{"id":57637,"date":"2022-03-18T22:43:41","date_gmt":"2022-03-19T02:43:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=57637"},"modified":"2022-03-18T22:43:41","modified_gmt":"2022-03-19T02:43:41","slug":"arnold-talks-sense-and-love-to-russians-the-market-explodes-for-a-week-and-i-look-like-a-real-idiot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=57637","title":{"rendered":"Arnold talks sense and love to Russians. The market explodes for a week. And I look like a real idiot."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Arnold Schwarzenegger&#8217;s video message to the Russian people speaks love and commonsense. Watch it yourself. Then send the link to your Russian friends.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Click the picture, or click <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Schwarzenegger\/status\/1504426844199669762\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Schwarzenegger\/status\/1504426844199669762\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57664\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/arnold.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"538\" height=\"556\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The actual URL to send your friends is\u00a0<em>https:\/\/twitter.com\/Schwarzenegger\/status\/1504426844199669762<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Simply paste it into a browser and they&#8217;ll get to Arnold&#8217;s excellent\u00a0 video.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Inflation or no inflation? No one knows.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">We clearly have inflation now. But by the end of the year? Will it drive us into a recession or will we simply sail through it. And how will it affect our stocks?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Lately I&#8217;ve read many &#8220;learned&#8221; (and long) economic reports predicting this year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;ve never seen the &#8220;experts&#8221; so split between &#8220;It&#8217;s going to be great&#8221; and &#8220;It&#8217;s going to be awful.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Personally, I think it&#8217;s going to be great. I believe our stocks will be up from here.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Look at what they did this week. Looks\u00a0 like a strong bull market:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57681\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/five-days.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"649\" height=\"385\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But if you look at a one year chart, it&#8217;s clear the last five days did not put us back to where we were in those halcyon days of mid November last year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/one-year-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"652\" height=\"381\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">If this week&#8217;s stocks stay where they closed today (Friday) or even go higher (next week), they will categorically prove that anyone who sold any stock in recent weeks &#8212; i.e. me &#8212; was a raving idiot.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">So much for my 15% Stop Loss Rule. It didn&#8217;t work. So much for selling stuff that had a a big drop. Look at Amazon over the past 12 months.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57684\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/amzn-one-year.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"648\" height=\"384\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You would have been totally crazy to sell Amazon at any time in the last year &#8212; unless you were trading it. But I sold some (fortunately, not all) much below where it closed on Friday. And now I feel really stupid.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">What have I learned now (if anything)?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Stick with your stocks. And stop trying to be panicked into selling them &#8212; t<\/strong>hus letting some smarter person buy them cheaper.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Fortunately, I&#8217;m not totally stupid. I jumped back into the market early Friday morning and by afternoon most of what I bought was up a little.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I think between November and Friday there were bad forces working on my brain &#8212; panic being the worst.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I hope you learned something. I did. Maybe.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Stay with the good stuff &#8212; especially companies earning profits and growing in an expanding industry.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It&#8217;s good the market bounced. My portfolio is still showing a &#8220;profit&#8221; &#8212; although not what it was in November last year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cramer told us that a quarter of the S&amp;P 500 companies paying dividends had <strong>raised<\/strong> their dividends this year. That&#8217;s unbelievably positive &#8212; perhaps suggesting that all those horrid things weighing on us &#8212; the war, inflation, interest rate hikes, supply chain problems, 50 million locked down in China &#8212; were somehow being dealt with. And executives were feeling more positive going forward.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Stuff\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Cutting the cable and streaming in movies and TV channels, means you need higher Internet speeds. That&#8217;s OK because all the Internet providers &#8212; from Verizon to\u00a0Spectrum to Consolidated have all dramatically dropped their prices for one gigabit fiber.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ You will need faster routers and mesh networks. Anything older than a couple of years won&#8217;t handle one gig effectively.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ The more you can wire your devices into Ethernet and not rely on slow Wi-Fi, the better. Wi-Fi cuts your speed by at least 50%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Britain&#8217;s Prime Minister said of Vladimir Putin<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;His only instinct is going to be to double down and to try and &#8216;Grozny-fy&#8217; Kyiv, if you know what I mean,&#8221; Boris\u00a0Johnson said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">What does Johnson mean? In 1999, Vladimir Putin ordered the complete destruction of the Chechen capital of Grozny.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The Russian military laid waste to Grozny, killing tens of thousands of civilians. In Putin&#8217;s own words, his troops &#8220;fulfilled their task to the end.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here&#8217;s what Grozny looked like when Putin and his army had finished with it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57638\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/grosny-1-800x654.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"654\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/grosny-1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/grosny-1-768x628.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Putin is nuts. Look what he just said publicly:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">\u201cThe Russian people will always be able to distinguish true patriots from scum and traitors and simply spit them out like a fly that accidentally flew into their mouths,\u201d Mr. Putin said.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Please send money for the Ukrainian refugees.<\/strong> <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My favorite two charities are;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ The World Central Kitchen. I just gave my fourth round. Click\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/donate.wck.org\/give\/396273\/#!\/donation\/checkout\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ The International Rescue Committee. I\u2019ve given them twice. Click\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/help.rescue.org\/donate\/ukraine-acq?ms=gs_ppc_fy22_ukraine_mmus_feb&amp;initialms=gs_ppc_fy22_ukraine_mmus_feb&amp;gclid=CjwKCAjw8sCRBhA6EiwA6_IF4e7-rDh6qjdMSW1-Nul6oi4t3K52FH4VFY4t30M-zaZsZm5-A7zzGhoCdCYQAvD_BwE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>I&#8217;m traveling to Colorado for a week<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">One son, one daughter in law and two grandkids. All floundering around on a steep, cold mountain.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">They expect me to ski. I&#8217;ve bought a lift ticket.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Skiing is hideously expensive. I hear a one-day lesson with a teenage instruction is over $1,000 and a day&#8217;s list rides is over $200.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Those mountainous prices have not been good for the biggest of them all, Vail Resorts:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57689\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Vail.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"649\" height=\"410\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Please beg whoever you know in Washington to send more weaponry to Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Don&#8217;t wish me luck skiing. I really don&#8217;t need to break a leg. See you soon &#8212; <em>Harry Newton<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Arnold Schwarzenegger&#8217;s video message to the Russian people speaks love and commonsense. Watch it yourself. Then send the link to your Russian friends. Click the picture, or click here. The actual URL to send your friends is\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/Schwarzenegger\/status\/1504426844199669762 Simply paste it into a browser and they&#8217;ll get to Arnold&#8217;s excellent\u00a0 video. Inflation or no inflation? No [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57637","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57637","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57637"}],"version-history":[{"count":23,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57637\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57690,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57637\/revisions\/57690"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57637"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57637"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57637"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}