Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Newton's In Search Of The Perfect Investment. Technology Investor.
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8:30 AM EST Wednesday, February 20, 2008: Today
is real serious. Read it carefully. Pass it on to your friends who own auction
rate securities and who have money in money market funds.
First,
auction rate securities. These things were sold as "cash." As you
know billions of dollars of auctions are now failing daily. People like you
and I who want our cash can't get it. Some of us need the cash to pay our income
taxes on April 15. Some of us need it to pay for the new house that we've signed
on. Some of us need it to pay for business expenses. Some of us need it to pay
next month's credit card bills.
There
are two types of auction rate securities (ARS). Both are failing.
1.
Issuer based ARS. Hospitals, highway authorities, states. As auctions fail,
the interest rate on these securities are resetting -- some as high as 20%.
These issuers can't afford to pay these rates. They will quickly raise new bonds
and pay these things off. As long as you have a high-quality issuer, your money
is safe. You will get your cash, though it may take months.
2.
Leveraged muni bond funds from companies such as Nuveen, Blackrock, Eaton Vance,
Evergreen, Allianz Global, John Hancock Advisors, MFS, Van Kampen, Pimco, Gabelli,
Calamos, etc. These are perpetual securities which were auctioned weekly.
Now the auctions are failing, the interest rates are resetting -- but not to
penalty rates. My Nuveen securities are resetting to 3.29% to 3.32%. These firms
are sitting idly by, saying, to their investors, "The failed auctions
are not our fault. We won't help you sell your holdings. Go stew for eternity."
Why they would do this and destroy their own reputations when the solution is
so simple beats me. The solution is to simply sell some of the bonds in the
funds and buy back their own securities. But they're not doing it. God knows
why. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot.
Nuveen has issued
the following: (http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/080215/20080215005504.html)
Q: What happens
when an auction fails?
* It is important
to note that a failed auction for a closed-end fund is not a default. Preferred
shareholders continue to receive dividends (at the maximum rate
as noted below), and their liquidation preference ($25,000 per
share in the case of the Nuveen closed-end funds) is unaffected.
* Any bids in the auction to newly purchase shares that are filled will be
allocated on a pro rata basis among the shareholders who wished to sell.
* Shareholders who wished to sell shares, to the extent they were unable to
do so, will continue to hold their shares. They may offer their shares at
the next scheduled auction, subject to the same risk that the subsequent auction
will not attract sufficient demand for a successful auction to occur.
* Our auction process calls for the fund to pay a maximum rate
for the entire series, not just the unsold shares. This rate is intended in
part to compensate would-be sellers for the gap in liquidity.
Q: Will I be able to sell my shares in the secondary market?
* Broker-dealer
auction desks may try to facilitate secondary market trades away from the
auction process, though there is no obligation to make a market bid to furnish
liquidity. Such a secondary market, if it does materialize, may be thin and
challenged and may not provide shareholders the degree of liquidity they are
seeking.
* Sellers in the secondary market may receive less than the customary $25,000
share price.
Q: What if
I want to sell my MuniPreferred or FundPreferred shares at the next scheduled
auction?
* We cannot
predict what will happen with upcoming auctions. Current indications are that
liquidity pressure and auction market displacements will continue for at least
the near term.
* If a particular auction fails to attract sufficient demand, all investors
in that auctions shares will receive the maximum rate dividend. This
rate is intended to be attractively above comparable rates for successful
auctions of closed-end fund preferred shares, although the maximum rates have
been only slightly higher than the reset rates for recent successful auctions.
* It is possible but not guaranteed that a secondary market for such shares
may arise.
Q: Will I
be able to sell my shares in the secondary market?
* Broker-dealer
auction desks may try to facilitate secondary market trades away from the
auction process, though there is no obligation to make a market bid to furnish
liquidity. Such a secondary market, if it does materialize, may be thin and
challenged and may not provide shareholders the degree of liquidity they are
seeking.
* Sellers in the secondary market may receive less than the customary $25,000
share
Q: What if
I want to sell my MuniPreferred or FundPreferred shares at the next scheduled
auction?
* We cannot
predict what will happen with upcoming auctions. Current indications are that
liquidity pressure and auction market displacements will continue for at least
the near term.
* If a particular auction fails to attract sufficient demand, all investors
in that auctions shares will receive the maximum rate dividend. This
rate is intended to be attractively above comparable rates for successful
auctions of closed-end fund preferred shares, although the maximum rates have
been only slightly higher than the reset rates for recent successful auctions.
* It is possible but not guaranteed that a secondary market for such shares
may arise.
In short, Nuveen
is walking away from its responsibility to its investors, destroying its own
firm in the process. Yet the solution is so simple: Sell some of the underlying
securities, step in and buy its own funds back at auction.
I personally have
$4.5 million of these Nuveen funds. They were sold to me as cash.
Now theyre valueless. I am starring at 100% loss of my principal. I am
not a happy camper.
Investors who
are similarly stuck in these ARS funds should contact me at .
I'll keep everything confidential.
Yesterday I spoke
to a man who manages many millions of tax-exempt municipal securities. Wisely,
he kept his clients out of these ARS securities. He never liked them. Yesterday,
he gave me this advice: "The only way this is going to be solved is
for sufficient investors to scream."
Its time
to scream. It's time for serious action. We cannot stand idly by and wait while
our money disappears because firms like Nuveen are acting irresponsibly. Send
me an email. We'll jointly figure a solution.
Money
market funds: How far should we take our fear? A
number of readers emailed and asked "Should I cash in my money market
fund?" One readers says he has "one
(money market fund) with ING Direct and another with Eloan. They both have 3
star ratings using Bankrate.com's CAEL rating system." The reader asks,
"Do you think the rating system has any validity?" The ratings
are shown here for all the major Money Markets: www.bankrate.com.
Should I be concerned with these even though they are FDIC insured?"
I will freely
admit to being ignorant on these money market things. But let's see what I found
with 30 minutes of research on the Internet. The first thing is that our friend's
two funds are rated 3, which means they are "performing." But
a 3 rating is two steps below rating 1 and rating 2. You'll also notice a disclaimer
at the bottom of this chart, namely that things might have changed. In fact,
there's no way they haven't changed. I trust this chart as much as the few electrons
it comprises.
Now let's go the
first step, the ING Direct web site. There in simple black and white, it says
that ING's mutual funds are not insured by the FDIC. ING classes money
market funds as mutual funds. .
I bet our reader
who has money in ING Direct and Eloan that he hasn't read either of their prospectuses.
I mean, heck, who reads prospectuses of money market funds? Certainly not our
reader, nor I bet, the broker or financial adviser who recommended / sold him
those funds. Having not read their prospectuses means you missed out on some
juicy bits:
page 18: The
Fund is subject to the risks associated with investing in debt securities.
... Although the Fund seeks to preserve the value of your investment at $1.00
per share, it is possible to lose money by investing in the fund.
page 18: The
Fund may invest in mortgage-related securities... The risks of concentrating
in investments in the financial services sector include, but are not limited
to the following: credit risk, interest rate risks. ... In addition, to the
extent that the Fund further concentrates in the banking industry, the risks
described may be greater."
page 19: There
are risks paragraphs headed, "foreign investing, repurchase agreements,
mortgage-related securities, etc."
Here are my conclusions:
1. Money market
funds are not the simple, clean, safe financial animal they are promoted as.
2. I don't trust
Bankrate's ratings. They don't even date when they did the ratings. I bet they
did them a long, long time ago.
3. I don't understand
all the legal mumbo jumbo in these prospectus. So I have no real ideas what
hidden dangers lurk herein.
4. The credit
markets are producing new black swans daily. I have no idea if the next "credit
contagion" problems will hit money market funds, and your monies will be
stuck, locked up tight, as my monies presently are stuck in auction rate muni
bond securities.
5. What's a few
dollars in lost interest compared to losing your entire principal?
In short, get
out of these things. Go to Mattress Cash.
Finally,
the blonde gets even.
A trucker came into a truck stop cafe and placed his order. He said, "I
want three flat tires, a pair of headlights and a pair of running boards."
The brand new
blonde waitress, not wanting to appear stupid, went to the kitchen and said
to the cook, "This guy out there just ordered three flat tires, a pair
of headlights and a pair of running boards.
"What does
he think this place is? An auto parts store?"
"No,"
the cook said. "Three flat tires mean three pancakes. A pair of headlights
is two eggs sunny side up. The running boards are two slices of crisp bacon."
"Oh, OK!"
said the blonde. She thought about it for a moment and then spooned up a bowl
of beans and gave it to the customer.
The trucker asked,
"What are the beans for, Blondie?"
She replied, "I
thought while you were waiting for the flat tires, the headlights and the running
boards, you might as well gas up!"

This column is about my personal search for the perfect
investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have to be registered
with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter and an investor.
I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available for three
reasons: Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second, the column
is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the Perfect
Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their ideas,
concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email address
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