{"id":48435,"date":"2019-11-13T16:54:10","date_gmt":"2019-11-13T21:54:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=48435"},"modified":"2019-11-13T16:54:10","modified_gmt":"2019-11-13T21:54:10","slug":"predicting-the-future-its-so-easy-not","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=48435","title":{"rendered":"Predicting the future. It&#8217;s so easy. Not!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">How easy is it to pick what are now called &#8220;disruptors?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Invest in a successful disruptor and become rich beyond your wildest dreams.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>CB<\/strong>Insights did a beautiful piece called<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>Foot In Mouth: 59 Quotes From Big Corporate Execs Who Laughed Off Disruption When It Hit<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here are some of the choice quotes from the article:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48440\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Google-750x381.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"381\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Google-750x381.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Google-768x390.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Google.jpg 936w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48441\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IBMsFiveComputers-750x381.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"381\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IBMsFiveComputers-750x381.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IBMsFiveComputers-768x390.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/IBMsFiveComputers.jpg 893w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48442\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/fakemeat-750x416.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"416\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/fakemeat-750x416.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/fakemeat-768x426.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/fakemeat.jpg 946w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48443\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Bitcoin-750x358.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Bitcoin-750x358.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Bitcoin-768x367.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Bitcoin-1024x489.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Bitcoin.jpg 1087w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48444\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/appleWatch.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"742\" height=\"464\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48445\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Airbnb-750x397.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"397\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Airbnb-750x397.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Airbnb-768x407.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Airbnb.jpg 910w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48446\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Blockbuster-750x330.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"330\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Blockbuster-750x330.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Blockbuster-768x338.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Blockbuster-1024x450.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Blockbuster.jpg 1044w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48447\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/iphone-750x467.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"467\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/iphone-750x467.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/iphone-768x478.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/iphone.jpg 1019w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">If you despair of making your own tech predictions, buy VGT. Here it is over the past ten years.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-48449\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/VGTTenYears.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"308\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Vanguard which manages VGT explains its &#8220;Product Summary:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Seeks to track the performance of a benchmark index that measures the investment return of stocks in the information technology sector.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Passively managed, using a full-replication strategy when possible and a sampling strategy if regulatory constraints dictate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Includes stocks of companies that serve the electronics and computer industries or that manufacture products based on the latest applied science.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">VGT&#8217;s ten biggest holdings are:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">1 Apple Inc.<br \/>\n2 Microsoft Corp.<br \/>\n3 Visa Inc.<br \/>\n4 Mastercard Inc.<br \/>\n5 Intel Corp.<br \/>\n6 Cisco Systems Inc.<br \/>\n7 Adobe Inc.<br \/>\n8 Oracle Corp.<br \/>\n9 International Business Machines Corp.<br \/>\n10 salesforce.com Inc.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Perfect Christmas Present for the grandkid.\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-48438\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/lego-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"665\" height=\"528\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here&#8217;s what <em>Mens Journal<\/em> wrote about this $99 Lego set of 1023 pieces:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Even if you&#8217;re not a fan of Hogs, the Fat-Boy is a shape you likely recognize as a Harley. Designers nailed a bunch of details that make this a satisfying, 1023-piece build-from the teardrop fuel tank to Milwaukee Eight engine&#8217;s gears and pumping positions to the wide rear tire. The bike&#8217;s more than a foot long and the engine is one of the enjoyable parts to put together, though it&#8217;s a shame that a lot of that detail in the cranking positions is hidden once you&#8217;re done. Rotate the rear tire and the chain drives gears behind the gearbox. And even smaller details, which would have been easy to pass over, like the gearshift pedal, brake levers, and kickstand, all move. Really, the only thing missing here is a rear suspension. -Sal Vaglica, Senior Editor<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You can buy it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lego.com\/en-us\/product\/harley-davidson-fat-boy-10269\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a> I just did.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The idea came from Mens Journal&#8217;s\u00a0<strong>The Coolest Pieces of Gear We Tested This Week. <\/strong>You&#8217;ll also find Wilson&#8217;s latest (and greatest tennis racket) and Nike&#8217;s weird looking (but great running shoes)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-48452\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/NikeShowsWeird.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"313\" height=\"426\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">They\u00a0 go by the unforgettable name of <strong>Nike ZoomX Vaporfly NEXT%.<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">For the full <em>Men&#8217;s Journal<\/em> article, click <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mensjournal.com\/gear\/best-new-gear-coolest-gadgets-week\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>More don&#8217;t do stupids<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Hold the hand railing doing <strong>down<\/strong> the stairs.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Don&#8217;t send it back. Check the cable. It&#8217;s always the cable.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ <em>Check Engine<\/em> light can be turned off by wiping your gas tank&#8217;s filler cap and pipe.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Stop buying stuff. You don&#8217;t need it. Send it back.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Only buy from companies which have free return shipping.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Rebooting solves every problem including your phone, your cable box, and your Apple Watch.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Favorite Trump Wall<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-48453\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/actualTrumpWall.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"318\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Favorite cartoon<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-48455\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/characterwitnesses.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"675\" height=\"489\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Great Christmas presents for your better half<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">How about some colorful snakeskin shoes?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-48457\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/snakeskinshoes.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"626\" height=\"412\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">If not, what about these?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-48461\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/snakesshoes-1-504x600.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"504\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/snakesshoes-1-504x600.jpg 504w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/snakesshoes-1.jpg 612w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 504px) 100vw, 504px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It gives me great pleasure to know that I live in a country in which a clever entrepreneur can sell anything &#8212; including these incredible snake boots.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I updated our portfolio.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">See you tomorrow with more goodies &#8212; Harry Newton<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How easy is it to pick what are now called &#8220;disruptors?&#8221; Invest in a successful disruptor and become rich beyond your wildest dreams. CBInsights did a beautiful piece called Foot In Mouth: 59 Quotes From Big Corporate Execs Who Laughed Off Disruption When It Hit Here are some of the choice quotes from the article: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48435"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48435\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48464,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48435\/revisions\/48464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}