{"id":3978,"date":"2010-09-24T09:09:00","date_gmt":"2010-09-24T13:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=3978"},"modified":"2010-09-24T10:54:45","modified_gmt":"2010-09-24T14:54:45","slug":"still-liking-equities-still-liking-bonds-do-not-buy-tbt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=3978","title":{"rendered":"Still liking equities, still liking bonds. Do not buy TBT."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The message in the headline stands. I&#8217;m inching more into equities, including GOOG and CAT.\u00a0 I&#8217;m swapping into stronger muni bonds. I don&#8217;t believe interest rates will rise for a long, long time. In fact, they&#8217;re likely to keep falling. Muni bnds continue to make sense and will, as local and Federal taxes rise.\u00a0 Todd says take your risk in your business, not in your bond portfolio.\u00a0 Do not buy TBT which is a lousy bet on interest rates falling.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/TBTDown2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4001\" title=\"TBTDown2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/TBTDown2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"693\" height=\"273\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/TBTDown2.jpg 693w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/TBTDown2-300x118.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 693px) 100vw, 693px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">David Tepper was on CNBC this morning. He&#8217;s the president and founder of gigantic hedge fund Appaloosa. He&#8217;s averaged 40% or so for years. He&#8217;s positive on equities, but owns a lot of bonds and preferreds. He likes to be in the forefront. His wonderful expression: You get to feast on the grass or the lion gets to feast on me. He points out that the S&amp;P is just under 12 times next year&#8217;s earnings. That&#8217;s low historically.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Entrepreneurial opportunities everywhere. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">I dined at Shake Shack last night. They have a few fast food restaurants in New York.\u00a0 They make the world&#8217;s best hamburgers which they make to your order:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/ShakeShackBurger.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3994\" title=\"ShakeShackBurger\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/ShakeShackBurger.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"276\" height=\"183\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">When you place your order, they give you one of these:<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/guestpass.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3995\" title=\"guestpass\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/guestpass.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"145\" height=\"353\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/guestpass.gif 145w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/guestpass-123x300.gif 123w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 145px) 100vw, 145px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">It rings and flashes when your order is ready. It&#8217;s made by a company called JTECH, which, according to its web site, &#8220;<\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\">introduced the first silent server paging system for restaurants.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Entrepreneurship is alive and well &#8212; even in hamburgers. You should have seen the line last night at 9:30\u00a0 for hamburgers. It included a bunch of secret service guys in town to protect Obama who was visiting. If they eat there, it must be good. It was.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Short-term debt and retail failures (like Circuit City bankruptcy) hurt shopping center investments.<\/strong><\/span> But they&#8217;re coming back &#8212; sort of.\u00a0 The common deal is:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">1. The bank reduces the size of the loan. 15% s not uncommon.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">2. The bank extends the loan for another three years.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">3. The equity investors pony up more money.\u00a0 The money gets used to flossy up the shopping center and for improvements to accommodate a new tenant.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bingo, the place becomes financially viable again.\u00a0 The three-step is happening in office real estate also. All this is a positive and benefits the economy. The only problem is that banks have been slow to awaken to the new reality. Finally, they&#8217;re getting it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Wading further into the healthcare muck. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Continuing on from yesterday&#8217;s contentious column. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">First, I&#8217;m not stupid, nor cheap when it comes to my health. Second, I&#8217;ll avoid dealing with Canada and Mexico. Too many horror stories. Too many unknowns. I&#8217;ll pony up the $1,000 at my local pharmacy. Third, I&#8217;ll sign up for my Medicare RX plan in November when our government decides I&#8217;m kosher.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">But I&#8217;ll still be annoyed that I&#8217;m paying $1,000 and most patients a lot less. My dermatologist gave me this wonderful cents-off coupon. Read the words:<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Zyclara2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3993\" title=\"Zyclara2\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Zyclara2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"402\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Zyclara2.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Zyclara2-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Zyclara2-298x300.jpg 298w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><br \/>\nNice email: <\/strong><\/span>Pam emails<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 60px; text-align: left;\">I am still pretty well diversified in the market and I am over 50% cash.  I bought my husband a brand new car with my first batch of Apple stock, the second batch I bought two used cars for the teenagers, and I still have one more batch of long Apple and I plan to buy back AAPL after the sell off in November because their new products are exceptional and there is no competitor that can even touch their product for a long time..<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 60px; text-align: left;\">I had the same scenario happen with Microsoft years back.they had a pretty good 10 year cycle.  My husband and I have been very frugal and smart, we almost own our home, have absolutely no debt, my daughter got a full college scholarship, son&#8217;s starting at community college. I always make sure that I pull some money out for enjoyment, but I STILL ALWAYS HAVE THE NEW ENGLAND FRUGAL HAT ON. AND we always manage our own money and take your advice &#8220;if its too good to be true it is&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Magazines are desperate.<\/strong><\/span> Desparation leads to dishonesty. Item:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The New Yorker sent me an &#8220;about-to-expire renewal&#8221; email. Cost $69.95 for one year. I was curious. I went to www.NewYorker.com. A one year subscription is $39.95. Two years is $69.95.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">If I sign up, there&#8217;s this tiny type, &#8220;Subscribers&#8217; Automatic Renewal Feature: My magazine subscription will be automatically renewed each year unless I tell you to stop. 2 months before each new subscription term, I will receive a reminder notice highlighting the renewal rate then in effect. If I do nothing, my credit card will be charged or I will receive an invoice for another subscription year. I may cancel by calling 1-800-405-8085 begin_of_the_skype_highlighting\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a01-800-405-8085\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0end_of_the_skype_highlighting\u00a0 at any time during my subscription or up to one year after the address is considered undeliverable, and receive a full refund on any unmailed issues.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My present subscription doesn&#8217;t expire until November 22. That&#8217;s in even tinier type.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">What&#8217;s irksome: I really like the magazine. I hate them\u00a0 playing games with my brain.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>A bargain at twice the price.<\/strong><\/span> Chopard has chosen to mark its 150th anniversary by creating the most complicated watch in its history.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Choppard.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3977\" title=\"Choppard\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Choppard.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"444\" height=\"320\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Choppard.jpg 444w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/Choppard-300x216.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 444px) 100vw, 444px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This mechanical monster features four winding barrels, 516 parts and 42 jewels. The case houses dials for hours, minutes, small seconds, a perpetual calendar, and 24-hour indicator. Turning the watch over (I don&#8217;t have a photo) reveals a secondary set of indicators that show equation of time (whatever that is), power reserve, sunrise and sunset times, an orbital moon phase display and whether it is day or night (most useful if you live in a\u00a0 cave).\u00a0 The watch delivers less accurate time than my $15 quartz Timex, but it requires regular, expensive maintenance.\u00a0 The cost is only $300,000.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Aw shucks. To the rescue &#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/ChopardFake2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3980\" title=\"ChopardFake2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/ChopardFake2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"368\" height=\"320\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/ChopardFake2.jpg 368w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/ChopardFake2-300x260.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 368px) 100vw, 368px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This fake one only costs $113. Click <a href=\"http:\/\/www.idolreplicas.com\/chopard-l-u-c-tourbillon-chronograph-automatic-rose-gold-case-with-white-dial-leather-strap-replica-watch--63167.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a> Use this one to impress your friends. And your Timex to tell the time.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>What am I?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/SeeingEyeDog.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3982\" title=\"SeeingEyeDog\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/SeeingEyeDog.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"324\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/SeeingEyeDog.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/09\/SeeingEyeDog-300x216.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><em>I&#8217;m a guide dog for someone wearing a Burqa.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I know this is stupid. But I found it funny. I&#8217;m weird.<\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who has added two stocks to the recommended list &#8212; GOOG and CAT. I looked at ARMH. I like its story. Chip maker to the mobile business. But it&#8217;s become very pricey &#8212; Something like 70+ P\/E.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The message in the headline stands. I&#8217;m inching more into equities, including GOOG and CAT.\u00a0 I&#8217;m swapping into stronger muni bonds. I don&#8217;t believe interest rates will rise for a long, long time. In fact, they&#8217;re likely to keep falling. Muni bnds continue to make sense and will, as local and Federal taxes rise.\u00a0 Todd [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3978","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3978"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3978\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}