{"id":678,"date":"2010-02-17T08:55:21","date_gmt":"2010-02-17T13:55:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=678"},"modified":"2010-02-17T08:55:21","modified_gmt":"2010-02-17T13:55:21","slug":"find-your-edge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=678","title":{"rendered":"Find your edge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>He starts work at 8:00 AM Paris time. He reads, researches and phones. He begins trading at 3:30 PM when New York opens and often continues until 10:00 PM when New York closes. It&#8217;s a long day.<\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;s a stock trader living in Paris, trading in the U.S. via an online-broker. For him the critical time is the first 20 minutes and the last 40 minutes of the day. He closes all positions at the end of day, when he&#8217;s 100% in cash. &#8220;This market is too volatile to hold stocks (long or short) overnight.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/ParisTrader.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-673\" title=\"ParisTrader\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/ParisTrader.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"263\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/ParisTrader.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/ParisTrader-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>My secretive Paris trader.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>He believes that traders and investors require information that is not known on the web. &#8220;Everyone uses the information on the web. You need something more.&#8221; He gets his from talking to companies&#8217; competitors. They usually know more about their competition than what the competition will reveal &#8212; for obvious reasons. But he&#8217;ll use charts and economic statistics. The key is to figure the mood of the market that day.<\/p>\n<p>He follows 35 stocks closely. Add in their competitors, you get a universe of three or four times that. He might buy in the morning. But if the price moves against him, he might sell twice &#8212; sell out of his position and go short the size of his erstwhile long position.<\/p>\n<p>Today, he says, &#8220;there&#8217;s so much money out there. The people want to put their money to work. They put pressure on their hedge funds. Huge money out there is what&#8217;s driving markets at present &#8212; not economic or earnings fundamentals, which don&#8217;t look that good.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Lessons he&#8217;s learned:<\/p>\n<p>1. &#8220;There&#8217;s not enough handshake.&#8221; We don&#8217;t talk to real people enough. Networking is the most important thing.<\/p>\n<p>2. Too many people think the future will be like the past. It&#8217;s not. Even the indexes have different companies.<\/p>\n<p>3. Don&#8217;t feel you have to trade all day. That&#8217;s too much pressure.<\/p>\n<p>4. Don&#8217;t rely only on charting. Get as many angles as you can. See lesson 1.<\/p>\n<p>5. Don&#8217;t believe the TV. Journalists want viewers to watch, so they act positive. They want the market to do well.<\/p>\n<p>6. Too many stockmarket traders are too U.S. centric. They ignore the money in Europe and China.<\/p>\n<p><strong>European prices are high and low.<\/strong> If the Euro were a dollar, prices would be fine. But it&#8217;s not. It&#8217;s 40% more expensive. There are lots of sales of last year&#8217;s &#8220;collections.&#8221; I found great shoes and a great sports jacket. But I was too big.<\/p>\n<p>I was lucky to find this Vertu phone called a Cameleon at a place called Boucheron near Hermes and other ritzy stores on the rue du Faubourg Saint-Honore.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/VertuCellphone.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-674\" title=\"VertuCellphone\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/VertuCellphone.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"250\" height=\"558\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/VertuCellphone.jpg 250w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/VertuCellphone-134x300.jpg 134w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The price? Only 140,000 euros &#8212; or $191,800. If you leave the country with it, you get 20% back.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The European bargain.<\/strong> Europe&#8217;s income taxes are high &#8211; 55% is common. But the &#8220;benefits&#8221; are good &#8212; schooling (even university) and health care. Because of laws, it&#8217;s hard to fire anyone or to be fired. But there are ways around. You can hire someone for a year, then for a second year. Then you fire them and hire someone else for a year. It&#8217;s impossible to close a business down from one day to the next, as you can here.<\/p>\n<p>But there are huge number of vibrant small businesses in Europe. I saw statistics that showed those European small businesses accounted for more of their GDP than they do here. Their problem is the same as here; banks won&#8217;t lend them.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Story of Greece<\/strong>: It faked up its numbers to get on the Euro. Then it borrowed hugely and went on a spending binge. Now it&#8217;s broke. Its debts and its economy will have to be restructured before anyone &#8212; e.g. Germany &#8212; bail it out. It&#8217;s got 30 days.<\/p>\n<p>Greece is the only European country with fake numbers. Spain is in trouble because of a European holiday home boom (and now) in warm Spain. Think Florida.<\/p>\n<p>Getting around. Paris streets are a maze. Printed maps &#8212; such as those in guidebooks and foldouts &#8212; often omit many streets. Google maps and Microsoft&#8217;s Bing are the best. For Paris, Bing is more detailed and better. I carried a GARMIN GPS &#8212; the one that fits our car. You can use it for walking. But it has one &#8220;quirk.&#8221; It won&#8217;t direct you the wrong way on a one-way street. But it will get you there &#8212; which is better than 90% of Parisiens who are clueless about their city&#8217;s wonderful streets. Buses, subways and taxis work well.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The best of Paris.<\/strong> Museums. Walking. Food. Window shopping. You want to walk in comfortable shoes like these ones I schlepped from the U.S.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/HarryParisShoes.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-675\" title=\"HarryParisShoes\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/HarryParisShoes.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"257\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/HarryParisShoes.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/HarryParisShoes-300x220.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Or you could buy yourself a pair of French shoes:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/FrenchShoes.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-676\" title=\"FrenchShoes\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/FrenchShoes.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"144\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/FrenchShoes.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/FrenchShoes-300x123.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"_mcePaste\">Several hundred dollars or less, depending on which year&#8217;s &#8220;collection.&#8221;<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/HarryNewton.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-677\" title=\"HarryNewton\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/02\/HarryNewton.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"95\" height=\"162\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Harry Newton, who&#8217;s wondering what&#8217;s gone wrong with his computer this morning. Updating the web site has become painfully slow.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>He starts work at 8:00 AM Paris time. He reads, researches and phones. He begins trading at 3:30 PM when New York opens and often continues until 10:00 PM when New York closes. It&#8217;s a long day. He&#8217;s a stock trader living in Paris, trading in the U.S. via an online-broker. For him the critical [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=678"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/678\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=678"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=678"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=678"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}