{"id":27653,"date":"2014-09-02T09:41:55","date_gmt":"2014-09-02T13:41:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=27653"},"modified":"2014-09-02T09:41:55","modified_gmt":"2014-09-02T13:41:55","slug":"last-try-at-predicting-geopolitics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=27653","title":{"rendered":"Last try at predicting geopolitics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My first (and last) attempt at predicting geopolitics &#8212; namely that Putin would invade Ukraine during our Labor Day weekend &#8212; failed miserably. I&#8217;ll dump my dumb small purchases of SDS, SH and UBT this morning. I&#8217;ll chalk the money I lose to &#8220;hedging doesn&#8217;t work.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I bought a little TEVA on Friday.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">VestorVest assigns high VST numbers to stocks it likes. The top five presently are REX, NHTC, GILD, PLNR and CTP.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I love GILD.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I researched REX, an ethanol producers with booming earnings and a booming stock price:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/REX.jp_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27677\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/REX.jp_.jpg\" alt=\"REX.jp\" width=\"567\" height=\"254\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/REX.jp_.jpg 567w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/REX.jp_-300x134.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 567px) 100vw, 567px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But then I eyed big insider sales, especially by CEO Stuart Rose. Funny thing about his sales: Had he hung around longer, he could have sold at a much higher price.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u00a0<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Another reason to be wary of the Cloud. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Someone hacked into Apple&#8217;s iCloud, stole a bunch of nude celebrity photos and posted them on the Internet for all to see. Careful what you back up to The Cloud. It&#8217;s not as secure as it&#8217;s cracked up to be. It does have benefits that local backup storage doesn&#8217;t have &#8212; ability to share, ability to access your data on all manner of devices, etc. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>You should sign up for this MOOC course.<\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\"> One of my key questions when assessing startups is &#8220;Will it scale?&#8221; Two Stanford professors wrote a best seller on the subject. They&#8217;re now teaching a free course on the Internet &#8212; which you or your children ought to sign up for. I bet they&#8217;ll never give a free course again. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">From <\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><em>TechCrunch:<\/em><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>Stanford Professors Want To Teach You How To Scale Your Business Without Screwing It Up<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Huggy Rao and Robert Sutton, the authors of &#8220;Scaling Up Excellence: Getting To More Without Settling For Less,&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27658\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/ScalingExcellence.jpg\" alt=\"ScalingExcellence\" width=\"239\" height=\"346\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/ScalingExcellence.jpg 239w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/ScalingExcellence-207x300.jpg 207w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 239px) 100vw, 239px\" \/><br \/>\n<em>To buy this excellent book, click <a title=\"Scaling Up Excellence, the book\" href=\"http:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2014\/08\/29\/stanford-professors-want-to-teach-you-how-to-scale-your-business-without-screwing-it-up\/?ncid=tcdaily\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a> Or better yet, get the cheaper Kindle version <a title=\"Kindle version of Scaling Up Excellence\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Scaling-Up-Excellence-Getting-Settling-ebook\/dp\/B00EGMQIDG\/ref=sr_1_1?s=digital-text&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1409600410&amp;sr=1-1&amp;keywords=scaling+up+excellence\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">\u00a0will bring the lessons they learned from their research to the virtual classroom. When their five-week, free MOOC launches on Sept. 15, it will feature interviews with prominent investors like Ben Horowitz and Michael Dearing.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Normally Rao and Sutton teach the book in their executive education classrooms, but true to their research, they found the MOOC to be a scaling tool that could help them reach more readers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">&#8220;They can not only consume the book as in reading it, but more importantly they can actually apply it to their own venture or startup idea,&#8221; said Rao, a professor at the Stanford Graduate School of Business.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Sutton, a professor at the Stanford School of Engineering, said the pair has experience in teaching for-credit online courses in the past. He said this is most likely the only time that the course will be offered in the free MOOC format.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">&#8220;It will particularly be helpful to entrepreneurs trying to scale their ventures [&#8230;] because when people think about scaling they think about the footprint,&#8221; Rao said. &#8220;The footprint won&#8217;t survive and it certainly won&#8217;t thrive unless you have a mindset to sustain it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">The stock pushers are getting really good: <\/span><\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">This email is pushing me to buy a penny stock Inspiration Mining, selling\u00a0 most recently for six cents. There are three ways you can tell this is garbage: 1. The return email address is weird &#8212; from @safety.it. There are awful grammar and spelling mistakes. You should know the Wall Street Journal doesn&#8217;t send out stock-pushing emails.<strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/WallStreetJournalScam.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27654\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/WallStreetJournalScam.jpg\" alt=\"WallStreetJournalScam\" width=\"655\" height=\"163\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/WallStreetJournalScam.jpg 655w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/WallStreetJournalScam-300x74.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 655px) 100vw, 655px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>US Open Tennis continues. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">It&#8217;s live on ESPN or ESPN2 on later this week and weekend on CBS. Re-runs are on The Tennis Channel, which moved to 803 on FiOS. I was up to 2:28 AM this morning watching Nishikori\/Raonic. Tennis is a game of skill, stamina, self-discipline and grind. Lots of grind. Nishikori hung in &#8212; a key skill.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Latest favorite New Yorker cartoons:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/BabyGiraffe.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27671\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/BabyGiraffe.jpg\" alt=\"BabyGiraffe\" width=\"523\" height=\"525\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/BabyGiraffe.jpg 523w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/BabyGiraffe-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/BabyGiraffe-298x300.jpg 298w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 523px) 100vw, 523px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Beheading.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27672\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Beheading.jpg\" alt=\"Beheading\" width=\"518\" height=\"430\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Beheading.jpg 518w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Beheading-300x249.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 518px) 100vw, 518px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/JingleJangle.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27673\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/JingleJangle.jpg\" alt=\"JingleJangle\" width=\"518\" height=\"501\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/JingleJangle.jpg 518w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/JingleJangle-300x290.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 518px) 100vw, 518px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton who upped his 1 1\/2 hour regimen to two hours on Monday morning against an 18-year old who hits the fastest ball I&#8217;ve ever experienced. My whole body aches. But what a wonderful ache. I gotta keep pushing or I&#8217;ll end up like all those 70-year olds with pot bellies and hobbling around on gimpy knees. Federer plays tonight, according to IBM&#8217;s awful iPhone app.<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><br \/>\nnbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My first (and last) attempt at predicting geopolitics &#8212; namely that Putin would invade Ukraine during our Labor Day weekend &#8212; failed miserably. I&#8217;ll dump my dumb small purchases of SDS, SH and UBT this morning. I&#8217;ll chalk the money I lose to &#8220;hedging doesn&#8217;t work.&#8221; I bought a little TEVA on Friday. VestorVest assigns [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27653","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27653","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27653"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27653\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27653"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27653"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27653"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}