{"id":55453,"date":"2021-08-26T03:07:23","date_gmt":"2021-08-26T07:07:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=55453"},"modified":"2021-08-26T03:07:23","modified_gmt":"2021-08-26T07:07:23","slug":"what-now-our-tech-stocks-roar-there-are-lessons-maybe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=55453","title":{"rendered":"What now? Our tech stocks roar. There are lessons&#8230; Maybe."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It&#8217;s been a great few days for us in tech stocks. I wanted to write (gloat?) about our successes &#8212; like NET, EPAM, ZS, CRWD, HUBS, MRNA, NVDA and PANW. Tasteless.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Talking to friends and eyeing the scene, all I could pull out was:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ There&#8217;s no sense in being in cash. Cash is not king.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ You should be fully invested, despite the upsurge in Covid&#8217;s Delta variant. (The FDA will soon give full approval to Moderna. That will help.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ You can&#8217;t predict anything. My gurus told me summer is usually awful. Hence the old adage &#8220;<em>Sell in May and go away.<\/em>&#8221; It didn&#8217;t work this year. And I didn&#8217;t listen. Thank God.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ It&#8217;s makes no sense to go with many of the &#8220;fashions&#8221; that we hear on BubbleVision &#8212; e.g. stocks that benefit from a newly open economy, like cruise and airlines.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Some financials, like GS and MS, have done well. I missed them because I&#8217;m singularly unimpressed with the service I personally receive from them. That has rarely been a good reason to own or not own stocks. I like the service I get from Amazon, but it hasn&#8217;t gone anywhere this year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It&#8217;s 2:54 Thursday morning. I&#8217;m bare on investment tips. Except I like what we have. See our list in the right hand column on the web site. Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">here.<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>What you don&#8217;t like is critical.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">For months I have warned against owning Chinese stocks. I&#8217;ve been right. Here&#8217;s the miserable &#8220;performance&#8221; of the top five (biggest) Chinese stocks year to date:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55462\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/Chinese-Stocks.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"645\" height=\"389\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Some\u00a0 stock gurus are now saying Chinese stocks have now reached bottom. (Double &#8220;now&#8221; for effect.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Personally I don&#8217;t like catching falling knives.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Crypto update<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">An amazing number of my otherwise intelligent friends are putting a piece of their portfolio into crypto &#8212; especially\u00a0Bitcoin and Ethereum. One especially intelligent fellow, JIm, tells me his cryptos were his strongest gainers in\u00a0the past year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I asked him who he used? He said Coinbase. The following day I see this headline on CNBC.com:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55459\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/coinbase-ailments-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"298\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cramer says you should have 5% of your portfolio in crypto. I&#8217;m dubious, since I continue <strong>not <\/strong>to understand why Bitcoin is worth $50,000 or Ethereum $3,2150. Or why they&#8217;re worth anything. I have this notion that value in investing is created by old fashioned things like growth in earnings and dividends. I know the world has changed. We are now all entitled to easy, fast money, especially if we&#8217;re under 30, which I&#8217;m not. Sadly.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Personally I might be encouraged to buy a little crypto if I could get more comfortable where it is. Coinbase is not my level of comfort. Nor is Grayscale which is heavily advertising its crypto ETFs &#8211; namely GBTC and ETHE. I&#8217;m not impressed with their performance this year. But I am impressed with Grayscale&#8217;s fees which <strong>are<\/strong>\u00a0irmpressive.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55461\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/Grayscale.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"653\" height=\"378\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Inspiring true story<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Two 17-year old Portland high school students bought a local email list and emailed their willingness to come to your house and detail your car. Two hours of hard work. They bring all the tools, including a shop-vac. $150. Michael, my son, had his car detailed. It&#8217;s not like new. But it&#8217;s better than a slap in the belly with a cold fish.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Politics and meritocracy<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55469\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/tyranny-of-merit.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"214\" height=\"317\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Michael turned me onto this silly book. I did learn that all the people who made stupid decisions on Vietnam and Afghanistan all had Ivy League educations.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Biden, who&#8217;s doing the right thing and getting us out of Afghanistan has a decidedly non-Ivy League education:\u00a0<span class=\"GRkHZd w8qArf\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"Eq0J8 LrzXr kno-fv\"><a class=\"fl\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS878US878&amp;sxsrf=ALeKk02EBQRXL0xrAJokFLSKbUJBYKm-nQ:1629919559095&amp;q=Syracuse+University+College+of+Law&amp;stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAOPgE-LUz9U3MDRKrzBSAjMtyiotsrSks5Ot9AtS8wtyUoFUUXF-nlVqSmlyYklmft4iVqXgyqLE5NLiVIXQvMwyoHRmSaWCc35OTmp6qkJ-moJPYvkOVkYACA3qSV0AAAA&amp;sa=X&amp;ved=2ahUKEwjFzNPC88zyAhVKGVkFHVqlB1AQmxMoADAcegQIPRAC\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwjFzNPC88zyAhVKGVkFHVqlB1AQmxMoADAcegQIPRAC\">College of Law &#8211; Syracuse University<\/a>\u00a0(1968),\u00a0<a class=\"fl\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS878US878&amp;sxsrf=ALeKk02EBQRXL0xrAJokFLSKbUJBYKm-nQ:1629919559095&amp;q=University+of+Delaware&amp;stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAOPgE-LUz9U3MDRKrzBSgjCLyyvKtKSzk630C1LzC3JSgVRRcX6eVWpKaXJiSWZ-3iJWsdC8zDKgaGZJpUJ-moJLak5ieWJR6g5WRgAB7HS1UQAAAA&amp;sa=X&amp;ved=2ahUKEwjFzNPC88zyAhVKGVkFHVqlB1AQmxMoATAcegQIPRAD\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwjFzNPC88zyAhVKGVkFHVqlB1AQmxMoATAcegQIPRAD\">University of Delaware<\/a>\u00a0(1965),\u00a0<a class=\"fl\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS878US878&amp;sxsrf=ALeKk02EBQRXL0xrAJokFLSKbUJBYKm-nQ:1629919559095&amp;q=Archmere+Academy&amp;stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAOPgE-LUz9U3MDRKrzBSAjPN09KKkrWks5Ot9AtS8wtyUoFUUXF-nlVqSmlyYklmft4iVgHHouSM3NSiVAXH5MSU1NzKHayMABalX-RLAAAA&amp;sa=X&amp;ved=2ahUKEwjFzNPC88zyAhVKGVkFHVqlB1AQmxMoAjAcegQIPRAE\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwjFzNPC88zyAhVKGVkFHVqlB1AQmxMoAjAcegQIPRAE\">Archmere Academy<\/a>\u00a0(1961).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I do believe in meritocracy &#8212; the ascent of practical skills. My present mission is to find useful skills my grand kids can learn &#8212; which they probably won&#8217;t learn in their pricey schools. Start with finance, investing, deductive reasoning, mechanics, woodwork, programming software&#8230; and best of all, questioning the &#8220;experts&#8221; (i.e. the value of doing your own research). Any ideas?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The best Leatherman<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55466\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/Leatherman-Style-CS-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"319\" height=\"357\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It&#8217;s the Leathernman Style CS. Its primary tool is scissors, which I find far more useful than pliers. It&#8217;s $29.95. Click <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ebay.com\/itm\/334048767160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sadly this place isn&#8217;t still around<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55458\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/LoopSalon.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"537\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I saw this on our recent trip out west. This was in Montana.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>In praise of lying flat<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Work is boring and exhaustive. Hence we have a new &#8220;religion.&#8221; It&#8217;s called &#8220;lying flat.&#8221; People are now making a lving teaching and writing about lying flat &#8212; i.e. sittng on your porch doing nothing, except napping, which rejuvenates.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><em>The New York Times<\/em> did a piece yesterday, &#8220;<em>Work is a False Idol. Sit on the Porch Instead<\/em>.&#8221; Click <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/08\/22\/opinion\/lying-flat-work-rest.html?searchResultPosition=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;m off to play tennis in a few hours. Meantime, I&#8217;ll lie flat. Susan says my sleeping habits suck. Why\u00a0 am I &#8220;working&#8221; at 3:00 AM. But, to quote the Clancy Brothers, &#8220;<em>I&#8217;ll sleep when I&#8217;m tired and I&#8217;ll drink when I&#8217;m thirsty<\/em>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I have more stories of our wonderful trip out west. Coming up tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;m tempted to buy more Moderna. It will bounce when it gets full FDA approval &#8212; soon. &#8212; <em>Harry Newton<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s been a great few days for us in tech stocks. I wanted to write (gloat?) about our successes &#8212; like NET, EPAM, ZS, CRWD, HUBS, MRNA, NVDA and PANW. Tasteless. Talking to friends and eyeing the scene, all I could pull out was: + There&#8217;s no sense in being in cash. Cash is not [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-55453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55453","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=55453"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55453\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":55476,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55453\/revisions\/55476"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=55453"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=55453"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=55453"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}