{"id":57969,"date":"2022-04-25T13:06:30","date_gmt":"2022-04-25T17:06:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=57969"},"modified":"2022-04-25T14:57:23","modified_gmt":"2022-04-25T18:57:23","slug":"it-doesnt-look-or-feel-good-for-our-stocks-maybe-finally-sell-in-may-and-go-away","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=57969","title":{"rendered":"It doesn&#8217;t look, or feel good for our stocks. Maybe, finally, Sell In May and Go Away."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Stocks are going down.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This chart of the past five years on Nasdaq is seriously awful. Look at the two previous bounce -downs. Today&#8217;s bounce-down looks much more gruesome, and less recoverable.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57978\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/ixic5years.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"646\" height=\"384\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It&#8217;s also difficult &#8212; make that impossible &#8212; to pick something positive and obvious &#8212; e.g. oils, defense, healthcare. Devon Energy is down 6.2% today. Oxy is down 7%. Raytheon is down 2.5%. You get the message. Your brain is not working. Mine either.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Reasons:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ The Ukraine- Russia &#8220;Special Military Operation.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Slowdown in the second largest economy, China, caused by their virus &#8220;ideas&#8221; &#8212; like mass lockdowns and lousy (homegrown) vaccines. They have their own dumb ideas &#8212; all dictatorships do.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Supply chain problems, made worse by China. I have satellite maps of Shanghai harbor. There are a lot of ships waiting to bring Amazon (and others) stuff you and want (but don&#8217;t need).<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Strong U.S. inflation and the &#8220;need&#8221; to ease it back, also called clobber the economy.\u00a0 I read somewhere, &#8220;The last time the Fed started to undertake such &#8220;quantitative tightening&#8221; in 2017, what ensued was &#8220;a liquidity\u00a0crash&#8221; in which nearly $7 trillion was wiped off global stocks in 2018.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Latest Economist:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-58000\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/The-Fed-FAiled-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"463\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">None of this gloom and doom will be solved soon, In fact, it will\u00a0 get worse.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">There are three forces in the stock market.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ First, investors are trimming stocks that were bought for a logical, short-term reason &#8212; like oil, defense or housing. They&#8217;re no longer working.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Second, investors are selling stocks short or buying puts. My Apple puts are actually making money. Not much.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">All the high-priced tech stocks, like Nvidia, Adobe, Mimecast, and Apple are not doing what they should be doing &#8212; going up.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Third, the machines who figure the market&#8217;s direction and help it along. They don&#8217;t suffer emotions, like I do. I&#8217;ve heard there are stock trading machines that have never lost money in a day. I&#8217;m down a lot of Nvidia, but I haven&#8217;t sold all my Nvidia. Stupid!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;m down 20% from my November 2021 peak. Apple remains my biggest position. It reports Thursday. Fingers crossed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The Age of Slow Growth in China<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n<em>And What It Means for America and the Global Economy<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">From <em>Foreign Affairs<\/em> magazine by\u00a0Daniel H. Rosen.\u00a0April 15, 2022<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Explains all.\u00a0Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/china\/2022-04-15\/age-slow-growth-china?utm_medium=newsletters&amp;utm_source=fabackstory&amp;utm_content=20220424&amp;utm_campaign=FA%20Backstory_042422_The%20Backstory:%20The%20Uncertain%20Future%20of%20the%20Chinese%20Economy&amp;utm_term=fa-backstory-2019\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Homage to Borodyanka<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><em>Bearing witness to the horror and majesty of a ruined, resilient Ukraine <\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">That&#8217;s the name of\u00a0 a beautifully written article by by Bernard-Henri L\u00e9vy, famous French author and philosopher. He recently visited Ukraine. That&#8217;s him in Borodyanka. Here&#8217;s his report:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57975\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Bernard-Henri-Levy-800x600.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Bernard-Henri-Levy.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Bernard-Henri-Levy-768x576.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">HIs article begins:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">We arrive by train, from Lviv, to Kyiv. They are fat, blue trains, comfortable, fairly fast, with a reputation, before the war, for being on time. But everyone has in mind the bombing, the day before yesterday (April 9), of the Kramatorsk station, where at least 52 died.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">So, people are careful. They avoid gathering. Step lively if the platform is exposed. And when the train pulls out, it\u2019s with all lights off, shades drawn in the compartments, and, all during the night, stops in the middle of the countryside, and detours, which causes delays. Soon, though, you think nothing of it. In the wagon, there are volunteers who have put their families out of harm\u2019s way and are returning to combat. A sleeping soldier, his unloaded Kalashnikov hugged to his chest like a baby. A Brit who has come to enlist in the International Brigade created by Zelensky. And people who travel against the current of refugees, having decided, in fear and trembling, to return to their town or village. What\u2019s left of my house? Did they destroy the blue and yellow terracotta ceiling that, for three generations, survived all catastrophes? And the porcelain I left behind, in my haste? And my mother-in-law, whom I\u2019ve heard nothing about since the invasion? That\u2019s what we talk about on the Lviv-Kyiv direct train, crossing, as in a dream, a besieged Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The article is too long for me to reproduce in this blog. You can read it on the Tablet blog\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tabletmag.com\/sections\/news\/articles\/homage-to-borodyanka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Stuff<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Suntan screen expires. Often quicker than its theoretical three year shelf life. Throw out your old tubes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ If it works, don&#8217;t mess with it. You&#8217;ll make it worse.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ The first time you do it takes hours. The second time five minutes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Find answers: YouTube videos. Product questions on Amazon. Google.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Eat less. Walk more. Slow down. Watch that last step going down.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ Always nap after lunch.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ This is a scam. I just received it this morning.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57987\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/PayPal-Scam.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"495\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Easter on Easter Island!<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57973\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/Easter-Island.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"425\" height=\"398\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Fun stuff<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57993\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/sundays-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"294\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57994\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/women-or-wine-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"505\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57995\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/grapefruit-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"431\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57996\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/socks-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"359\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57997\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/bank-loan-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"280\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I played tennis this morning. Had brunch of Quaker Oats and red and blue berries. Time for my afternoon nappe pooh.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Please send some money to World Central Kitchen. They&#8217;re feeding more Ukrainians and Ukrainian refugees than anyone else. Click <a href=\"https:\/\/donate.wck.org\/give\/396273\/#!\/donation\/checkout\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8212;<em>Harry Newton<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stocks are going down. This chart of the past five years on Nasdaq is seriously awful. Look at the two previous bounce -downs. Today&#8217;s bounce-down looks much more gruesome, and less recoverable. It&#8217;s also difficult &#8212; make that impossible &#8212; to pick something positive and obvious &#8212; e.g. oils, defense, healthcare. Devon Energy is down [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57969","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57969"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57969\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":58005,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57969\/revisions\/58005"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57969"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57969"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57969"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}