{"id":43624,"date":"2018-07-25T15:14:12","date_gmt":"2018-07-25T19:14:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=43624"},"modified":"2018-07-25T15:14:12","modified_gmt":"2018-07-25T19:14:12","slug":"everything-is-noise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=43624","title":{"rendered":"Everything is noise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Today our tech stocks are up. Yesterday they were down.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">There is no joy in watching the daily gyrations.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">There is no joy in figuring out where the &#8220;Tariff Trade War&#8221; will go or who it will affect.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My simple idea is to stay away from companies at the center of it, .e.g.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/hog2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-43625\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/hog2.jpg\" alt=\"hog2\" width=\"537\" height=\"241\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/hog2.jpg 537w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/hog2-300x135.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 537px) 100vw, 537px\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/whirlpool.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-43626\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/whirlpool.jpg\" alt=\"whirlpool\" width=\"551\" height=\"248\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/whirlpool.jpg 551w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/whirlpool-300x135.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 551px) 100vw, 551px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The Internet is <strong>The Big Growth.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In 1989\u00a0Tim Berners-Lee developed the software for the World Wide Web and then gave it away for free. Initially, Berners-Lee&#8217;s innovation was intended to help scientists share data across a then obscure platform called the Internet, a version of which the U.S. government had been using since the 1960s. But owing to his decision to release the source code for free &#8211; to make the Web an open and democratic platform for all &#8211; his brainchild quickly took on a life of its own.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Tim now estimates that sometime this November, half the world&#8217;s population &#8212; close to 4 billion people &#8212; will be connected online, sharing everything from r\u00e9sum\u00e9s to political views to DNA information. And buying endless stuff they often don&#8217;t need and searching for answers to life&#8217;s riddles.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Hence FANG, Square, Salesforce, and Microsoft, etc. My list of favored stocks is in the right hand column on my web site. Click <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">here.<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Sometimes some of my favorites mess up, or are perceived as messing up, e.g. Netflix:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/NetflixBuy.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-43629\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/NetflixBuy.jpg\" alt=\"NetflixBuy\" width=\"541\" height=\"241\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/NetflixBuy.jpg 541w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/NetflixBuy-300x134.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 541px) 100vw, 541px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">All my friends are salivating. Netflix is cheap. They want to own more Netflix. But at what price? Some have limit buy orders in a $320. Some have already bought (at higher prices, like me). Good strategy: Put some orders in at various prices. See what you can snag.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The biggest bargain in tech stocks is clearly Apple. I eye my friends. Some have Apple&#8217;s latest phones. Some don&#8217;t. I don&#8217;t know anyone who has the top of the line X model. (My friends are cheap.) There&#8217;s little reason to get it. I have iPhone 8 plus.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But next year, Apple will introduce a 5G iPhone and that <strong>will<\/strong> be worth buying. Figure speeds of maybe 50 to 100 times faster than what you&#8217;re getting now. You&#8217;ll be watching movies and crunching your business&#8217;s customer data &#8212; giving you huge competitive edge. And a million other uses not yet discovered.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My first laptop had a top speed of 300 bits per second. It was a Radio Shack TRS-100. I sent stories in on flimsy phone lines. Every time we&#8217;ve had a boost in telecom speed (as we went from copper, to coax, to wireless, to fiber, to satellite &#8212;\u00a0we&#8217;ve found and grown fantastic new uses. I think of the Apple Store and the Cloud. and I think of Netflix and Salesforce and Amazon and Shopify.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;ll the first buyer of Apple&#8217;s 5G iPhone. But I&#8217;ll be standing in a long, long line.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">If\u00a0 I were young I&#8217;d spend this summer learning how to code, and making a list of all the idiocies (also called opportunities) of the big guys. I&#8217;d probably move to Silicon Valley, too.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I couldn&#8217;t be more optimistic for what&#8217;s happening to us.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>To repeat.\u00a0Stocks not to own:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Biotech<br \/>\n+ Marijuana (despite being 100% legal in Canada in October and many U.S. states)<br \/>\n+ Cryptocurrencies, like bitcoin and ethereum<br \/>\n+ Miners<br \/>\n+ Banks<br \/>\n+ Energy companies<br \/>\n+ Tobacco companies<br \/>\n+ Most retailers &#8212; except those with their own proprietary products<br \/>\n+ Companies caught in Trump&#8217;s crosshairs, e.g. Harley Davidson, Ford and Pfizer<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Wonderful cartoons from the latest New Yorker:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/plants.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-43633\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/plants.jpg\" alt=\"plants\" width=\"500\" height=\"448\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/plants.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/plants-300x269.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Dude.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-43634\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Dude.jpg\" alt=\"Dude\" width=\"500\" height=\"532\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Dude.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/Dude-282x300.jpg 282w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/elephant.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-43635\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/elephant.jpg\" alt=\"elephant\" width=\"500\" height=\"399\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/elephant.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/elephant-300x239.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>How to fix DirecTV<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Our roof antenna got hit. One of the four satellite pointing things is dead. DirecTV uses four satellites. That meant for us no HD on local channels. Two solutions: Fix the dish &#8212; if you can get to it. Ours is on the roof and hard to get to. Or use your remote thus: Menu\/Settings &amp; Help\/Settings\/Display\/Preferences: Show all channels.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton, who will shortly write a book on dealing with contractors. The first rule is: Never give them significant money up front. I have no idea how to motivate them to show up on time&#8230;.That&#8217;s for smarter minds. Nick, are you listening? Please come over and do what you promised you would do.<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n<\/script>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Today our tech stocks are up. Yesterday they were down. There is no joy in watching the daily gyrations. There is no joy in figuring out where the &#8220;Tariff Trade War&#8221; will go or who it will affect. My simple idea is to stay away from companies at the center of it, .e.g. The Internet [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43624","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43624"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43624\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43638,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43624\/revisions\/43638"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43624"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43624"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43624"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}