{"id":34123,"date":"2016-03-11T15:09:33","date_gmt":"2016-03-11T20:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=34123"},"modified":"2016-03-11T15:09:33","modified_gmt":"2016-03-11T20:09:33","slug":"be-cautious","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=34123","title":{"rendered":"Be cautious"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I read too much that is depressing &#8212; Egypt, Brazil, Europe, Russia, China, (and the Canadian and Australian dollars). I know that the U.S. is big and doing OK. And I know stockmarkets here are up today, Friday. But I worry. No one can predict the next recession, except we seem to be overdue for one.\u00a0 It&#8217;s hard to believe that if something goes awry, Washington will be able to deal with it. We&#8217;ve run out monetary stimulus &#8212; interest rates and quantitative easing. And the Washington Congress gridlock seems incapable of fixing some bridges, roads, airports, subways,\u00a0 and providing some nice jobs doing the work.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">By nature I&#8217;m an optimistic guy and I still own some stocks. But I&#8217;m very attracted to cash. I wish I could find some nice warm place to put it, other than:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-34126\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Mattress-Bank.jpg\" alt=\"Mattress Bank\" width=\"450\" height=\"236\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Mattress-Bank.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Mattress-Bank-300x157.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I am being inundated by new companies who want money and promise Facebook\/Google returns. But my days of investing in young, small companies are drawing to an end. I am increasingly turned off skimpy PowerPoint decks that forget minor things like:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Marketing and sales plans.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ A detailed look at the competition and what they offer.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ An exit plan &#8212; like when and how am I likely to get my money back. (I may not be alive.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Every deck seems to tell me how large the addressable market is (huge), and how smart the executives are (very smart).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Whatever happened to written documents, detailing risks, strategies, ambitions, etc.? Why do I have to keep asking the same questions?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>You can sort of save $100 on an Apple Watch.<\/strong><\/span> B&amp;H Photo is selling it at $50 less than Apple and throwing in a $50 store gift card. Click <a title=\"Apple Watch on sale\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bhphotovideo.com\/c\/buy\/watch\/ci\/28821\/N\/3736825639?utm_medium=Email%201608682&amp;utm_campaign=NewAnnouncement&amp;utm_source=MultiBrands%20160223&amp;utm_content=Retail&amp;utm_term=apple-watch-amazing-savings\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Lots of ways to speak to your iPhone <\/strong><\/span>&#8212; and save typing and time.<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"> There&#8217;s Siri from Apple which comes with the iPhone. There&#8217;s Google. And now there&#8217;s Hound. Download them from the Apple App Store and try them. Personally I prefer Siri, but Google is pretty good. Hound has potential.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Answers we wish we had thought of.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It was mealtime during an airline flight.<br \/>\n&#8216;Would you like dinner?&#8217;, the flight attendant asked John, seated in front.<br \/>\n&#8216;What are my choices?&#8217; John asked.<br \/>\n&#8216;Yes or no,&#8217; she replied.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">A flight attendant was stationed at the departure gate to check tickets.<br \/>\nAs a man approached, she extended her hand for the ticket and he opened his trench coat and flashed her.<br \/>\nWithout missing a beat, she said, &#8216;Sir, I need to see your ticket, not your stub.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Paulette was picking through the frozen turkeys at the grocery store but she couldn&#8217;t find one big enough for her family.<br \/>\nShe asked a stock boy, &#8216; Do these turkeys get any bigger?&#8217;<br \/>\nThe stock boy replied, &#8216;No ma&#8217;am, they&#8217;re dead&#8230;&#8217;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">A truck driver was driving along on the freeway and noticed a sign that read: Low Bridge Ahead.<br \/>\nBefore he knows it, the bridge is right in front of him and his truck gets wedged under it.<br \/>\nCars are backed up for miles. Finally a police car comes up. The cop gets out of his car and walks to the truck driver, puts his hands on his hips and says, &#8216;Got stuck, huh?&#8217;<br \/>\nThe truck driver says, &#8216;No, I was delivering this bridge and I ran out of gas.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton, who has come down with a cold in Paradise (Indian Wells, California). That cold is affecting his outlook on life.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Watch out for those stop losses. Love and hope are not a substitutes for taking your losses and moving on. Better yet, if you&#8217;re up on a stock, but you don&#8217;t quite know why, take some profits. No one went broke taking a profit, even a small one.\u00a0 I do like HA, ALK, VZ, T and SGOL. My biggest holding of them is VZ.<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I read too much that is depressing &#8212; Egypt, Brazil, Europe, Russia, China, (and the Canadian and Australian dollars). I know that the U.S. is big and doing OK. And I know stockmarkets here are up today, Friday. But I worry. No one can predict the next recession, except we seem to be overdue for [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34123","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34123","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=34123"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34123\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=34123"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=34123"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=34123"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}