{"id":33105,"date":"2015-11-18T09:29:42","date_gmt":"2015-11-18T14:29:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=33105"},"modified":"2015-11-18T09:29:42","modified_gmt":"2015-11-18T14:29:42","slug":"not-richer-but-definitely-smarter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=33105","title":{"rendered":"Not richer, but definitely smarter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This is where I spent the last two days:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/RobinHood.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33070\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/RobinHood.jpg\" alt=\"RobinHood\" width=\"600\" height=\"127\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/RobinHood.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/RobinHood-300x63.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I and several hundred others each paid $7,500 for a seriously good cause &#8212; helping poor people in New York City. Unique to the conference is that the sponsors &#8212; including JPMorgan and Hyatt (and probably Bloomberg) &#8212; pick up all the expenses. All our attendance fees go 100% to the good work. Most charities have an administration fee &#8212; which covers promotion, salaries and expenses. Not this one. 100% of what&#8217;s raised goes to their good work. It&#8217;s a genius you have to admire.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">None of the speakers get paid. They donate their time because they support what Robin Hood does. Many of the hedge fund speakers are in fact on Robin Hood&#8217;s board and they pick up the charity&#8217;s other operating expenses out of their own pockets.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I attend the conference because I support their work. I&#8217;d write them a $7,500 check without a conference. But I attend the conference because I&#8217;ll find a stock tip or two that will make me enough money to pay off my $7,500. That&#8217;s the pitch that all the attendees believe. It&#8217;s brilliant marketing. And it got Robin Hood nearly $6 million from the conference. Who can object?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;m not objecting, just feeling a little peeved, a little mislead. Maybe I was little naive.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">First, I really believed that the &#8220;Best Ideas&#8221; as presented by the billionaire hedgies were really gong to be valuable ideas &#8212; on which I could make a few shekels. Dumb! Wrong. Last year&#8217;s best ideas turned out to be lousy ideas &#8212; especially if you held them too long. A prime example being Clovis (CLVS). Last year&#8217;s pusher of Clovis &#8212; Oleg Nodelman &#8212; was there again this year pushing more &#8220;good ideas&#8221; (FGEN and RTRX), but not apologizing for last year&#8217;s spectacularly bad idea. Biotech stocks are a huge gamble.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Second, it just dawned on that everyone pushing a stock already had a hefty position in the stock (long or short) &#8212; and stood to benefit enormously by the free sales pitch they gave at the conference. There are hundreds of people sitting in that audience on trading stocks on Hyatt&#8217;s WiFi and their own personal hotspots. When they hear a &#8220;best idea&#8221; they buy or short it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The best example was Universal Insurance Holdings. Anthony Bozza of Lakewoood Capital Management gave a brilliant best idea short pitch on what a disaster Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) of Florida was. And within moments &#8212; literally moments &#8212;\u00a0 this is what happened to UVE:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/UVE.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33119\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/UVE.jpg\" alt=\"UVE\" width=\"645\" height=\"352\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/UVE.jpg 645w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/UVE-300x163.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 645px) 100vw, 645px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Based on Bozza&#8217;s presentation, UVE is still a great short. My favorite Bozza slide was a gem on Sean P. Downes who is UVE&#8217;s president and CEO:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/Downes.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33121\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/Downes.jpg\" alt=\"Downes\" width=\"600\" height=\"431\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/Downes.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/Downes-300x215.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I shouldn&#8217;t be showing you this slide since we were all asked not to put the results on social media or take photographs of the presenters&#8217; PowerPoint slides. (I took a photograph of the slide above with my new Canon G5X, which I really like. More about that in coming days.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">And I was prepared to honor all the requests for privacy, including no photographs and not tweeting &#8220;Best Ideas&#8221; &#8212; until I realized that every utterance of a stock was instantly reported by Bloomberg and available within seconds on every one of Bloomberg&#8217;s godzillion terminals in 70+ countries all over the world&#8230;. And appeared in several stories from Business Insider and God knows who else.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">If you have a Bloomberg terminal, you can probably find all the stocks mentioned at the conference and who mentioned them. For those of us who don&#8217;t have one, here&#8217;s a photograph of the Bloomberg screen which they projected up on a big screen. I took the photograph from my seat in the fifth row, using my trusty Canon 65X:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/StocksPushedatRobinHood.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33125\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/StocksPushedatRobinHood.jpg\" alt=\"StocksPushedatRobinHood\" width=\"600\" height=\"836\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/StocksPushedatRobinHood.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/StocksPushedatRobinHood-215x300.jpg 215w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bloomberg itself has a big story<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/MovingFeast.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33130\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/MovingFeast.jpg\" alt=\"MovingFeast\" width=\"550\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/MovingFeast.jpg 550w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/MovingFeast-300x109.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You can read it. Click <a title=\"Bets made at the Robin Hood Investor Conference\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-11-17\/here-are-some-of-the-big-bets-being-made-at-the-robin-hood-investor-s-conference\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You can also google Robin Hood Investors Conference. You&#8217;ll find a zillion stories from ValueWalk to Business Insider, etc.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It&#8217;s a real pleasure listening and watching the presentations &#8212; many of which have involved months and months of expensive, detailed, in-the-field research. These guys are no slouches and &#8212; I dare say &#8212; deserve their billions. Their power is awesome. At the conference Bill Ackman suggested that Canadian Pacific Railway would do itself good buying Norfolk Southern. By the end of day &#8212; before the conference even ended &#8212; we heard news that Canadian Pacific\u00a0 had bid $28.4 billion for Norfolk Southern (which it promptly rejected). But Norfolk Southern&#8217;s stock is up, and I&#8217;m guessing Mr. Ackman&#8217;s net worth.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In coming days, I&#8217;ll report more on what I learned yesterday. Personally I did not buy or sell anything based on what I heard over the last two days. I would have sold UVE short this morning, had they not already knocked it down 10% yesterday.\u00a0 Based on what I heard, it&#8217;s going to zero, zippo, niente, with the next storm in Florida.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Robin Hood is already selling tickets to next year&#8217;s conference &#8212; at 10% off, which might be 20% if they move on their promise to bump next year&#8217;s conference up by 10%. I don&#8217;t have a link, yet.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton who has been told that Frontline last night was truly frightening. It&#8217;s being repeated this evening. It&#8217;s about the rise of ISIS in Afghanistan and how they train jihadists.<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is where I spent the last two days: I and several hundred others each paid $7,500 for a seriously good cause &#8212; helping poor people in New York City. Unique to the conference is that the sponsors &#8212; including JPMorgan and Hyatt (and probably Bloomberg) &#8212; pick up all the expenses. All our attendance [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33105\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}