{"id":7177,"date":"2011-05-04T09:02:49","date_gmt":"2011-05-04T13:02:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=7177"},"modified":"2011-05-04T09:10:45","modified_gmt":"2011-05-04T13:10:45","slug":"sell-in-may-and-go-away","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=7177","title":{"rendered":"Sell in May and Go Away."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>I post a new column once a day at 9:00 AM<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;They&#8217;re taking a rest,&#8221; my friend the money manager explained. &#8220;They&#8217;ve all made plenty of money this year. They&#8217;ve heard about Sell in May and Go Away. Hence they&#8217;re selling. They will bank their gains, stay in cash and look for some short-term opportunities.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Silver is the big sell. But then it was also the Big RISE&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/SilverversuGold.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-7183\" title=\"SilverversuGold\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/SilverversuGold.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"649\" height=\"301\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/SilverversuGold.jpg 649w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/SilverversuGold-300x139.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 649px) 100vw, 649px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">With parabolic rises &#8212; like silver has enjoyed this year &#8212; you have to expect what&#8217;s happened in the last few days. If you&#8217;re playing this game, you have to dump fast. I dumped silver (SLV) &#8212; surprisingly (at least for me) at above what it closed at last night.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You&#8217;ll notice that gold (SGOL) has not gone parabolic. I&#8217;m still in gold, and still optimistic about it. All the economic concerns I mentioned <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=7143\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>yesterday<\/strong><\/a> continue to make gold a great hedge.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Shorting First Solar.<\/strong><\/span> Everyone is shorting FSLR. There are reasons: Solar still costs more than\u00a0 electricity from coal and nat gas. Solar is not useful for base load, etc. Oodles of depressing arguments.\u00a0 I&#8217;ve shorted FSLR &#8212; when it was much higher &#8212; and its P\/E was totally ridiculous. At last night&#8217;s price it was 19.21 &#8211; not off the charts ridiculous.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/FirstSolar2011.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-7187\" title=\"FirstSolar2011\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/FirstSolar2011.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"639\" height=\"252\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/FirstSolar2011.jpg 639w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/FirstSolar2011-300x118.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 639px) 100vw, 639px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I&#8217;m wary of shorting FSLR for the same reason I&#8217;m wary of biiotech &#8212; too much irrational government involvement you can&#8217;t predict. Germany is the biggest buyer and user of solar. Germany? I&#8217;ve never seen the sun when I&#8217;ve been there. Yet they love solar. The German government is encouraging solar and discouraging oil. It makes sense from a political, but not a business, point of view.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I bet FSLR will plummet today and prove me an idiot.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sharesleuth asks &#8220;Where are the Cocos?&#8221;<\/strong><\/span> This is a $13,000 street legal Chinese-made car called a Coco.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/CocoCar.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-7189\" title=\"CocoCar\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/CocoCar.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"264\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/CocoCar.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/CocoCar-300x198.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Apparently the maker, a listed Nasdaq company, KNDI is overstating the car&#8217;s piddly sales. I like <a href=\"http:\/\/sharesleuth.com\/investigations\/2011\/05\/kandi-technologies-corp-where-are-the-cocos\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Sharesleuth<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Personally I prefer the Mercedes Smart Car,which sells for roughly the same price. I see a lot of these in New York City. Every owner I ask loves his Smart Car. The thing is actually not much longer than my folding Dahon bicycle.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/Mercedes-benz-smart-car-price-in-india-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-7191\" title=\"Mercedes-benz-smart-car-price-in-india-1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/Mercedes-benz-smart-car-price-in-india-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/Mercedes-benz-smart-car-price-in-india-1.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/Mercedes-benz-smart-car-price-in-india-1-300x187.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>The perfect business. <\/strong><\/span>When children playing in the fields let a ball fly into the bin Laden compound, the owners never let them retrieve the ball, but gave them 50 rupees to buy a new ball.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">When the children began to throw balls into the compound on purpose to get more money, the owners kept paying.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Bin Laden virus-filled websites emerge.<\/strong><\/span> If you receive an email purporting to give you secret information about Osama&#8217;s death, ignore the email. Otherwise, it will lead you to a website full of viruses and &#8212; worse, fake antivirus software.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Getting rid of mice, part 2.<\/strong><\/span> A reader recommends something called &#8220;Critter Away.&#8221;\u00a0 He says it contains &#8220;crystallized fox pee.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I asked, &#8220;How do they collect the ingredients?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Answer: &#8220;I don&#8217;t know&#8230;I don&#8217;t wanna know&#8230;&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Looking to buy a frog?<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nA man walks into a bar and asks the bartender, &#8220;If I show you a really good trick, will you give me a free drink?&#8221; The bartender considers it, then agrees. The man reaches into his pocket and pulls out a tiny rat. He reaches into his other pocket and pulls out a tiny piano. The rat stretches, cracks his knuckles, and proceeds to play the blues.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">After the man finished his drink, he asked the bartender, &#8220;If I show you an even better trick, will you give me free drinks for the rest of the evening?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The bartender agrees, thinking that no trick could possibly be better than the first. The man reaches into his pocket and pulls out a tiny rat. He reaches into his other pocket and pulls out a tiny piano. The rat stretches, cracks his knuckles, and proceeds to play the blues. The man reaches into another pocket and pulls out a small bullfrog, who begins to sing along with the rat&#8217;s music.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">While the man is enjoying his beverages, a stranger confronts him and offers him $100,000.00 for the bullfrog.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;Sorry,&#8221; the man replies, &#8220;he&#8217;s not for sale.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The stranger increases the offer to $250,000.00 cash up front.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;No,&#8221; he insists, &#8220;he&#8217;s not for sale.&#8221; The stranger again increases the offer, this time to $500,000.00 cash.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The man finally agrees, and turns the frog over to the stranger in exchange for the money.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;Are you insane?&#8221; the bartender demanded. &#8220;That frog could have been worth millions to you, and you let him go for a mere $500,000!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#8220;Don&#8217;t worry about it.&#8221; the man answered. &#8220;The frog is really nothing special. You see, the rat&#8217;s a ventriloquist.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who has officially given up on Spring. This morning, it&#8217;s gray, cold and raining.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry: What do April showers bring?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Claire (daughter): Why May flowers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry: Excellent. Now what do May flowers bring?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Claire: I give up.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry: Why Pilgrims, of course.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Claire: Yuch. P.S. I&#8217;m no longer 6. I&#8217;ve grown up.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I post a new column once a day at 9:00 AM. &#8220;They&#8217;re taking a rest,&#8221; my friend the money manager explained. &#8220;They&#8217;ve all made plenty of money this year. They&#8217;ve heard about Sell in May and Go Away. Hence they&#8217;re selling. They will bank their gains, stay in cash and look for some short-term opportunities.&#8221; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7177","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7177"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7177\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7177"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7177"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7177"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}