{"id":45891,"date":"2019-02-25T14:51:45","date_gmt":"2019-02-25T19:51:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=45891"},"modified":"2019-02-25T14:51:45","modified_gmt":"2019-02-25T19:51:45","slug":"netflix-s-huge-upside-and-takeaways-from-buffetts-wonderful-chairmans-letter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=45891","title":{"rendered":"Netflix &#8216;s huge upside and takeaways from Buffett&#8217;s wonderful chairman&#8217;s letter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Takeaways from Berkshire&#8217;s annual report:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ They hold investments through thick and thin:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 60px; text-align: left;\">Charlie and I do not view the $172.8 billion detailed above as a collection of ticker symbols &#8211; a financial dalliance to be terminated because of downgrades by &#8220;the Street,&#8221; expected Federal Reserve actions, possible political developments, forecasts by economists or whatever else might be the subject du jour.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 60px; text-align: left;\">What we see in our holdings, rather, is an assembly of companies that we partly own and that, on a weighted basis, are earning about 20% on the net tangible equity capital required to run their businesses. These companies, also, earn their profits without employing excessive levels of debt.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Buffett&#8217;s results give impressive a while new meaning. Look at the last couple of lines:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/berskhire1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-45907\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/berskhire1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"90\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/berskhire1.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/berskhire1-300x38.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/berskhire2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-45906\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/berskhire2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"76\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/berskhire2.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/berskhire2-300x33.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here are few of Buffett&#8217;s paragraphs that seriously impressed me:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>The American Tailwind<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">On March 11th, it will be 77 years since I first invested in an American business. The year was 1942, I was 11, and I went all in, investing $114.75 I had begun accumulating at age six. What I bought was three shares of Cities Service preferred stock. I had become a capitalist, and it felt good.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Let&#8217;s now travel back through the two 77-year periods that preceded my purchase. That leaves us starting in 1788, a year prior to George Washington&#8217;s installation as our first president. Could anyone then have imagined what their new country would accomplish in only three 77-year lifetimes?<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">During the two 77-year periods prior to 1942, the United States had grown from four million people &#8211; about 1\/2 of 1% of the world&#8217;s population &#8211; into the most powerful country on earth. In that spring of 1942, though, it faced a crisis: The U.S. and its allies were suffering heavy losses in a war that we had entered only three months earlier. Bad news arrived daily.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Despite the alarming headlines, almost all Americans believed on that March 11th that the war would be won. Nor was their optimism limited to that victory. Leaving aside congenital pessimists, Americans believed that their children and generations beyond would live far better lives than they themselves had led.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The nation&#8217;s citizens understood, of course, that the road ahead would not be a smooth ride. It never had been. Early in its history our country was tested by a Civil War that killed 4% of all American males and led President Lincoln to openly ponder whether &#8220;a nation so conceived and so dedicated could long endure.&#8221; In the 1930s, America suffered through the Great Depression, a punishing period of massive unemployment.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Nevertheless, in 1942, when I made my purchase, the nation expected post-war growth, a belief that proved to be well-founded. In fact, the nation&#8217;s achievements can best be described as breathtaking.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Let&#8217;s put numbers to that claim: If my $114.75 had been invested in a no-fee S&amp;P 500 index fund, and all dividends had been reinvested, my stake would have grown to be worth (pre-taxes) $606,811 on January 31, 2019 (the latest data available before the printing of this letter). That is a gain of 5,288 for 1. Meanwhile, a $1 million investment by a tax-free institution of that time &#8211; say, a pension fund or college endowment &#8211; would have grown to about $5.3 billion.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Let me add one additional calculation that I believe will shock you: If that hypothetical institution had paid only 1% of assets annually to various &#8220;helpers,&#8221; such as investment managers and consultants, its gain would have been cut in half, to $2.65 billion. That&#8217;s what happens over 77 years when the 11.8% annual return actually achieved by the S&amp;P 500 is recalculated at a 10.8% rate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You should sit down with a cup of tea and read Buffett&#8217;s entire Chairman&#8217;s letter. Click <a href=\"http:\/\/www.berkshirehathaway.com\/letters\/2018ltr.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Netflix&#8217;s explosive growth<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ It has 139 million paying customers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ It&#8217;s in 190 countries.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Two major bullish pieces on Netflix over the last couple of days:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">&#8212; <em>The New York Times<\/em> &#8220;Netflix Is the Most Intoxicating Portal to Planet Earth.\u00a0Instead of trying to sell American ideas to a foreign audience, it&#8217;s aiming to sell international ideas to a global audience.&#8221; Click <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/02\/22\/opinion\/sunday\/netflix-oscars.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here.\u00a0<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">&#8212; <em>Fast Company writes &#8220;<\/em>\u00a0Netflix has overwhelmed the conversation around popular culture for two reasons: 1) It&#8217;s producing hundreds and hundreds of hours of content a year-Netflix released approximately 80 movies last year!-so it is literally seeking to become all of pop culture. And 2) Netflix the company delights in being opaque in a way that only inspires more interest and obsession. So with that in mind, we are kicking off a week-long series today called<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/90310270\/this-is-how-netflix-changes-everything\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> <strong>Netflix Changes Everything.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Netflix hasn&#8217;t re-reached its 2018&#8217;s highs &#8212; yet&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/netflix.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-45899\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/netflix.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"583\" height=\"316\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/netflix.jpg 583w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/netflix-300x163.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 583px) 100vw, 583px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Susan and I recommend <em>Bodyguard<\/em>, an English thriller on Netflix. My friend Dan recommends\u00a0<em>Broadchurch,<\/em>\u00a0a Scottish crime show.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My friends are &#8220;cutting the cord,&#8221; (canceling cable TV) and watching what they want and when they want. Most network show episodes can be also watched later over the Internet.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Dan just bought the new $169 or $199 (32 or 64 Gigabits) Apple TV 4K. He can get everything &#8212; from network shows to Netflix, from Hulu to Amazon Prime. and a zillion others. He says the Apple TV works beautifully on his 84&#8243; LG 4K TV. He says &#8220;the picture is amazing.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Tell your son to be an\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><b>entrepreneur<\/b><\/span>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bloomberg reports that Peloton, the digital exercise equipment company, has picked Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan to lead its initial public offering, which could value the company at more than $8 billion. (Repeat that $8 billion.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Everyone in our family owns a Peloton exercise bike. You can easily spent $2500 for bike plus $60 a month plus another $30 or so for your Internet hookup. The bike is a pleasure. Our apartment building just bought for the basement gym It&#8217;s producing a lot of hot, sweaty, happy tenants.<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>More phishing<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I keep warning about phishing, because this is <strong>the easiest and most common way<\/strong> for thieves to steal from you and me.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here&#8217;s the latest one, just in.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/bankphishing.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-45892\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/bankphishing.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"451\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/bankphishing.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/bankphishing-266x300.jpg 266w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">A BIG clue to how crooked this is to look at <strong>the sender&#8217;s address.<\/strong>\u00a0This one came from rubio@agibazi.icu. I have no idea where icu is, nor do I want to find out.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Totally tasteless, but funny<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 318px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><!--[if lt IE 9]><script>document.createElement('video');<\/script><![endif]-->\n<video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-45891-1\" width=\"318\" height=\"240\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Nagging-Wife-cm.mp4?_=1\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Nagging-Wife-cm.mp4\">https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Nagging-Wife-cm.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/TotallyStupid.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-45895\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/TotallyStupid.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/TotallyStupid.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/TotallyStupid-210x300.jpg 210w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-21218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg\" alt=\"HarryNewton\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/HarryNewton-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nHarry Newton, who asks &#8220;<em>Do you want to be really depressed?&#8221;<\/em> Then read the <em>Washington Post&#8217;s<\/em> weekend piece:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>The 6 essential cons that define Trump&#8217;s success<\/strong><br \/>\nA playbook of deceit starts with the `origin lie&#8217; that made him richer than he was. And it&#8217;s still being written.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The piece concludes<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Fear of a fascist future is what led me to write (the author&#8217;s) new dystopian novel, &#8220;<em>America 2034: Utopia Rising,<\/em>&#8221; a spinoff of &#8220;1984&#8221; set in Trump&#8217;s nightmarish fifth term as President for Life. The story opens by describing how Trump declares his second state of emergency the day before the 2020 election, ordering a communications blackout to take control of polling places nationwide. This cautionary tale reflects what I fear may be Trump&#8217;s seventh, and most far-reaching, scam: conning Americans out of our democracy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Jonathan Greenberg wrote the piece. He&#8217;s an investigative financial and legal journalist and author and has been covering Trump for eons. You can read his piece <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/outlook\/2019\/02\/22\/essential-cons-that-define-trumps-success\/?utm_term=.3022c925e40c&amp;wpisrc=nl_most&amp;wpmm=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here.<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>If you can&#8217;t get through the Post&#8217;s paywall, send me an email and I&#8217;l send you the article.<\/p>\n<p><script>\/\/ <![CDATA[\n(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){i['GoogleAnalyticsObject']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){\n  (i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),\n  m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)\n  })(window,document,'script','\/\/www.google-analytics.com\/analytics.js','ga');\n\n  ga('create', 'UA-45200733-1', 'technologyinvestor.com');\n  ga('send', 'pageview');\n<\/script>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Takeaways from Berkshire&#8217;s annual report: + They hold investments through thick and thin: Charlie and I do not view the $172.8 billion detailed above as a collection of ticker symbols &#8211; a financial dalliance to be terminated because of downgrades by &#8220;the Street,&#8221; expected Federal Reserve actions, possible political developments, forecasts by economists or whatever [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45891","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45891"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45891\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45916,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45891\/revisions\/45916"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45891"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45891"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45891"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}