{"id":61034,"date":"2023-07-21T12:48:52","date_gmt":"2023-07-21T16:48:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=61034"},"modified":"2023-07-21T13:49:33","modified_gmt":"2023-07-21T17:49:33","slug":"how-to-enjoy-the-madness-of-madly-overpriced-stocks-florida-is-dead-long-live-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=61034","title":{"rendered":"How to enjoy the madness of madly overpriced stocks. Florida is dead. Long live Climate Change."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Present day Phoenix:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-61038\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/Heat-Billboard-PHoenix.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"361\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The South was a mess until they invented air conditioning. Then it boomed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Then they invented climate change. The south is again a mess.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Insurance premiums on a raft of our properties rose 80% in the last year. This reduces the properties&#8217; values by 15%. That&#8217;s a lot.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Several Florida insurance companies are &#8220;insolvent.&#8221; Others are leaving or have left the state. More than a dozen have fled.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Many homeowners can&#8217;t get insurance down there. The value of their houses has plummeted. Some our friends &#8220;retired&#8221; to Florida because it&#8217;s warmer down there and there&#8217;s no income tax. Good luck with that one.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Nasa says July will be the hottest month on record. August will be even hotter.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Meanwhile, the AC in my office is busted. My coolest sanctuary is my Subaru Outback, which contributes to the climate problem by pumping more crap into the air.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The Pensacola News Journal has a piece:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>Farmers Insurance is the 4th major insurer to leave Florida, underlining insurance crisis<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Now that\u00a0<a class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pnj.com\/story\/money\/2023\/07\/11\/farmers-insurance-leaving-florida-market\/70403832007\/#:~:text=Farmers%20joined%20Bankers%20Insurance%2C%20Centauri,since%20last%20year%2C%20he%20added.\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|${u}\">Farmers Insurance<\/a>\u00a0has decided to join more than a dozen other\u00a0<a class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pnj.com\/story\/news\/2023\/04\/18\/florida-insurance-crisis-why-home-insurance-rates-keep-going-up\/70127553007\/\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|${u}\">Florida insurance companies<\/a>\u00a0that have stopped writing\u00a0<a class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pnj.com\/story\/weather\/2023\/05\/25\/hurricane-clips-window-protection-help-hurricane-proof-florida-home-reduce-insurance-premiums\/70255593007\/\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|${u}\">home insurance policies<\/a>\u00a0in the state, over\u00a0<a class=\"gnt_ar_b_a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pnj.com\/story\/news\/2023\/06\/02\/my-safe-florida-home-program-hb881-expanded-save-money-homeowners-insurance-premium\/70280611007\/\" data-t-l=\":b|e|k|${u}\">100,000 homeowners<\/a>\u00a0are scrambling to find new coverage in a dwindling yet critical industry.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">How to enjoy the madness of madly overpriced stocks &#8212; i.e. the ones I own.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Today my portfolio started up. Then it rolled over and it&#8217;s now following yesterday&#8217;s pattern, as favorite stocks NVDA, TSLA, META and NFLX aim for their newest trough.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My son has dumped his dog on his favorite dogsitter &#8212; me. Now the two of them (my wife&#8217;s and my son&#8217;s) bark up regular storms.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My friends recommend drugging them with CBD &#8212; like this $20 Amazon &#8220;best seller.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-61042\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/CBD-For-dogs.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"284\" height=\"381\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/H%D0%B5mp-Oil-Dogs-Cats-%D0%90rthritis\/dp\/B096W5LFBY\/ref=sr_1_1_sspa?crid=2SEUK3Z1XMYLJ&amp;keywords=cbd+for+dogs&amp;qid=1689950012&amp;sprefix=cbd+for+dogs%2Caps%2C68&amp;sr=8-1-spons&amp;sp_csd=d2lkZ2V0TmFtZT1zcF9hdGY&amp;psc=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here<\/strong><\/a><strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Will it work on me? (Please God.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My 5% short-term treasuries are maturing?\u00a0 Should I extend some? I can get 5.45% for six months, though potentially more with crazy picks, like BIRD or these which are all doing well for me &#8212; despite today&#8217;s and yesterday&#8217;s comeback.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I had fun this morning drawing up this nice blue chart.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In the old days of value investing, you bought stocks with low price earning ratios (P\/Es) and decent growth prospects. Look at these super growers, showing today&#8217;s P\/Es.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-61045\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/highpes.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"294\" height=\"355\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Take TSM, with its lowest P\/E. Here&#8217;s a chart of it versus NVDA. TSM is at the bottom in blue. NVDA is in orange. Big difference.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-61046\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/TSM-vs-NVDA.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"599\" height=\"340\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I own oodles of NVDA, very little of TSM &#8212; even though TSM makes the AI chips for Nvidia that give it (i.e. Nvidia) the sex appeal it has in today&#8217;s stock market.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">As I writ this blog at lunchtime Friday, all of these stocks are down &#8212; with the exception Amazon, which has the highest P\/E, by far. Go figure.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I don&#8217;t like to think of this as &#8220;trading&#8221; or &#8220;playing a game.&#8221; I&#8217;m up substantially this year as a result of my portfolio (it&#8217;s on the web site), and treasuries and real estate, much of which is sadly now being hit by the &#8220;Work from home&#8221; and &#8220;Climate Change insurance ails.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Heh, good news&#8230;Adams Heating and Cooling of Rotterdam, NY just got the AC working in my office. Thank you Justin, Kyle and Paul.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Now I can think clearly &#8212; or less foggily.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m tempted to sell my Nvidia and take my considerable profits. I did that last time, which gave new meaning to the word &#8220;stupidity.&#8221; Remember then I had to send out an abject apology blog.<\/p>\n<p>For now, I&#8217;ll be intelligent and find pleasure in suffering.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Urgent<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Someone hacked my friend Lucky&#8217;s bank account. They didn&#8217;t get anything because Lucky had two factor authentication. You should too.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Fun stuff<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-61047\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/my-money-agin.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"320\" height=\"199\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-61048\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/disgrace.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"320\" height=\"357\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-61049\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/vows.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"230\" height=\"324\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><b>Formatting<\/b><\/span><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">\u00a0issues<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">If some of my charts get cut off in your email, go to my web site. Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">See you tomorrow or so&#8211; <em>Harry Newton<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Present day Phoenix: The South was a mess until they invented air conditioning. Then it boomed. Then they invented climate change. The south is again a mess. Insurance premiums on a raft of our properties rose 80% in the last year. This reduces the properties&#8217; values by 15%. That&#8217;s a lot. Several Florida insurance companies [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-61034","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61034","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=61034"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61034\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":61056,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61034\/revisions\/61056"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=61034"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=61034"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=61034"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}