s $5.6 million.\u00a0 All to charity. I took this photo (with my trusty Canon G16) late in the day. That&#8217;s why you see some empty seats. Much of the market&#8217;s leap yesterday (Dow closing above 16,000 for the first time ever) was because [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=23328"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23328\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=23328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=23328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=23328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}