{"id":31614,"date":"2015-08-05T10:11:15","date_gmt":"2015-08-05T14:11:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=31614"},"modified":"2015-08-05T10:11:15","modified_gmt":"2015-08-05T14:11:15","slug":"blame-taylor-swift-for-apples-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=31614","title":{"rendered":"Blame Taylor Swift for Apple&#8217;s fall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Ever since Taylor Swift took on Apple (and won), the stock has been in freefall. That irrelevancy lets me run a picture of my favorite pop star:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/TaylorSwiftAgain.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31617\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/TaylorSwiftAgain.jpg\" alt=\"TaylorSwiftAgain\" width=\"500\" height=\"333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/TaylorSwiftAgain.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/TaylorSwiftAgain-300x199.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nApple became a bleeding obvious sell when it failed four times to break through its ceiling of $132.64.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/AppleCeiling.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31619\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/AppleCeiling.jpg\" alt=\"AppleCeiling\" width=\"644\" height=\"353\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/AppleCeiling.jpg 644w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/AppleCeiling-300x164.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 644px) 100vw, 644px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But why it fell so precipitously is unclear. The only negative news is that it&#8217;s now number three, not number one in cell phones in China, s it used to be. The others sell low cost phones. I&#8217;m guessing in dollar volume, Apple is still number one. It&#8217;s not becoming an MVNO (cell service reseller) &#8212; that would be dumb. And there is talk of new products, like the Apple TV.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Fact is a bunch of day traders hammered the stock with short sales. There&#8217;s 62.1 million shares of Apple sold short. That&#8217;s 1.08% of the Apple float. Not a lot of the float. But it&#8217;s $7.1 billion in short sales.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I suspect that the selling is almost over. But catching falling knives is not my favorite occupation. The stock is a screaming buy on &#8220;value&#8221; considerations &#8212; its P\/E is 13.2. And its dividend yield is 1.81% which is bound to rise shortly. Friends are putting in limit buy orders at $105 &#8212; way below where it is this morning! Optimism reigns.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;Value&#8221; is not where the world is a present. From <em>Business Insider<\/em> yesterday:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">\u00a0<strong>It is just not David Einhorn&#8217;s kind of market.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The billionaire hedge fund manager said on a conference call Tuesday morning that investors are shunning value stocks for momentum stocks, and it&#8217;s taking a toll on his portfolio.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">&#8220;The overall market environment has become acutely unfavorable for our investment strategy,&#8221; Einhorn said on the call.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">&#8220;While we could have done better in a couple of spots, we don&#8217;t expect to do well when investors shunned value stocks in favor of momentum stocks. We&#8217;ve experienced this type of dynamic a few times before and in each case, the short-term results been painful for us. As before, we expect that the environment will improve and we will recover.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Einhorn&#8217;s Greenlight Re investment portfolio lost 1.5% in the second quarter of 2015, bringing it down 3.2% in the last six months. In July the fund had its worst performance since August 2008. Losses were &#8220;broad-based&#8221; according to Einhorn, but the worst losses stemmed from solar energy company SunEdison.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The company is still up 14% year to date but has lost 23% over the last month.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here&#8217;s SUNE and its recent crash. (SUNE provides solar panel installations, which no one allegedly wants these days because of oil&#8217;s fall and forecast even bigger fall &#8212; when Iran comes on).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/SUNEOverOneYear.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31621\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/SUNEOverOneYear.jpg\" alt=\"SUNEOverOneYear\" width=\"639\" height=\"340\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/SUNEOverOneYear.jpg 639w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/SUNEOverOneYear-300x159.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 639px) 100vw, 639px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>As to the perils of stockmarket investing: <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Be grateful you&#8217;re not in this:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Shares of AAC Holdings today suffered their worst plunge ever. Last Wednesday, the company disclosed that its former president has been indicted on a second-degree murder charge. The case relates to the death of a patient in 2010 at American Addiction Centers, to which AAC is a parent company. A civil case was confidentially settled, but the indictment, returned by a grand jury, was unsealed last week. Shares plunged 53% to as low as $15.09.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/AACHoldings.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31622\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/AACHoldings.jpg\" alt=\"AACHoldings\" width=\"640\" height=\"323\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/AACHoldings.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/AACHoldings-300x151.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Opinion: 3 hot (momentum) growth stocks that aren&#8217;t Google, Amazon or Netflix<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">MarketWatch did a piece on them and idenfitied Fitbit (FIT), Skechers (SKX) and GoPro (GPRO). I&#8217;ve had two of them listed on the right &#8212; FIT and GPRO. Great. But I missed SKX. Still Nike and Under Armour are doing well.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The article is <a title=\"Three Growth Stocks\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/3-hot-growth-stocks-that-arent-google-amazon-or-netflix-2015-08-03\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The latest scam.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Call it &#8220;Direct marketing continuity subscription.&#8221; They sell you something cheap. So cheap you can&#8217;t resist. Then six months later they bill your credit at the full price forever and ever. By the time you&#8217;ve caught it and cancelled, you&#8217;re in the hole for oodles of time and aggravation. They&#8217;re dong it for wine, for investment advisory services, for magazines and for a million other things. I suspect &#8220;free&#8221; Windows 10 from Microsoft falls into this category also.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Avoid checking your luggage<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You <strong>can<\/strong> cram everything you need for the trip into one or two bags you can fit overhead. Trust me. Just board early while there&#8217;s still space.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The joys of startups.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My friend who invests in them emailed me that his startup investments have two characteristics:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><em>One foot is in the grave and the other is on a banana peel!<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I love that quote.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Rebooting still works:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It works with phones, with computers, with tablets, with DSL routers, with cable modems, with wireless WiFi gadgetry, etc.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Unplug it, count to 20 and plug it in.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">For the iPhone, trying resetting network settings. If that doesn&#8217;t work, back the phone up and then erase all content and settings. An hour later it will work fine. Don&#8217;t take it into Apple. You&#8217;ll waste even more time.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Good news from the Economist<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The number of abortions performed each year in America has fallen by a third since 1990. Without Planned Parenthood it would be far higher.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">To read the Economist&#8217;s piece, click <a title=\"The Economist on Planned Parenthood.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/news\/united-states\/21660176-dislike-abortion-and-support-planned-parenthood-should-go-together-tissue-trade\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton who&#8217;s been enjoying some days in the glorious summer weather in Columbia County, upstate New York. This afternoon, back to the City, and reality. Yuch.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/ColumbiaCounty.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-31626\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/ColumbiaCounty.jpg\" alt=\"ColumbiaCounty\" width=\"550\" height=\"413\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/ColumbiaCounty.jpg 550w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/08\/ColumbiaCounty-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This photo taken this morning with my iPhone 6. I got Rosie to pose on our patio. Today&#8217;s big accomplishment. Note the towels (from swimming in the local hole) drying in the sun. Neat!<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){   (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),   m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)   })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');   ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');   ga('send', 'pageview');\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ever since Taylor Swift took on Apple (and won), the stock has been in freefall. That irrelevancy lets me run a picture of my favorite pop star: Apple became a bleeding obvious sell when it failed four times to break through its ceiling of $132.64. But why it fell so precipitously is unclear. The only [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31614"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31614\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}