{"id":63991,"date":"2025-02-23T04:10:07","date_gmt":"2025-02-23T09:10:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=63991"},"modified":"2025-02-23T04:10:07","modified_gmt":"2025-02-23T09:10:07","slug":"it-suddenly-turned-ugly-maybe-wednesday-night-nvidia-reports-it-will-be-stunning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=63991","title":{"rendered":"It suddenly turned ugly. Maybe. Wednesday night Nvidia reports. It will be stunning."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Friday, there was Walmart and United Health. Bad reports.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Then there was Trump and Elon and all those firings. Some senseless. Some not. Who knows?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The DOGE web site &#8212; www.doge.gov &#8212; provides little help for you and I to understand the mayhem DOGE is creating. If they fire 100,000 Federal workers at say an average cost of $125,000 a year, that will save us $12.5 billion, which is 0.185% of the $6.75 trillion the Feds spends each year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But the psychology is hurting. On Friday morning the Consumer Sentiment Index dropped significantly &#8212; falling to 64.7 in February from 71.7 in January. The decline stemmed from rising concerns about inflation &#8230; and especially the price of eggs.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"pjBG2e\" data-cid=\"a666f16b-9fe2-4c8b-9d80-cbadfdbd910d\"><span class=\"UV3uM\">This was last week on Nasdaq. Friday was gruesome. My worst day in months. Most depressing.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64001\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IXIC-one-week-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"268\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"pjBG2e\" data-cid=\"a666f16b-9fe2-4c8b-9d80-cbadfdbd910d\"><span class=\"UV3uM\">\u00a0But we&#8217;d had big drops before and come back. Here&#8217;s a one year view:<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-64003\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IXIC-One-Year-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"244\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Nvidia reports Wednesday night. Earnings, sales and forecast. Should be good.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Good enough for those of us with forecasts much above where it closed on Friday &#8212; $134.43?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;m optimistic.\u00a0 I&#8217;m still holding &#8212; which I&#8217;m hoping does not give masochism a while new meaning.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Warren Buffett Annual Report 2024<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The note to his shareholders is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.berkshirehathaway.com\/letters\/2024ltr.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><strong>\u00a0 <\/strong>His performance remains sterling. Look at the last few years and the incredible summary:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64010\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Berkshire-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"89\" \/><br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64009\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/berkshire-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"135\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">His words remain wise and folksy:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">&#8220;I\u2019ve also had many pleasant surprises in both the potential of the business as well as<br \/>\nthe ability and fidelity of the manager. And our experience is that a single winning decision can<br \/>\nmake a breathtaking difference over time. (Think GEICO as a business decision, Ajit Jain as a<br \/>\nmanagerial decision and my luck in finding Charlie Munger as a one-of-a-kind partner, personal<br \/>\nadvisor and steadfast friend.) Mistakes fade away; winners can forever blossom. &#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">The American process has not always been pretty \u2013 our country has forever had many<br \/>\nscoundrels and promoters who seek to take advantage of those who mistakenly trust them with<br \/>\ntheir savings. But even with such malfeasance \u2013 which remains in full force today \u2013 and also<br \/>\nmuch deployment of capital that eventually floundered because of brutal competition or<br \/>\ndisruptive innovation, the savings of Americans has delivered a quantity and quality of output<br \/>\nbeyond the dreams of any colonist.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">From a base of only four million people \u2013 and despite a brutal internal war early on,<br \/>\npitting one American against another \u2013 America changed the world in the blink of a celestial eye.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Had I, Harry Newton, put all the money I got from selling our business in 1997 into shares of Berkshire Hathaway, I would be at least 41 times richer.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">But who knew?<\/p>\n<p>Fortunately I do own Berkshire stock.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Apple iPhone 16 dumb button<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Apple replaced the &#8220;Ringer Off&#8221; slide with a many functions button. It drove me nuts. Every time I wanted to grab an image off my phone&#8217;s screen, I&#8217;d turn the ringer off. My phone never rang.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Solution: Go to Settings, Action Button and scroll right to this brilliant solution:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64007\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/No-Action-Button.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"225\" height=\"354\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>I love nature and animals.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This happens tonight. Plonk your kids in front of the TV and marvel. This is a small preview. I&#8217;m a total nut for animals and scenery. This should be totally wonderful.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Tom Hanks Narrates an Extraordinary Journey | The Americas | NBC\" width=\"690\" height=\"388\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/YgPVfsQTskc?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>America innovates constantly<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">And that&#8217;s part of our charm. Remember Scotch tape? Look what I just spied in our local CVS? 3M is having fun.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64016\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/tape.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"592\" height=\"187\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Getting old sucks<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Susan\u2019s just had a new knee and is in pain.\u00a0I\u2019ve just had big teeth surgery and I\u2019m in semi-pain. Friends are suffering from many maladies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Here are the boring lessons:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Dental floss twice a day.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Stay out of the sun.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Don\u2019t believe your first doctor\u2019s diagnosis.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Do your own research.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Keep moving.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Don&#8217;t stupid. Susan&#8217;s hospital puts these tags on select patients.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64019\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/fall-Risk.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"114\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Maybe we should all wear them? Danger of falling is the reason Susan and I wear our Apple Watches.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Don&#8217;t do stupid. Stay well. I&#8217;m off to Australia for a family bar mitzvah. Should be fun &#8212; and warm. It&#8217;s been brutal in the north west.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The Economist question: How Far Will He Go<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I hesitate to end this column with this.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-64021\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/would-be-king.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"188\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">How much he will hurt or hinder the stock market is an open question. Earnings are what traditionally drive stocks. Earnings have been good. Fingers crossed.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You can read the full Economist leader <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/leaders\/2025\/02\/20\/donald-trump-the-would-be-king\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">See you soon &#8212; <em>Harry Newton<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Friday, there was Walmart and United Health. Bad reports. Then there was Trump and Elon and all those firings. Some senseless. Some not. Who knows? The DOGE web site &#8212; www.doge.gov &#8212; provides little help for you and I to understand the mayhem DOGE is creating. If they fire 100,000 Federal workers at say an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63991"}],"version-history":[{"count":24,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63991\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64025,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63991\/revisions\/64025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}