{"id":65237,"date":"2025-11-29T17:52:47","date_gmt":"2025-11-29T22:52:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=65237"},"modified":"2025-11-29T17:52:47","modified_gmt":"2025-11-29T22:52:47","slug":"lessons-for-thanksgiving-on-living-forever-well-maybe-just-a-long-happy-life","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=65237","title":{"rendered":"Lessons for Thanksgiving on living forever. Well, maybe just a long, happy life"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>First, strategies that make sense<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Learn to say <strong>NO.<\/strong> I used to think that NO was the hardest word inn the English language to say. It is. But I now think <strong>YES<\/strong> is the dumbest word. Invest money in a dumb venture and you&#8217;ll agonize for eons, trying to fix it, trying to counsel a CEO who doesn&#8217;t listen.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Learn to change what&#8217;s not working. My friends have kids who just graduated. One sent out 250 resumes and received not one single response. I asked him &#8220;<em>Maybe we should try a different approach?<\/em>&#8221; He answered me, &#8220;<em>It&#8217;s a great resume.<\/em>&#8221; (I didn&#8217;t make this up. I&#8217;m not that creative.)<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ For God&#8217;s sake, ask for advice. Ask Gemini. Ask Perplexity. Ask ChatGPT. Or better, ask your happy and successful neighbor who wants to feel useful in his dotage.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Learn to mull. My partner, Gerald Friesen, is a master muller. He&#8217;d think, research, think some more and then conclude Harry&#8217;s latest idea was stupid. Which it was.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Flattery and attention work. People prefer to hear what they did good. People like hearing &#8220;Thank you&#8221; or a kind email\/text after you did something for them.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Don&#8217;t lend anyone any money. Don&#8217;t borrow any money.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"0\">I asked Google&#8217;s Gemini. She replied:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"0\">The most famous line Shakespeare wrote about being a borrower or a lender is from the play <b><i>Hamlet<\/i><\/b>.\u00a0It is spoken by the character Polonius to his son Laertes:<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"padding-left: 40px;\" data-path-to-node=\"2\">\n<p data-path-to-node=\"2,0\">&#8220;<b>Neither a borrower nor a lender be;<\/b>\u00a0 <b>For loan oft loses both itself and friend,<\/b> <b>And borrowing dulls the edge of husbandry<\/b>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Second, how to achieve a happy, pain-free, healthy old age<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Exercise is the only free lunch. Every book and article on aging agrees. I prefer daily tennis. But walking, running, yoga, pickleball etc. all work. Regular movement is the key.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Food kills. Everyone eats too much of it. Slice every plate in half. Eat half. Keep half for tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Doctors make horrendous mistakes. Surgeons are the worst. If there&#8217;s an alternative to being cut up, try it. Too many of my friends are suffering from operations they probably shouldn&#8217;t have had. I would not be alive today if I had believed the dumb doctor I first saw in a hospital emergency room. two years ago. I was suffering big-time. He completely misdiagnozed me and sent me home &#8212; where I would have died the next day.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Sleeping is key. You don&#8217;t have to sleep 7-8 hours in one go. Learn your sleep habits. I personally find that one hour nap in the morning after tennis and after breakfast makes me feel better than hours in the night. I posted the previous blog at 4:23AM. I woke at 1:30AM inspired and wrote about AI. For today&#8217;s blog, I felt inspired after my mid-day nap and breakfast sandwich. You can accommodate a mad sleep schedule to a real job. I used to nap after lunch in my office by pulling out two pillows from my desk&#8217;s pendaflex drawer, crawling under my desk and closing my office door.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Curiosity will add years to your life. I ask older people &#8220;What excites you?&#8221; Answers\u00a0 I&#8217;ve received include &#8220;Nothing&#8221; to &#8220;I&#8217;m still looking.&#8221; They&#8217;ll be dead soon. Learning new things makes you live. The world is stuffed with great podcasts, great books, great videos.\u00a0 Hint: don&#8217;t watch or read about today&#8217;s politics. That will really depress you.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">+ Social interaction is key. Instance: Charlie Munger lived to 99. Here&#8217;s a clip from the <em>Wall Street Journal:<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"e1m2ker71 e1bc1vag0 css-1o09hy1-StyledNewsKitParagraph\" style=\"padding-left: 80px; text-align: left;\" data-type=\"paragraph\" data-testid=\"paragraph\">\u201cI\u2019ll have to learn Braille,\u201d he (Charlie) told one friend. He had studied it after his botched cataract surgery (which left him blind in one eye) but never mastered it. He was ready to try again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e1m2ker71 e1bc1vag0 css-1o09hy1-StyledNewsKitParagraph\" style=\"padding-left: 80px; text-align: left;\" data-type=\"paragraph\" data-testid=\"paragraph\">That turned out not to be necessary. His right eye (the other one) slowly improved, but Munger\u2019s movement became constricted. Around 2016, he lost the ability to play golf, a longtime passion, and relied on a walking stick. Playing bridge with others became difficult. Munger, who had lost his wife in 2010, feared loneliness and irrelevance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"e1m2ker71 e1bc1vag0 css-1o09hy1-StyledNewsKitParagraph\" style=\"padding-left: 80px; text-align: left;\" data-type=\"paragraph\" data-testid=\"paragraph\">He chose to spend more time with friends, buoying his spirits. Each Tuesday, he met a half-dozen or so business associates and others for breakfast, usually at the Los Angeles Country Club. The group typically arrived at 7:30 a.m. and could go for hours. They discussed investments, traded barbs and shared jokes. Regulars included investors John Hawkins and John Conlin, Uber Chairman\u00a0Ron Sugar, and later\u00a0Bobby Kotick, the former Activision chief executive.\u00a0Robert Bradway,\u00a0<a class=\"ekxajjj0 css-i0lbhy-OverridedLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/market-data\/quotes\/AMGN\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-type=\"company\">Amgen\u2019s<\/a>\u00a0CEO, made occasional visits. Munger, at the head of the table,\u00a0<a class=\"ekxajjj0 css-i0lbhy-OverridedLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/investing\/charlie-munger-life-money-ae3853ad?mod=article_inline\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-type=\"link\">told stories and shared philosophies<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">You can read the full Wall Street Journal article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/investing\/charlie-munger-life-final-years-berkshire-7c20c18e?st=FYD14r&amp;reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Harry&#8217;s latest hallucination (AI word for a mistake)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I wrote about the skyrocketing computer power driving AI:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\">We don\u2019t have that history with AI. What we have is the enthusiasm of smart individuals, who are fascinated with the new exponential computer power \u2014 no longer progressing at a gentlemany doubling of speed every two years (Moore\u2019s Law), but of a million-fold power increase every single year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I was wrong. Gemini put me right:<\/p>\n<div id=\"model-response-message-contentr_9185f896506579d0\" class=\"markdown markdown-main-panel tutor-markdown-rendering force-compact-layout enable-updated-hr-color\" dir=\"ltr\" aria-live=\"polite\" aria-busy=\"false\">\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"0\"><span class=\"citation-0 recitation\">NVIDIA CEO <\/span><b><span class=\"citation-0 recitation\">Jensen Huang<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-0 recitation\"> has made two notable statements regarding a million-fold increase in computing power, both related to the rapid advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the perceived end of traditional <\/span><b><span class=\"citation-0 recitation\">Moore&#8217;s Law<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-0 recitation citation-end-0\">:<\/span><span class=\"button-container hide-from-message-actions ng-star-inserted\"> \u00a0 <button class=\"mat-mdc-tooltip-trigger button image-fade-on hide-from-message-actions\" aria-label=\"Learn More\" aria-controls=\"sources\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-describedby=\"cdk-describedby-message-ng-1-23\"><\/button><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>1. <span class=\"citation-1 recitation citation-end-1\">Past Achievement: A Million-Fold Increase in the Last Decade<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"3\"><span class=\"citation-2 recitation\">Huang has stated that NVIDIA achieved a <\/span><b><span class=\"citation-2 recitation\">1 million-fold improvement in AI performance<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-2 recitation citation-end-2\"> over the last ten years, primarily through innovations in GPU architecture.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"4,0,0\"><b>+ Context:<\/b><span class=\"citation-3 recitation citation-end-3\"> He made this claim while arguing that building a massive, dedicated semiconductor supply chain for AI is unnecessary.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"4,0,0\"><span class=\"button-container hide-from-message-actions ng-star-inserted\">\u00a0+ <strong>Rationale: <\/strong>His point is that you cannot simply assume computers will not get any fast. He suggests that the architectural innovations from companies like Nvidia have already advanced AI computer performance at a pace that exceeds the original predictions of Moore&#8217;s Law.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"4,0,0\"><strong>2. Future Prediction: A Million-Fold Increase in the Next Decade<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"container ng-tns-c4244360319-16 hide\">\n<div class=\"carousel-container ng-tns-c4244360319-16\">\n<div style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\" data-test-id=\"sources-carousel-source\">Huang has also predicted a &#8220;million-fold increased in computing power over the <strong>next decade.<\/strong><\/div>\n<div class=\"carousel-content ng-tns-c4244360319-16\" style=\"text-align: left;\">\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px; text-align: left;\" data-path-to-node=\"7\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Arial;\"><span style=\"font-size: 13.3333px; background-color: #f0f0f0;\">+ <\/span><\/span><b>The Pace:<\/b><span class=\"citation-7 recitation\"> He attributes this projected growth to a consistent <\/span><b><span class=\"citation-7 recitation\">fourfold increase<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-7 recitation citation-end-7\"> in computing power annually, driven by the demands of generative AI.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\" data-path-to-node=\"8,1,0\"><b><span class=\"citation-8 recitation\">+ Scaling Laws:<\/span><\/b><span class=\"citation-8 recitation citation-end-8\"> He emphasizes that the &#8220;scaling laws&#8221; for AI\u2014which show that model performance improves predictably with increased data and computing power\u2014remain valid for both training and inference [Source 1.2, 1.7].<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"container ng-tns-c4244360319-19 hide\" style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">\n<div class=\"carousel-container ng-tns-c4244360319-19\"><b>+ Moore&#8217;s Law Comparison:<\/b> He noted that this pace of a fourfold increase per year (leading to a millionfold increase in a decade) significantly outstrips the classic Moore&#8217;s Law, which historically projected a hundredfold increase per decade (a doubling of transistor count roughly every two years).<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>This is a brilliant interview with the smartest real estate investor I know<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The $4 Billion Real Estate Empire That Survived Every Market Crash (Here&#039;s How)\" width=\"690\" height=\"388\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/DN7KlbjvITs?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>And finally, my motto: CHECK. CHECK. CHECK.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This is what my Fidelity online brokerage account (Active Trader Pro) showed one morning this past week:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-65264\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/B2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"583\" height=\"28\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-65265\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/B.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"585\" height=\"32\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I was down $157,900. Barrick Mining had taken a nosedive.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">It hadn&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Fidelity made a mistake. After I called them, they corrected it. In fact, I was really up a few pennies. They didn&#8217;t tell me what happened except it was a &#8220;glitch.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">CHECK. CHECK. CHECK.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">More exciting adventures tomorrow with Harry. &#8212; <em>Harry Newton<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>First, strategies that make sense + Learn to say NO. I used to think that NO was the hardest word inn the English language to say. It is. But I now think YES is the dumbest word. Invest money in a dumb venture and you&#8217;ll agonize for eons, trying to fix it, trying to counsel [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65237","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65237","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=65237"}],"version-history":[{"count":25,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65237\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65269,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65237\/revisions\/65269"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=65237"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=65237"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=65237"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}