{"id":53927,"date":"2021-03-19T14:28:46","date_gmt":"2021-03-19T18:28:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=53927"},"modified":"2021-03-19T22:44:51","modified_gmt":"2021-03-20T02:44:51","slug":"the-price-of-explosive-tech-stocks-agita-do-earnings-matter-a-fascinating-history-of-pandemics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=53927","title":{"rendered":"The price of explosive tech stocks &#8212; agita. Do earnings matter? A fascinating history of pandemics."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Explosive growth or &#8220;normal&#8221; growth?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This charts VGT &#8212; explosive growth &#8212; against the VTI, which is S&amp;P500 &#8220;normal&#8221; growth.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53939\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/vgt-ten-yeaars.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"624\" height=\"315\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The price of explosive growth is volatility. That&#8217;s a polite way of saying agita. Here&#8217;s the last five days. Notice the blue line &#8211; VGT &#8212; is a roller coaster. I was very depressed yesterday when my tech stocks &#8212; as embodied in the VGT EFT &#8212; fell heavily. They&#8217;re back a bit today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53940\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/vgt5days.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"623\" height=\"325\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Tech stocks are valued by buzz and growth. Cramer gave a shout-out last night for Williams-Sonoma (WGM). It&#8217;s up 9% today. Buzz. He also gave a shout-out for AppHarvest (APPH). It&#8217;s up 2% today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I used to think that growth in sales and earnings was key. It is still. But&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here are two hot tech companies I own. This is two years. The brown line is HUBS, which is doing better than PayPal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53944\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Paypal-versus-Hubs.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"647\" height=\"390\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Now, look at the financials. This is PayPal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53947\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/paypal-financials.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"399\" height=\"403\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This is HUBS, i.e. Hubspot. Notice anything different? It&#8217;s losing money.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53945\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Hubs.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"391\" height=\"368\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Makes no sense.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Then there are &#8220;fashions.&#8221; The recent fashions &#8212; SPACs, cannabis, electric cars, assorted batteries, Gamestop, bitcoin and the myriad of recent IPOs &#8212; have been sucking money from stocks we like and don&#8217;t want to sell &#8212; Apple, Amazon, Nvidia, Paypal Tesla, Generac, Facebook and Disney.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past six months, at least 35 companies that were founded in the San Francisco Bay area &#8212; including Airbnb, DoorDash and Snowflake &#8212; have gone public for a combined market value of $446 billion.<\/p>\n<p>There were two Teslas parked in the sleepy town of Chatham, NY early this morning.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">We live in interesting times. Maybe.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Email is good for ONLY two things:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">1. Confirming something &#8212; an agreement or an appointment.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">2. Complimenting someone on a job well done, (but not their beauty).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">All other things &#8212; like negotiations &#8212; are best done on the phone, or Zoom.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Poisons<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">\u00a0+ Sugar<br \/>\n+ Salt<br \/>\n+ Fat<br \/>\n+ Red meat<br \/>\n+ Bread<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">If I give up all these things, I&#8217;ll live forever, a very boring life.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\"><strong>Life style<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">1. Napping is best. But figuring out when you sleep soundest &#8212; and then sleeping then is the best. I like afternoons.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">2. If you hate doing something &#8212; like assembling K-1s &#8212; use that energy to do something you&#8217;ve always wanted to do. Clean the attic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Technology<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">+ You can find the answer to anything on the Internet.<br \/>\n+ You can see how to fix anything (even my backhand) on YouTube.<br \/>\n+ If something suddenly goes awry, it&#8217;s probably one of two things &#8212; the cable or the latest &#8220;update&#8221; from Microsoft. To wit:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53949\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Dymo-Problems.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"64\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Passover begins on the evening of March 27<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Let us begin to celebrate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53936\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/pesach.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"241\" height=\"335\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Covid Update<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;ve had my two Moderna shots. I\u00a0 feel liberated, but not stupid. I could get covid and give it to my children and grandchildren, who aren&#8217;t vaccinated.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;ve read about &#8220;Long Covid.&#8221; It frightens me. Months and months of bad stuff.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Hence I wear a mask, wash my hands and avoid people.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Throughout history, infectious diseases have been a constant companion to us humans. Here&#8217;s a fascinating chart from <em>The Visual Capitalist.<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-53959\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/pandemics-history2-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"1648\" \/><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You can find the original chart <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/history-of-pandemics-deadliest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Great news<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The Federal Communications Commission announced this week it has fined two Texas-based telemarketers $225 million for making one billion robocalls in 2019.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Now I worry about extending my auto warranty.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>A sneaky winning strategy<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My tennis partner, Mark Johnson, has been secretly taking daily exercise classes. Hence, he&#8217;s getting faster on the tennis court than\u00a0 I am and beating me.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">He won&#8217;t introduce me to his trainer. He says I can&#8217;t afford her. Sneaky strategy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">See you &#8212; <em>Harry Newton<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Explosive growth or &#8220;normal&#8221; growth? This charts VGT &#8212; explosive growth &#8212; against the VTI, which is S&amp;P500 &#8220;normal&#8221; growth. The price of explosive growth is volatility. That&#8217;s a polite way of saying agita. Here&#8217;s the last five days. Notice the blue line &#8211; VGT &#8212; is a roller coaster. I was very depressed yesterday [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53927","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=53927"}],"version-history":[{"count":17,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53927\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53960,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53927\/revisions\/53960"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=53927"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=53927"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=53927"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}