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Newton's In Search Of The Perfect Investment. Technology Investor. Previous Columns
8:30 AM Thursday, January 13, 2005: After another day in depositions, I'm about as exhausted as I've ever been. Depositions are done so there are "no surprises in court," as one lawyer explained. Whatever the reason, they sure make the process of suing someone extremely expensive.

Goldman Sachs named Sonus Networks (SONS) a Top Pick for 2005." Firm sees attractive valuation and 35% upside potential at only 18x their 2006 EPS estimate of $0.30. Firm believes growth over the next few years should be above 20%. They cite the following positive key points: 1) Additional partnerships with major equipment vendors who lack key parts of the VoIP (Voice Over Internet Protocol) product line; 2) Market demand improvement as cable vendors expand their VoIP services push, adding pressure for incumbents to step up the pace for VoIP deployments and capabilities; and 3) Expected new customer momentum.

When I saw this "top pick," I thought: What investment banking business are they pitching Sonus? A takeover? Money-raising? Some companies to buy? and then I thought, "Why am I incapable of simply accepting their pick as genuine? Do I now immediately regard everything Wall Street does with suspicion? Have I become that jaded? I read a little on them last night. I don't see Sonus as the stock to make anyone rich beyond their wildest dreams in 2005. I pass it on this morning. Maybe someone out there knows more?

I've missed two days of the Needham & Company Growth Conference with my depositions. This is the best small company conference of the year. Some of the presentations will still be on line. I'll check and let you know. I hope to get a few minutes to go there today. Here's the list of presenters. Click here.

I knew about the strong demand for iPods, but I have been concerned about Apple's stock being way overpriced. I was wrong. It's going through the roof this morning after a fourfold increase in profits on a 74% sales surge. Nice job, Jobs.

I don't like the huge increase in the U.S. trade deficit and the weakening dollar. We can't continue to do this forever.

Chart from the Wall Street Journal.

The Journal says the big trade deficit "sowed some doubt about whether the drop in the value of the dollar during the past year can be expected to cure the trade imbalance. .. Today's release ... continues to confound the 'experts' who have constantly predicted that a weaker dollar would be the cure for America's exploding trade imbalance," said Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. in Newport Beach, Calif. "If anything, the statistical record is showing an inverse relationship between the dollar and the deficit: The more the dollar falls, the higher the deficit goes."

I worry about a 1987 type-crisis, with a major overnight drop in share prices and a further plunge in the value of the dollar. I worry that only a crisis will "solve" this problem. I wonder if stockmarkets are not reflecting that worry in their present squirrellyness?

I'll be less tired tomorrow. End of depositions for now.

More Predictions. But this time for the year 2025
+ W
hite minorities still trying to have English recognized as California's third language.
+ Baby conceived naturally ... Scientists stumped.
+ Couple petitions court to reinstate heterosexual marriage.
+ Last remaining Fundamentalist Muslim dies in the American Territory of the Middle East (formerly known as Iran, Afghanistan, Syria, Saudi Arabia and Lebanon).
+ France pleads for global help after being invaded by Jamaica.
+ Castro finally dies at age 112; Cuban cigars can now be imported legally, but President Chelsea Clinton has banned all smoking.
+ 35 year study: Diet and Exercise is the key to weight loss.
+ Average weight of Americans drops to 250 lbs.
+ Supreme Court rules punishment of criminals violates their civil rights.
+ Average height of NBA players now nine feet, seven inches.
+ IRS sets lowest tax rate at 75%.
+ Florida Democrats still don't know how to use a voting machine.

Where's my wife?
Two old guys are pushing their carts around Wal-Mart when they collide
The first old guy says to the second guy, "Sorry about that. I'm looking for my wife, and I guess I wasn't paying attention to where I was going."

The second old guy says, "That's OK. It's a coincidence. I'm looking for my wife, too, and I can't find her and I'm getting a little desperate."

The first old guy says, "Well, maybe I can help you find her. What does she look like?"

The second old guy says, "Well, she is 27 years old, tall with red hair, blue eyes, long legs, large firm breasts, and a tight butt wearing short shorts. What does your wife look like?"

To which the first old guy says, "Never mind; let's look for yours."

Harry Newton

This column is about my personal search for the perfect investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have to be registered with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter and an investor. I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available for three reasons:
Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second, the column is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the Perfect Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their ideas, concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email address is . You can't click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects me from software scanning the Internet for email addresses to spam.
I have no role in choosing the Google ads. Thus I cannot endorse any, though some look mighty interesting. If you click on a link, Google may send me money. That money will help pay Claire's law school tuition. Read more about Google AdSense, click here and here.
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