{"id":3953,"date":"2010-09-22T09:06:21","date_gmt":"2010-09-22T13:06:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=3953"},"modified":"2010-09-22T09:12:19","modified_gmt":"2010-09-22T13:12:19","slug":"the-fed-worries-investors-flee-to-gold-silver-palladium-and-the-aussie-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=3953","title":{"rendered":"The Fed worries. Investors &#8220;flee&#8221; to gold, silver, palladium &#8230; and the Aussie dollar!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The Fed&#8217;s FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) released this statement yesterday:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August indicates that the pace of recovery in output and employment has slowed in recent months. Household spending is increasing gradually, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software is rising, though less rapidly than earlier in the year, while investment in nonresidential structures continues to be weak. Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. Housing starts are at a depressed level. Bank lending has continued to contract, but at a reduced rate in recent months. The Committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability, although the pace of economic recovery is likely to be modest in the near term.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Measures of underlying inflation are currently at levels somewhat below those <strong>the Committee judges most consistent, over the longer run, with its mandate to promote maximum employment and price stability. <\/strong>With substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer-term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to remain subdued for some time before rising to levels the Committee considers consistent with its mandate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The Committee will maintain <strong>the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1\/4 percent <\/strong>and <strong>continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period. <\/strong>The Committee also will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and is prepared to provide additional accommodation if needed to support the economic recovery and to return inflation, over time, to levels consistent with its mandate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Sandra Pianalto; Eric S. Rosengren; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Kevin M. Warsh.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Voting against the policy was Thomas M. Hoenig, who judged that the economy continues to recover at a moderate pace. Accordingly, he believed that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate<strong> for an extended period was no longer warranted and will lead to future imbalances that undermine stable long-run growth.<\/strong> In addition, given economic and financial conditions, Mr. Hoenig did not believe that continuing to reinvest principal payments from its securities holdings was required to support the Committee\u2019s policy objectives.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In short, interest rates will stay low. Harry&#8217;s conclusions:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Bonds continue to make sense. But they key is to buy opportunistically. Bonds don&#8217;t sell on an open market, like stocks. Hence, to find good bonds, you got to hunt.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ The U.S. dollar will stay weak, which is what the Fed wants &#8212; so we can export more. Stocks like Caterpillar (CAT), which export, should do fine.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Gold, silver and palladium will do OK.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Those companies\u00a0 doing OK will continue to do OK.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Somewhere in this arena of ultra-low interest rates, there&#8217;s another gigantic boom brewing. I don&#8217;t know what it is. It won&#8217;t be housing. I&#8217;d like to get in on it before it busts five years from now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Clusterstock issued a release:\u00a0 <strong>In Case You Didn&#8217;t Realize How Much Gold Investors Love Bernanke<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The price of gold spiked dramatically right around 2:15 PM ET today, as the Fed released its latest statement on the strength of the economy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The FOMC mentioned the word quantitative easing, and left the door open for future asset purchases by the central bank.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The result was a rush out of the dollar, and into a myriad of other assets. But gold&#8217;s move was the most dramatic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This is Clusterstock&#8217;s chart:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/GoldSpike.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3955\" title=\"GoldSpike\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/GoldSpike.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"607\" height=\"456\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/GoldSpike.jpg 607w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/GoldSpike-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 607px) 100vw, 607px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This is my chart:. It shows what the ETF GLD did.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/GloldSpike2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3958\" title=\"GloldSpike2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/GloldSpike2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"685\" height=\"244\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/GloldSpike2.jpg 685w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/GloldSpike2-300x106.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 685px) 100vw, 685px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>New York City cranks up its campaign against obesity.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I found this poster in a subway yesterday:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/obesity2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3960\" title=\"obesity2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/obesity2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"513\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/obesity2.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/obesity2-292x300.jpg 292w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I resisted photographing the fat people riding the subway and ignoring the poster. I went to NYC&#8217;s\u00a0 web site <a href=\"www.nyc.gov\/health\/drinkingfat\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>www.nyc.gov\/health\/drinkingfat<\/strong><\/a> and found this:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/obesity1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3959\" title=\"obesity1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/obesity1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"351\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/obesity1.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/obesity1-300x210.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;ll think of something funny tomorrow.\u00a0 Meantime, I&#8217;m sick of my taxes paying for the excessive health needs of fat people.<\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who wonders why our healthcare is so screwed up and why medicine from Canada costs 60% less (or did for something I checked yesterday) and why you can&#8217;t get your medicine shipped from Canada by FedEx? Answer the U.S. Customs seizes medicines for sick Americans and holds them for up to a month. Hence cheap Canadian pharmacies ship only by snail mail. Good riddance to Summers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Fed&#8217;s FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) released this statement yesterday: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August indicates that the pace of recovery in output and employment has slowed in recent months. Household spending is increasing gradually, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3953","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3953","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3953"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3953\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3953"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3953"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3953"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}