{"id":29040,"date":"2014-12-09T10:44:58","date_gmt":"2014-12-09T15:44:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=29040"},"modified":"2014-12-09T12:49:31","modified_gmt":"2014-12-09T17:49:31","slug":"gotchas-and-downturns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=29040","title":{"rendered":"Gotchas and downturns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Stockmarkets are turning sour.There are reasons:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ The &#8220;hot&#8221; stocks are turning sharply down. The techie ones.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Overseas. Russia. Europe. China. Their ails are detailed in a zillion places.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Valuations are high &#8212; P\/Es, etc. Several observers have written pieces with charts and circles and arrows on them.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ It&#8217;s December. The vast majority of hedge funds have done awfully in 2014. Hedge fund investors are giving notice. To finance the redemptions, many hedge funds are dumping stocks &#8212; some they&#8217;ve lost money on, some they&#8217;re up on.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ The hot airlines are crashing &#8212; AAL, DAL and LUV. they were hot when oil was crashing. Now it&#8217;s still crashing, they&#8217;re down. Someone has figured out that most airlines are hedged on jet fuel and its drop may actually cost them money?<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ It &#8220;feels&#8221; like a turning point to many learned stock market gurus. You&#8217;re reading the same negative stuff I&#8217;m reading. No sense in repeating it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Strategy? It&#8217;s a personal thing. For one, definitely dump the ones that have now dropped 8% to 10%. Dump the ones where the story seems to have changed, viz. Google.\u00a0 Dump the ones where the chart looks plain awful, viz. BABA.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/BabaAwful.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-29043\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/BabaAwful.jpg\" alt=\"BabaAwful\" width=\"649\" height=\"378\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/BabaAwful.jpg 649w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/BabaAwful-300x174.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 649px) 100vw, 649px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Some stocks bear watching &#8212; AAPL, GILD, AMGN,<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Some stocks should be sold now, because their charts look awful &#8212; GPRO.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Good idea to look at the charts on all the stocks you own, and see which are breaking down.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You should obviously not be in any oil or oil service stocks. We&#8217;ve talked about that before.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I suspect the key is buy back in later in December. I say that. knowing that timing the market never works.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>I pray that Microsoft might get intelligent, soon.<\/strong> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">Maybe the new management will inject some customer-friendliness into its brain?<\/span> <\/span>For now, I can only think of bad four letter words. I spent too many hours trying in the last few days trying to be nice to my daughter. She needed a Windows machine reliably running Word and Excel. Office 2013 has awful reviews. And you have to rent it with a monthly fee!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Office 2010 is fine, but buying it is amazingly difficult. You can&#8217;t buy Office 2010 from Microsoft. You&#8217;re left with the online riff-raff. One online seller took my money and never delivered it. I&#8217;ve filed a formal bitch on PayPal. I bet I&#8217;ll never get the money back. I finally got it from a place called Software King. Click <a title=\"Software King's Office 2010\" href=\"http:\/\/www.softwareking.com\/home-student-1-install\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a> I bought the <em>Microsoft Office 2010 Home and Student &#8211; 1 Install (Download Delivery). <\/em>It didn&#8217;t contain Outlook which she didn&#8217;t want, but it contained Word and Excel which she did. Meantime you open Word. At the very top of the page you see this delicious Microsoft threat:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/noncommercial.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-29047\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/noncommercial.jpg\" alt=\"noncommercial\" width=\"316\" height=\"38\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/noncommercial.jpg 316w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/noncommercial-300x36.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 316px) 100vw, 316px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I have no idea what it means. But it&#8217;s very annoying. In 50 years of buying software, I&#8217;ve never seen words like that on software. Especially software I paid good money for.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">There&#8217;s always a gotcha in dealing with Microsoft!!!!!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Saddest story I&#8217;ve read in eons.<\/strong><\/span> &#8220;<em>He Loved Her in Health and, Prosecutor Says, Raped Her in Sickness.&#8221; <\/em>It&#8217;s hard to know why the state of Iowa is wasting their money on this sadness.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/Rayhons.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-29041\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/Rayhons.jpg\" alt=\"Rayhons\" width=\"557\" height=\"446\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/Rayhons.jpg 557w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/Rayhons-300x240.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 557px) 100vw, 557px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Read the Bloomberg story <a title=\"He loved her in health and prosecutor says he raped her in sickness\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/2014-12-09\/rape-case-asks-if-wife-with-dementia-can-say-yes-to-her-husband.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton, who&#8217;s in wet, cold, blistery New York. A bit like today&#8217;s markets. My fault. Should have stayed in California.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stockmarkets are turning sour.There are reasons: + The &#8220;hot&#8221; stocks are turning sharply down. The techie ones. + Overseas. Russia. Europe. China. Their ails are detailed in a zillion places. + Valuations are high &#8212; P\/Es, etc. Several observers have written pieces with charts and circles and arrows on them. + It&#8217;s December. The vast [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29040","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29040","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29040"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29040\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29040"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29040"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29040"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}