{"id":33405,"date":"2015-12-11T10:39:54","date_gmt":"2015-12-11T15:39:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=33405"},"modified":"2015-12-11T10:39:54","modified_gmt":"2015-12-11T15:39:54","slug":"day-trading-travel-and-our-weak-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=33405","title":{"rendered":"Day trading, travel and our weak markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Our friends the Saudis are pumping oil like there&#8217;s no tomorrow\u00a0 &#8212; a nasty little ploy to destroy the U.S.&#8217;s young fracking industry.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">They&#8217;re succeeding. I believe they&#8217;ll seriously hurt themselves also. I&#8217;m praying. They&#8217;re not my favorite family.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I can&#8217;t imagine that the merger of Dow and Dupont (DD) has any chance of succeeding. Since the announcement, both stocks have fallen sharply. My guess is they&#8217;ll fall farther. Big mergers that big simply don&#8217;t work. They fail because <strong>no one<\/strong> is motivated to make them succeed. All the senior executives have received their bonuses. You get the message.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Russia&#8217;s central bank interest rate is 11%. That&#8217;s a place <strong>not<\/strong> to be &#8212; unless you enjoy watching your rubles fall inexorably, day by day in value.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Emerging countries are de-emerging, if I can coin a new word.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Overseas is cheap to travel to &#8212; for tourism, not for investing.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>I get emails. <\/strong><\/span>Today&#8217;s favorite:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Retailers.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33406\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Retailers.jpg\" alt=\"Retailers\" width=\"550\" height=\"449\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Retailers.jpg 550w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Retailers-300x244.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Buy Macys and Wal-mart. But the shoppers are choosing Kohl&#8217;s. What am I missing? From MarketWatch:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Macy&#8217;s (<a title=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/tools\/quotes\/detail.asp?view=detail&amp;symb=M&amp;siteid=nwhneedtoknow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/tools\/quotes\/detail.asp?view=detail&amp;symb=M&amp;siteid=nwhneedtoknow\">M<\/a>)\u00a0has slumped 43% this year, Wal-Mart&#8217;s (<a title=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/tools\/quotes\/detail.asp?view=detail&amp;symb=WMT&amp;siteid=nwhneedtoknow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/tools\/quotes\/detail.asp?view=detail&amp;symb=WMT&amp;siteid=nwhneedtoknow\">WMT<\/a>)\u00a0down 31% and even a broad play like the S&amp;P retail ETF (<a title=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/tools\/quotes\/detail.asp?view=detail&amp;symb=XRT&amp;siteid=nwhneedtoknow\" href=\"http:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/tools\/quotes\/detail.asp?view=detail&amp;symb=XRT&amp;siteid=nwhneedtoknow\">XRT<\/a>) is off 7.8%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">But the take over at Nomura is basically: buy \u2018em.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The bank&#8217;s analysts that track retailers have a neutral view on the struggling sector, but they&#8217;ve offered up four stocks to buy, even though the consensus on those names is to run from them.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The four retailers Nomura is recommending: Amazon, Costco, Macys and Wal-mart (bot Kohl&#8217;s.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Wall Street&#8217;s latest enthusiasm &#8220;bottom fishing.&#8221; Good idea if we&#8217;ve reached bottom. But many classes of stocks simply haven&#8217;t, including REITs (like NLY and AGNC) and psuedo -REITs (like LADR) and anything to do with energy, commodities or metals. Which brings us to:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>What&#8217;s happening in iron ore: <\/strong><\/span>From Bloomberg:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/IronOreStory.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33414\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/IronOreStory.jpg\" alt=\"IronOreStory\" width=\"700\" height=\"427\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/IronOreStory.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/IronOreStory-300x183.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Read the full story <a title=\"Steel output to drop\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2015-12-11\/iron-ore-in-worst-run-since-08-as-china-s-steel-output-may-drop\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The joy of disposal. <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It may be a wonderful. But if I haven&#8217;t used or worn it in the last year, out it goes. Junking stuff is cathartic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The 50 Most Beautiful Places in the world, including <\/strong><\/span>Cappadocia, Turkey:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Turkey2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33418\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Turkey2.jpg\" alt=\"Turkey2\" width=\"600\" height=\"452\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Turkey2.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Turkey2-300x226.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burma (now called Myanmar).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/BaganBurma.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33419\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/BaganBurma.jpg\" alt=\"BaganBurma\" width=\"600\" height=\"449\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/BaganBurma.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/BaganBurma-300x224.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">And Namibia, Africa<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/namibDesert.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33420\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/namibDesert.jpg\" alt=\"namibDesert\" width=\"600\" height=\"457\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/namibDesert.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/namibDesert-300x228.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">For the 47 more beautiful places courtesy Conde Nast Traveler, click <a title=\"50 Most Beautiful Places in the World.\" href=\"http:\/\/www.cntraveler.com\/galleries\/2015-11-27\/the-50-most-beautiful-places-in-the-world\/1\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>New books<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">+ A bookseller conducting a market survey asked a woman &#8211; &#8220;Which book has helped you most in your life?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u00a0\u00a0 The woman replied &#8211; &#8220;My husband&#8217;s check book!!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">+ A prospective husband in a bookstore &#8220;Do you have a book called, &#8216;Husband &#8211; the Master of the House?&#8217;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u00a0\u00a0 Salesgirl: &#8220;Sir, Fiction and Comics are on the 1st floor!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">+ Someone asked an old man: &#8220;Even after 70 years, you still call your wife Darling, Honey, Luv. What&#8217;s the secret ?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u00a0\u00a0 I forgot her name and I&#8217;m too scared to ask.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton who has an idea: Down days, like today, are excellent for day trading. Pick your favorite heavily-traded, but relatively stable stock. Buy 100 on a dip. Sell it in 15 minutes when it rises 10 cents. Do it a few times. You won&#8217;t make anything significant. But you&#8217;ll get the hang. Maybe learn a new skill?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Have a great weekend. Throw out stuff. We just threw an entire dumpster. Great for the soul.<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our friends the Saudis are pumping oil like there&#8217;s no tomorrow\u00a0 &#8212; a nasty little ploy to destroy the U.S.&#8217;s young fracking industry. They&#8217;re succeeding. I believe they&#8217;ll seriously hurt themselves also. I&#8217;m praying. They&#8217;re not my favorite family. I can&#8217;t imagine that the merger of Dow and Dupont (DD) has any chance of succeeding. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33405","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33405","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33405"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33405\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33405"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33405"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33405"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}