{"id":8768,"date":"2011-08-17T09:02:19","date_gmt":"2011-08-17T13:02:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=8768"},"modified":"2011-08-17T10:25:19","modified_gmt":"2011-08-17T14:25:19","slug":"searching-for-perfection-some-answers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=8768","title":{"rendered":"Searching for perfection. Some answers."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I can&#8217;t present you with new, brilliant ideas every day. First, it&#8217;s a comfort thing. Second, it&#8217;s a research thing. Research and due diligence simply takes too much time. But&#8230; I am adding more money to my Australian CDs. I keep buying gold &#8212; largely SGOL and GLD. And I&#8217;m still happy with my mortgage REITs &#8212; NLY, ANH, AGNC and the new MITT. Most other equities seem fully priced. Or overpriced, like Dell. Google, Bank of America, Citigroup, Hewlett-Packard, etc.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">John Maynard Keynes, a great stockmarket speculator and somewhat OK economist, once said: &#8220;<em>When the facts change, I change my opinion. What do you do, sir?<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">So, look at Google. Once upon a time it had a really great business &#8212; Search. And though well-heeled competitors nipped at its heels, it stayed ahead. Then it went and spent $12.5 billion (that&#8217;s billion, not million) to buy Motorola Mobility, which makes cell phones and has a bunch of mostly-antique patents.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Neither the market nor I liked the deal. I sold my Google instantly and the stock has dropped, and will continue to drop.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/GoogleTwoDays.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8778\" title=\"GoogleTwoDays\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/GoogleTwoDays.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"633\" height=\"254\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/GoogleTwoDays.jpg 633w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/GoogleTwoDays-300x120.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 633px) 100vw, 633px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Google is getting into dangerous territory. Google has never made a product that consumers actually had to pay for &#8212; unlike Apple &#8212; or Microsoft, or Nokia, or RIM, or Sony, or even Motorola.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The magazine &#8220;<em>This Week<\/em>&#8221; looks at seven predictions. I&#8217;m inclined to believe this one:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>7. It will be a total trainwreck<\/strong><br \/>\n&#8220;Unless Google quickly sells off Motorola&#8217;s hardware businesses [but retains the valuable patents], the deal will be a colossal disaster,&#8221; says Henry Blodget at Business Insider. &#8220;Google has no idea how to run a global hardware manufacturing business,&#8221; and it&#8217;s likely Motorola will quickly run into problems and drag Google down with it. &#8220;It&#8217;s not inconceivable that it will end up the same way the disastrous AOL Time Warner merger did: With a quiet spin-off after years&#8217; worth of value destruction.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Read more: Click <a href=\"http:\/\/theweek.com\/article\/index\/218338\/googles-125-billion-motorola-buy-7-predictions\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>BAC going to zero?<\/strong><\/span> My friend shorted it at $15. He&#8217;s still short.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/BACtoZero.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8783\" title=\"BACtoZero\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/BACtoZero.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"648\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/BACtoZero.jpg 648w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/BACtoZero-300x132.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 648px) 100vw, 648px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">He thinks it&#8217;s going to zero. I don&#8217;t know. I do think financials are way overpriced. That&#8217;s why I keep recommending against buying any of them &#8212; whether Goldman Sachs, or Citigroup, etc. I should have shorted them all. Dumb me.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>If it works, don&#8217;t mess with it. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">This\u00a0 advice applies particularly to software &#8220;uprades.&#8221; Item: Don&#8217;t upgrade Firefox to the new Firefox 6 &#8212; no matter how many times Firefox badgers you. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">My recommendation: Test all software upgrades on an old machine you&#8217;re not using &#8212; except to test new software and upgrades. As a general rule, 90% of software uprades are not useful, and designed mostly to extract fees from your pocket. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">I&#8217;m still using Windows XP and can&#8217;t think of one reason to upgrade to Windows 7.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Watch your magazine subscriptions: <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">I receive this generous offer. I have to rush. It says &#8220;reply by 8\/31\/11&#8221;. But I think; something is wrong. What does that line &#8220;<strong>23NOV15<\/strong>&#8221; mean? <\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/NewYorkerSubscription.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8780\" title=\"NewYorkerSubscription\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/NewYorkerSubscription.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/NewYorkerSubscription.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/NewYorkerSubscription-300x144.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">I call the <em>New Yorke<\/em>r. Oh, yes, the &#8220;23Nov15&#8221; means your subscription is paid until November 23, 2015 &#8212; more than four years hence. Why would they send me a 2-For-1 Insider Discount Savings Form? <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Heck, why not? Maybe their readers (or some of them) are really stupid? And print media needs the money.<\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Fix Your Outlook. <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Somewhere on your Windows hard drive, you&#8217;ll find a file called SCANTPST.EXE. Microsoft calls it the <em>Inbox Repair Tool<\/em>. Run it on your Outlook.pst file.It will clean it and make it run more reliably. Trust me.<\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>What is wrong with the younger generation? <\/strong><\/span>Don&#8217;t they ever know how to say Thank You? Apparently not.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Please teach your kids to say, email and mail &#8220;<em>Thank Yous<\/em>.&#8221; Adults are <strong>NOT<\/strong> kin the business of avalanching other people&#8217;s kids\u00a0 with favors &#8212; time, money, or advice.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burning bridges is not useful at a young age.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">There&#8217;s no faster way to burn them than to appear ungrateful by not saying\u00a0 Thank You. I have several examples. They all make me despair. I sound like a grumpy old man.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>A whale of a time.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/WhaleinDentist.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8772\" title=\"WhaleinDentist\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/WhaleinDentist.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"299\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/WhaleinDentist.jpg 550w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/08\/WhaleinDentist-300x163.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The photo was taken at the entrance to Katlian Bay at the end of the road in Sitka, Alaska. The whale is coming up to scoop up a mouthful of herring (the small fish seen at the surface around the kayak). The kayaker is a local Sitka Dentist. Other than being momentarily terrified, he didn&#8221;t get hurt.\u00a0 His reaction:\u00a0 <em>&#8220;Paddle really fast!<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Oops. A reader has written in. This apparently is a creation of photoshop. The lesson here is clearly you can&#8217;t believe anything. I should have checked. Stupid me.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Ultra-Bad Australian humour.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Teacher to class: &#8220;Children, we are all descendants of Adam and Eve&#8221;<br \/>\nPupil: &#8220;But Miss, my mummy and daddy said we come from the apes.&#8221;<br \/>\nTeacher: &#8220;Stay out of this one Leroy, I&#8217;m not talking about your lot.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I bought the wife a Memory Stick, it&#8217;s great!<br \/>\nShe hasn&#8217;t forgotten my beer, dinner or sex once since her first beating with it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Sky news report. The Irish have joined in the attack on Libya .<br \/>\nThey sent in 3 ships &#8211; 2 full of sand, and one full of cement..it was a mortar attack.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">An assortment of high powered weapons and a stash of drugs including cocaine, heroin and ecstasy have been found behind the Job Centre in Liverpool . The locals are said to be in a state of shock&#8230;&#8230;..They had no idea they had a job centre!<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Kate Middleton asked the Queen for advice on marriage and a long relationship&#8230; she replied &#8220;wear a seatbelt and don&#8217;t piss me off!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Just  had a bloke at the door asking if I wanted to buy raffle tickets for black  orphans. I told him with my luck I&#8217;d probably win one.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Following the tragic death of the Human Cannonball at the Kent  Show, a spokesman said &#8220;We&#8217;ll struggle to get another man of the same calibre.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The  cost of living has now got so bad that my wife is having sex with me because  she can&#8217;t afford batteries!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who thinks he&#8217;s finally over jet lag. It only took four days. Meantime, my friend who travels regularly to Australia recommends melatonin. Upon returning, he gulps a 3 mg tablet each day &#8212; for one or two days. The brand is Nature Made. He bought it at CVS. He has to buy it in the U.S. since it requires a prescription in Australia. which tells you\u00a0 something. I haven&#8217;t tried the stuff. To recover from jet lag, I rely on sleep, exercise, a little sun and lots of complaining. Which is boring and slow. But it fits my personality &#8212; slow and boring.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My local Mercedes Manhattan dealer charges $174 an hour for labor. That&#8217;s the primary reason his bills are so high.\u00a0 My local non-Mercedes mechanic charges a lot less and does a perfectly fine job.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I can&#8217;t present you with new, brilliant ideas every day. First, it&#8217;s a comfort thing. Second, it&#8217;s a research thing. Research and due diligence simply takes too much time. But&#8230; I am adding more money to my Australian CDs. I keep buying gold &#8212; largely SGOL and GLD. And I&#8217;m still happy with my mortgage [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8768","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8768"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8768\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8768"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8768"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8768"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}