Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Newton's In Search Of The Perfect Investment. Technology Investor.
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8:30 AM EST, Monday, June 18:
Michael, my son, and I are leaving today on a Backroads biking, boating and
bonding trip. This is our second Backroads trip. We like Backroads because you
get exercise, see lots of fun places, meet nice people and everything is organized
for you.

Hence
my next column will be Monday July 2.
Retire
rich, again: If I see another magazine telling me I can retire young
and rich, I'll puke. The latest in the pile:

Why the standard photo of gray-haired old man with woman young enough to be
his granddaughter staring mindlessly out at boring ocean? Face it: retirement
is basically boring. You have to force yourself to re-orient your life to something
that is not half as satisfying as working with new ideas, new people and new
companies and over which you often have control. Which is called "working
for a living." And it's great -- even if you give all the rewards (i.e.
the money) away. And -- if you hadn't already figured it out -- giving money
away is a full-time job also. Charities are just as inefficient as companies,
perhaps more so. Finding good ones is not easy. That's why the super-rich start
their own.
I read Fortune
to see if it actually had anything of interest. The answer was basically no
-- lots of space-filling interviews with the usual suspects like Ben Stein and
a Motley Fool co-founder, Tom Gardner. To its credit, the magazine begins with
a warning:
There are more
signs for caution than for full steam ahead. For one thing, investors have
become extremely complacent. ... For another, while the markets are setting
records, corporate profit growth is slowing and may be posed to slow further,
in part because of rising labor and energy. For a third, valuations are rising.
The P/E ratio on forecast S&P 500 earnings is now 16. ...
That
doesn't mean you panic and dump everything. It means you avoid high-fliers,
e.g. Apple. I do like Tom Gardner's idea: Pick trends. He has six:
1.
Home entertainment. He likes Dolby Labs.
2. Rising oil prices. He likes Unit Corp. I like Dril-Quip and others I've mentioned.
3. Eating out. He likes Middleby Corp. I'm dubious.
4. Home building. He likes MDC Holdings. I like the idea of buying downtrodden
stocks. Clearly, housing is not going away. Here's my entire list:
5.
The digital doctor's office. He likes Quality Systems, a leading software package
for electronic medical record keeping. I do see doctors using computers more.
6. Alternative sports. He likes Volcom, which sells apparel and shoes for outdoor
enthusiasts. It's had a big run and is now pricey. I'm dubious.
I'd add two trends:
1. Money management. Check out all the leading investment bankers, including
Goldman Sachs. Someone has to manage all the baby boomers' money. 1% to 2% of
all that money keeps adding up and up and up.
2. Alternative energy and mining. I like Australia. My friend Phil Zera chips
in with two interesting stocks -- Zoltek which makes the carbon fiber used in
windmills. The bigger the blade, the more power the windmill can produce. And
Zoltek is making bigger and bigger ones. Also Bucyrus International. They make
the giant mining shovels and draglines Australian mines use.
S.E.C.
Ends Decades-Old Price Limits on Short Selling
The Securities and Exchange Commission has voted to end price restrictions on
short selling, meaning that investors seeking to sell a share that they do not
own will no longer be barred from doing so because the price of the stock is
falling. The 5-to-0 vote, ending a rule that had been in place since 1938, when
short sellers were blamed by some critics for having caused the 1929 market
crash and the Depression that followed, came as the commission also voted to
make it harder to engage in naked shorting, the practice of selling shares that
have not been purchased or borrowed.
Luggage
tags that get attention: Everyone loves my luggage tags. They say
Newton, not Any Name. But you get the message. They cost $29.99
for a set of three.

Buy
them from tagsforbags.com.
From
Australia: Have you heard the one about the physicist, the engineer
and the economist marooned on a desert island with only a tin of baked beans
between them?
The problem was
getting the beans out of the tin. The physicist found a bit of glass and tried
to hold it so the sun's rays would burn around the top of the tin. It wasn't
working. The engineer did a lot of mental calculations of the angle and velocity
at which he'd have to throw the tin at a rock so its seams burst. It wasn't
working. So the economist had to step in. "I don't know why you're making
such heavy weather of it," he said. "The solution's obvious - assume
a tin-opener."
The thing about
economist jokes is not that they're wildly funny but that they point up some
of the absurdities of real-life economics. Like trying to predict where the
economy is going.
Why
do I think this photo is funny? I shot it at the L.A. International
Airport.

Blasphemy,
Jewish-style
A hardworking Jew finally makes it in business, and he treats himself
to a new Lamborghini. After buying it, he feels guilty that he spent so
much money on a car, so he goes to the Orthodox Rabbi in his neighborhood and
asks for a mezuzah to put on the door of the Lamborghini to make himself feel
better.
"You want a mezuzah for what?" the Rabbi asks.
"For my Lamborghini."
"What's a Lamborghini?" asks the Rabbi.
"A sports car,' he replies
"What? That's blasphemy!" the Rabbi shouts. "You
want a mezuzah for a sports car? Go to a Conservative Rabbi!"
The fellow goes to the Conservative Rabbi and asks him for a mezuzah.
"You want a mezuzah for what?" the Rabbi asks.
"For my Lamborghini", the man replies.
"What's a Lamborghini?" asks the Rabbi.
"A car, a sports car."
"What kind of sports car?" asks the Rabbi.
"Italian."
What? That is ridiculous!" the Rabbi shouts. "You want a mezuzah for
a Goyishe car? Go to a Reform Rabbi!"
Now the man feels even more guilty and more disappointed, but he goes to the
Reform Rabbi in his neighborhood and asks him, "Can you give me a mezuzah
for my Lamborghini?"
"You have a Lamborghini?" asks the Rabbi.
"You know what it is?" says the man.
"Of course! It's a fantastic Italian sports car. But, what's a mezuzah?"

This column is about my personal search
for the perfect investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have
to be registered with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter
and an investor. I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available
for three reasons: Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second,
the column is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the
Perfect Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their
ideas, concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email
address is .
You can't click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects
me from software scanning the Internet for email addresses to spam. I have no
role in choosing the Google ads. Thus I cannot endorse any, though some look
mighty interesting. If you click on a link, Google may send me money. Please
note I'm not suggesting you do. That money, if there is any, may help pay Claire's
law school tuition. Read more about Google AdSense, click
here and here.
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