{"id":9626,"date":"2011-10-19T09:02:34","date_gmt":"2011-10-19T13:02:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=9626"},"modified":"2011-10-19T09:19:06","modified_gmt":"2011-10-19T13:19:06","slug":"delveraging-and-expense-cutting-to-take-another-five-years-meantime-hold-your-powder","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/?p=9626","title":{"rendered":"Delveraging and expense cutting to take another five years. Meantime, hold your powder."},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">How do you make money in this?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Apple&#8217;s net is up 54%. Its shares fall big\u00a0 becaused it failed Wall Street&#8217;s fantasy.\u00a0 iPhone sales came in at &#8220;only&#8221; 17 million, rather than 20 million. Go figure.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Greece is about to default (again). Yet our market has risen strongly in the past ten days:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/SPTenDays.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9647\" title=\"S&amp;PTenDays\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/SPTenDays.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"647\" height=\"290\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/SPTenDays.jpg 647w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/SPTenDays-300x134.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 647px) 100vw, 647px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My SPY short is now well under water.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">My successful day trader friend:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>Harry<\/strong>: <em>You  making any money day-trading these days?<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><strong>Friend:<\/strong><em> <\/em>Win and lose. It is very tough.  C\u2019est la vie. The main problem is that there  is very little logic. Today for example, it should be  going down. Europe still stinks with new  warning from Moody\u2019s on France. And China is showing even more signs of slowing  down. Now 10.3% growth going towards 8% and if it was going towards 6% it would  be recession there!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The key in this market is patience. the good news is that many of our large companies are recognizing the benefits of dividends. Intel is now yielding 3.59%. It&#8217;s just reported satisfactory earnings. But look at its chart. Should I wait until it hits $19.50\u00a0 again?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Who knows?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/IntelUpandDown.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9650\" title=\"IntelUpandDown\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/IntelUpandDown.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"644\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/IntelUpandDown.jpg 644w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/IntelUpandDown-300x133.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 644px) 100vw, 644px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>New York is booming.<\/strong><\/span> Residential rents are skyrocketting. Contruction is exploding. Two photos I took on a bike ride downtown (to my dentitst, again) on Monday:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Cranes2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9644\" title=\"Cranes2\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Cranes2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"602\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Cranes2.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Cranes2-224x300.jpg 224w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">This building will be 44 stories.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Cranes1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9642\" title=\"Cranes1\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Cranes1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"366\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Cranes1.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Cranes1-300x244.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">I don&#8217;t know how tall this one will be but the picture suggests it will be tall. These climbing cranes are worth about $2 million a piece.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Opening2014.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9653\" title=\"Opening2014\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Opening2014.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"297\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Opening2014.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Opening2014-300x148.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>From Richard Russell&#8217;s latest newsletter:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Local governments, which were once a steady source of employment in tough economic times, are shedding jobs in unprecedented numbers, and heavy payroll losses are expected to persist into next year.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\">It&#8217;s a shame. My oldest daughter, Daria, is a high school teacher in San Diego county. She tells me that it&#8217;s almost impossible for a trained and experienced teacher to get a job in San Diego. Teachers are America&#8217;s future. When teachers are unemployed with no chance of getting a job, our future is in trouble.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\">Localities have sliced <strong>535,000<\/strong> positions since September 2008 in an effort to close massive budget deficits resulting largely from sharp decline in property tax receipts. That exceeds the <strong>413,000 <\/strong>local government jobs cut from 1980 to 1983.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Headline\u00a0 1. <\/strong><\/span>From today&#8217;s New York Times:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><em>In Rift Between Murdochs, Heir Becomes Less Apparent<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Headline 2. F<\/strong><\/span>rom today&#8217;s Forbes.com:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\"><em>In Mortgage Problems, BofA Faces Paralyzing Uncertainty<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">The headline writers are having a ball.<em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>This exercise video is seriously neat.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/FrenchVideo.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9636\" title=\"FrenchVideo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/FrenchVideo.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"550\" height=\"313\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/FrenchVideo.jpg 550w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/FrenchVideo-300x170.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Click <a href=\"http:\/\/vimeo.com\/29416289\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>here.<\/strong><\/a><em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Cute Jewishisms.<\/strong><\/span><em><br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Q:\u00a0 Why did Adam and Eve have a perfect marriage?<\/em><br \/>\nA:\u00a0 He didn&#8217;t have to hear about all the men she could have married, and she didn&#8217;t have to hear about the way his mother cooked<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 30px;\"><em>Q:\u00a0 Define &#8220;genius&#8221;<\/em><br \/>\nA:\u00a0 An average student with a Jewish mother<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Two Jewish life mysteries.<\/strong><\/span> &#8211;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ How can a 2 Ib. box of chocolates can make a Jewish woman gain 5 lbs .<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">+ How come\u00a0 when a Jewish woman hangs something in her wardrobe for a while and it shrinks two sizes!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>And finally, <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">The trouble with some Jewish women is that they get all excited about nothing.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px; text-align: left;\">Then they marry him.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Two favorite New Yorker cartoons:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Spreadsheet.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9638\" title=\"Spreadsheet\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Spreadsheet.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"533\" height=\"477\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Spreadsheet.jpg 533w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/Spreadsheet-300x268.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 533px) 100vw, 533px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/CompellingCase.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9639\" title=\"CompellingCase\" src=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/CompellingCase.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"541\" height=\"491\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/CompellingCase.jpg 541w, https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/10\/CompellingCase-300x272.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 541px) 100vw, 541px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong><a href=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"HarryNewtonNewShot\" src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/08\/HarryNewtonNewShot2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"125\" height=\"180\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Harry Newton who is finding it very hard to keep the six pounds noff that he lost in Vietnam.\u00a0 I notice everything here swims in fat and obesity is common, and accepted.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">Item: CNBC had Bill Richardson, former governor of New Mexicon, on this morning. The man is morbidly obese. How can intelligent men like him and Chris Christie\u00a0 allow themselves to get so fat? When was the last time you saw a fat, old man? You didn&#8217;t. They don&#8217;t exist.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How do you make money in this? Apple&#8217;s net is up 54%. Its shares fall big\u00a0 becaused it failed Wall Street&#8217;s fantasy.\u00a0 iPhone sales came in at &#8220;only&#8221; 17 million, rather than 20 million. Go figure. Greece is about to default (again). Yet our market has risen strongly in the past ten days: My SPY [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9626"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9626\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.technologyinvestor.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}