{"id":50131,"date":"2020-04-02T10:39:33","date_gmt":"2020-04-02T14:39:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=50131"},"modified":"2020-04-02T10:39:33","modified_gmt":"2020-04-02T14:39:33","slug":"this-is-difficult-to-figure-health-and-the-economy-are-not-getting-any-better-so-stocks-should-be-cratering","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=50131","title":{"rendered":"This is difficult to figure. Health and the economy are not getting any better. So stocks should be cratering&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This is gruesomely\u00a0 difficult to figure.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Health and the economy &#8212; confirmed by awful unemployment numbers and escalating virus deaths &#8212; are not getting any better. The outlook for asset values &#8212; stocks, residential and commercial real estate,\u00a0 commercial loans, and anything else we&#8217;ve invested in over the years &#8212; is just plain\u00a0awful.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It&#8217;s now April and everybody and their uncle are not paying their rent and\/or are looking for a deal. Landlords are fighting a difficult battle. Investors, like me, are wondering &#8220;What now?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">There is no pleasure in looking at the screen of your portfolio. There&#8217;s a helplessness there as you watch your portfolio&#8217;s value eking slowly away. But then bouncing. For weird reasons. Or lack of weird reasons.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My favorite Zoom Video zoomed and today crashed after reporting that the explosion in its users (a good thing) had caused it to compromise its much-touted security (a bad thing), thus handing a huge win to competitors Cisco and Microsoft, who seem to be better on video conferencing security, for now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here&#8217;s Zoom Video over the last ten days:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-50133\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/ZoomCrash-750x527.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/ZoomCrash-750x527.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/ZoomCrash-768x540.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/ZoomCrash.jpg 878w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">There are clarion calls for a &#8220;balanced portfolio.&#8221; The easiest way to get that is to buy the triple S&amp;P downers &#8212; SPXU or SPXS. Some friends are 100% in these. Other investors, like myself have some of them, while I progressively dispose of my favorite stocks &#8212; or at least the ones I have left, like Microsoft, Apple and Adobe.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I also had this fantasy that I should own some Covid-19 stocks &#8212; like LLY, GILD, JNJ and REGN. But that collection is just spraying red ink across my screen. Yuch.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;m concluding that I&#8217;m not up for owning stocks in this toxic environment. I should give up that endeavor, hold more cash, and focus on staying well &#8212; which largely consists of doing what my children tell me to do and not to do.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I do know that some point we&#8217;ll reach bottom. Stocks will be a bargain &#8212; like they were in March, 2009 &#8212; and I&#8217;ll pile in and get rich beyond my wildest dreams. Right on, Harry.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But will I be able to do that? Look at this chart. Why wasn&#8217;t I smart enough to buy Netflix at $300 on March 16?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-50140\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/netflixlow-750x425.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"425\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/netflixlow-750x425.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/netflixlow-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/netflixlow.jpg 871w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">For now I have enough cash to maintain my stay-at-home life style. No travel. No Airbnb or Vrbo. In the next few days, we&#8217;ll be playing tennis outside. That game is the ultimate social distancing sport.<\/p>\n<p>I can always take Rosie (our dog) for a walk. Though I suspect she is walked out.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Now to some &#8220;humor&#8221;<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Outside a book store, now closed:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-50134\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/CurrentAffairs-723x600.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"723\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/CurrentAffairs-723x600.jpg 723w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/CurrentAffairs-768x638.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/CurrentAffairs.jpg 784w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Here&#8217;s some virus ingenuity<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-50135\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/coffeefilters-750x362.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"362\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/coffeefilters-750x362.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/coffeefilters-768x371.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/coffeefilters.jpg 771w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>My daughter loves Peeps. <\/strong><\/span>But these?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-50137\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/EasterPeeps-750x328.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/EasterPeeps-750x328.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/EasterPeeps-768x336.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/EasterPeeps-1024x448.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/EasterPeeps.jpg 1427w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><b>Granddaughter<\/b><\/span><strong style=\"color: #0000ff;\">\u00a0Eleanor just lost her first tooth<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">She got a miserable $2 from the Tooth Fairy. It&#8217;s hard times for tooth fairies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-50142\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/EleanorTooth-450x600.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"600\" \/><\/p>\n<p>But she&#8217;s happy taking lessons over the Internet on the iPad which her school provided.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>This is hard<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Now the market has turned positive and my triple shorts are in the doo-doo. This is not your father&#8217;s stockmarket. A few days ago I wrote a blog saying<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-50146\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/cashisnotking-750x116.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"116\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/cashisnotking-750x116.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/cashisnotking-768x119.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/cashisnotking-1024x158.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/cashisnotking.jpg 1043w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Maybe I was right? Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=50111\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Wisdom: Stop looking at the screen and thinking you can play this. You can&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll try to see you tomorrow. <em>Harry Newton<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is gruesomely\u00a0 difficult to figure. Health and the economy &#8212; confirmed by awful unemployment numbers and escalating virus deaths &#8212; are not getting any better. The outlook for asset values &#8212; stocks, residential and commercial real estate,\u00a0 commercial loans, and anything else we&#8217;ve invested in over the years &#8212; is just plain\u00a0awful. It&#8217;s now [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50131","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50131","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=50131"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50131\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50148,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50131\/revisions\/50148"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=50131"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=50131"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=50131"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}