{"id":27841,"date":"2014-09-15T09:24:22","date_gmt":"2014-09-15T13:24:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=27841"},"modified":"2014-09-15T09:25:42","modified_gmt":"2014-09-15T13:25:42","slug":"25-predictions-that-didnt-come-true","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=27841","title":{"rendered":"25 Predictions that didn&#8217;t come true"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You thought you could predict. You&#8217;ve found you can&#8217;t. You&#8217;re not alone.<br \/>\nA dear friend sent me 25 predictions from &#8220;learned&#8221; people.<br \/>\nTechnology is impossible to predict. Have fun with these:<\/p>\n<div class=\"Section1\" style=\"text-align: left;\">\n<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1025\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_02.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-2.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"555\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1026\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_03.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-3.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"535\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1027\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_04.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-4.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"553\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1028\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_05.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-5.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"531\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1029\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_06.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-6.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"536\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1030\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_07.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-7.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"514\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1031\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_08.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-8.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"509\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1032\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_09.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-9.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"558\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1033\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_10.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-10.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"552\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0 <\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1034\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_11.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-11.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"531\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1035\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_12.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-12.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"551\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1036\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_13.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-13.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"550\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1037\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_14.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-14.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"565\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1038\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_15.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-15.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"555\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1039\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_16.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-16.html\" width=\"640\" height=\"551\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1040\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_17.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-17.html\" width=\"640\" height=\"534\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1041\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_18.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-18.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"575\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1042\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_19.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-19.html\" width=\"640\" height=\"553\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1043\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_20.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-20.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"550\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1044\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_21.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-21.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"556\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1045\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_22.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-22.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"529\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1046\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_23.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-23.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"510\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1047\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_24.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-24.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"536\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0<\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1048\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_25.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-25.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"531\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 10.0pt;\">\u00a0 <\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"yiv3989578632_x005f_x005f_x005f_x0000_i1049\" src=\"https:\/\/img.izismile.com\/img\/img7\/20140314\/640\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_640_01.jpg\" alt=\"http:\/\/izismile.com\/2014\/03\/14\/actual_predictions_that_were_absolutely_wrong_25_pics-1.html\" width=\"642\" height=\"511\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton who got hit by Friday&#8217;s squall in the market, like all of us. Weakness in stock markets seems caused by:<br \/>\n1. September is the worst month.<br \/>\n2. Institutions are raising cash to invest in Alibaba which, they figure, will be a hot IPO and is also the largest ever.<br \/>\n3. There&#8217;s talk &#8212; again &#8212; that the Fed will shortly raise rates. We should hear more on Wednesday. For now, it&#8217;s just talk. But it&#8217;s hurting the mortgage REITs, like NLY and AGNC.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It was a nice weekend. Claire, my daughter, brought Sophie, my new granddaughter, over. We had fun showing her off and trying to take silly pictures. Samples:<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Sophie1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27847\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Sophie1.jpg\" alt=\"Sophie1\" width=\"250\" height=\"333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Sophie1.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Sophie1-225x300.jpg 225w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Sophie2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27848\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Sophie2.jpg\" alt=\"Sophie2\" width=\"250\" height=\"333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Sophie2.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/Sophie2-225x300.jpg 225w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You thought you could predict. You&#8217;ve found you can&#8217;t. You&#8217;re not alone. A dear friend sent me 25 predictions from &#8220;learned&#8221; people. Technology is impossible to predict. Have fun with these: \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Harry Newton who [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27841","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27841","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27841"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27841\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27841"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27841"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27841"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}