{"id":2637,"date":"2010-06-15T09:04:43","date_gmt":"2010-06-15T13:04:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=2637"},"modified":"2010-06-15T09:13:12","modified_gmt":"2010-06-15T13:13:12","slug":"huge-opportunities-but-huge-patience-required","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=2637","title":{"rendered":"Huge opportunities, but huge patience required"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">In 2005-2007 the world was a glowing place. Investors had come off a couple of years of extraordinary gains. Whatever they had touched turned to gold. the world was bursting with opportunities. It was a once in a life time opportunity to get rich beyond their wildest imaginations. Hence many otherwise sane people dumped their caution and went at it, borrowing to the hilt. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">By 2008, things started to fall apart. By 2009, it had all fallen apart. To repay the loans, to meet their commitments, they sold their best investments. Some sold their houses, cut their lifestyle, putting their kids (God forbid) into public schools. Some actually went bankrupt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The biggest problem was their illiquid investments &#8212; stuff like commitments to private equity funds, or real estate for which there was no market. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Slowly, ever so slowly, this stuff is percolating into today&#8217;s market. By now, the stuff should be an absolute bargain. But most of it is not &#8212; chiefly as a result of what I called <strong><em>The Egypt Syndrome. <\/em><\/strong>Which comes from <strong>Denial. Denial. <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Vast amounts of\u00a0 free money are still floating around,\u00a0 creating the impression among many sellers that happy days are here again. For those of us actively looking for bargains, this is supremely annoying.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">What&#8217;s the solution? <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Patience. Patience. Patience.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Bargains <strong>are<\/strong> around. I promise you. I&#8217;ve seen them. I&#8217;ve seen real estate at half the price it was three years ago. I&#8217;ve seen businesses selling cheaply because the owners need money to pay off debts. I&#8217;ve seen real cash flow that owners want to &#8220;monetize.&#8221;<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">These are private deals. I don&#8217;t see them on the stockmarket &#8212; a major reason I like high-yielders and covered calls.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">To latch onto private deals, you have to be in the right place at the right. Kiss a lot of frogs. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Princes are rare. One friend said NO to real estate deals for three long years before he finally said YES to a totally stupendous deal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Do you have the discipline to pursue opportunities, but to say NO, NO and more NOs? <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Can you manage the process of saying NO without annoying the people showing you the deals? Can you manage your own psyche? <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Saying NO does not add to your accomplishments.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">It&#8217;s hard to be in cash (not having your money &#8220;at work&#8221;) and saying NO constantly.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">But you have to. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Play some tennis. Or even some golf. Go for a long walk.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Pray that this law passes.<\/strong><\/span> Paul A. Volcker, the former Federal Reserve chairman,<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/PaulVolcker1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2643\" title=\"PaulVolcker\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/PaulVolcker1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"158\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">has been the most dogged advocate of a provision that would effectively bar federally insured banks from trading for their own accounts &#8212; the so called Volcker Rule.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In my opinion, banks should not gamble with their depositors&#8217; money. They should be doing banking business &#8212; lending money to growing businesses.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>WiFi on the go. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">It&#8217;s getting uibiquitous. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\">+ McDonald&#8217;s added free WiFi to 11,500 locations earlier this year. I like their grilled chicken sandwich.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\">+ Starbucks will add free WiFi to many of its stores on July 1. I don&#8217;t like their coffee or their food, but I do like looking at the 25-year old out-of-work actresses and models working on their laptops sipping their $6 coffee.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Progress in politics? <\/strong><\/span> From today&#8217;s New York Times, &#8220;Nikki Haley, who could be the first governor of south Carolina <strong>who is not a white man.&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/NikkiHaley.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2639\" title=\"NikkiHaley\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/06\/NikkiHaley.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"188\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nShe&#8217;s cute, too.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Weekend  reading<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nA husband had just finished reading a new book entitled, &#8220;<strong>You Can Be THE Man of Your  House.<\/strong>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">He stormed to his wife in the kitchen and announced, &#8220;From now on you need to know that I am the man of this house and my word is Law.  You will prepare me a gourmet meal tonight, and when I&#8217;m done eating my meal. You will serve me a scrumptious dessert.  After dinner, you are going to go upstairs with me and we will have the kind of sex that I want.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;Afterwards, you are going to draw me a bath so I can relax. You will wash my back and towel me dry and bring me my robe. Then, you will massage my feet and hands. Then tomorrow, guess who&#8217;s going to dress me and comb my hair?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The wife replied, &#8220;Our local funeral director would be my best guess.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/12\/HarryNewton.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9\" title=\"HarryNewton\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/12\/HarryNewton.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"95\" height=\"162\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Harry Newton,who played wonderfully yesterday and spent time eying one interesting deal. But a bargain, it&#8217;s not.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2005-2007 the world was a glowing place. Investors had come off a couple of years of extraordinary gains. Whatever they had touched turned to gold. the world was bursting with opportunities. It was a once in a life time opportunity to get rich beyond their wildest imaginations. Hence many otherwise sane people dumped their [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2637","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2637","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2637"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2637\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2637"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2637"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2637"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}