Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Technology Investor. Auction Rate Securities. Auction Rate Preferreds.
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8:30 AM EST Tuesday, June 24, 2008: This
is shaping up to be one horrible summer in the stockmarket. Being hit hardest
are stocks in the sectors suffering the most -- financials and auto makers.
Look at some "favorite" sufferers in financials and autos:
Yesterday was
the fourth consecutive business day I have received Gloom and Doom
warnings of a MAJOR crash coming in the stockmarket. All these warnings
have come from intelligent, conservative observers. This is unprecedented. A
typical comment:
The problem is
the Energy sector cannot rise 3.7% per day every day in order for the S&P
500 to post a flat session. The Decliners led Advancers in the broadly based
Russell 3000 by 2.5 to 1, so we know today was by no means a flat performance
for investors. The action masked the real pain being incurred. We thought Crude
would have peaked by now. Watching the Commodity on the cusp of a breakout above
$140 is definitely a major concern. We believe Energy, just like most commodities,
will be a victim of its own success. Energy prices at the current levels are
inconsistent with sustained economic growth, not only domestically, but also
globally. At some point in the near future, this will register in the Equity
Market. A notable push lower in Equities is what will be necessary to
prompt the Energy market to recognize it. Essentially, the action in Energy
is insuring that the Equity market will need to go lower before it can go higher.
The
indexes don't measure the pain (or the pleasure, if you're short). Yesterday's
indexes looked benign:
But look behind
the indexes and you can see the extent of the suffering:
Cash remains king.
Good to have cash to buy cheap foreclosed properties. More about that tomorrow.
"The
IRS is SO stupid." My son, Michael, rants this morning. Apparently
he filed electronically -- in plenty of time. He was proud. His first time not
using the family accountant. Weeks later he received a demand for $45 "late
filing interest." He pays it. It was "easier" to pay it than
to complain, he explains with his impeccable logic. They cashed his check. Yesterday
he receives a letter from the IRS telling him they're deducting $45 (another
$45) from his $600 "economic stimulus check."
I explain to Michael
that Bush's economic stimulus package is designed to stimulate the IRS, not
him. He doesn't think this is funny.
Sorry
about yesterday. I didn't get the software coding on yesterday's
site right until about 9:30 AM. What messed it up was the table for Wimbledon's
TV schedule. I stole the table from TennisWarehouse.com. I don't buy much from
them, however. I get good prices and ultra-fast delivery from Fromuth (800-523-8414).
F4:
The best Excel button: It simply repeats your
last Excel command. You just inserted a new line. Want to add another one? Hit
F4. This tip, courtesy Anne Himpens, certified Excel genius, and dear friend.
Water
on Mars. The first picture. This photo actually came from what appears
to be an official NASA site -- http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/image/0504/WaterOnMars2_gcc.jpg.
Some of us think this is funny. Some people at NASA must think the same... Drumroll....
here's the first picture of water on Mars.
Wimbledon
continues today. You can watch 14 hours of tennis
today. That will be much more enjoyable than watching the ticker today. Here
is the TV schedule.
All times listed are Eastern Standard Time (L) = Live (T) = Taped
Tuesday, June 24 |
7:00 am - 5:30 pm |
Early
rounds |
ESPN2
(L) |
Tuesday, June 24 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Wednesday, June 25 |
7:00 am - 5:30 pm |
Early
rounds |
ESPN2
(L) |
Wednesday, June 25 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Thursday, June 26 |
7:00 am - 5:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
ESPN2
(L) |
Thursday, June 26 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Friday, June 27 |
7:00 am - 5:30 pm |
Early
rounds |
ESPN2
(L) |
Friday, June 27 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Saturday, June 28 |
7:00 am - 12:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
ESPN2
(L) |
Saturday, June 28 |
12:00 pm - 3:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
NBC
(L) |
Saturday, June 28 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Sunday, June 29 |
7:00 am - 12:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
ESPN2
(T) |
Sunday, June 29 |
12:00 pm - 3:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
NBC
(T) |
Sunday, June 29 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Monday, June 30 |
7:00 am - 10:00 am |
Early
rounds |
ESPN2
(L) |
Monday, June 30 |
10:00 am - 1:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
NBC
(L) |
Monday, June 30 |
1:00 pm - 6:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
ESPN2
(L) |
Monday, June 30 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Early
rounds |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Tuesday, July 1 |
7:00 am - 10:00 am |
Quarterfinals
(Ladies') |
ESPN2
(L) |
Tuesday, July 1 |
10:00 am - 1:00 pm |
Quarterfinals
(Ladies') |
NBC
(L) |
Tuesday, July 1 |
1:00 pm - 5:00 pm |
Quarterfinals
(Ladies') |
ESPN2
(L) |
Tuesday, July 1 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Quarterfinals
(Ladies') |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Wednesday, July 2 |
7:00 am - 10:00 am |
Quarterfinals
(Gentlemen's) |
ESPN2
(L) |
Wednesday, July 2 |
10:00 am - 1:00 pm |
Quarterfinals
(Gentlemen's) |
NBC
(L) |
Wednesday, July 2 |
1:00 pm - 5:00 pm |
Quarterfinals
(Gentlemen's) |
ESPN2
(L) |
Wednesday, July 2 |
7:00 pm - 11:00 pm |
Quarterfinals
(Gentlemen's) |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Thursday, July 3 |
7:00 am - 12:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Ladies') |
ESPN2
(L) |
Thursday, July 3 |
12:00 pm - 5:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Ladies') |
NBC
(L) |
Thursday, July 3 |
8:00 pm - 10:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Ladies') |
Tennis
Channel (T) |
Friday, July 4 |
7:00 am - 12:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Gentlemen's) |
ESPN2
(L) |
Friday, July 4 |
12:00 pm - 5:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Gentlemen's) |
NBC
(L) |
Saturday, July 5 |
9:00 am - 2:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Gentlemen's) |
ESPN2
(L) |
Saturday, July 5 |
12:00 pm - 5:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Gentlemen's) |
NBC
(L) |
Sunday, July 6 |
9:00 am - 3:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Gentlemen's) |
NBC
(L) |
Sunday, July 6 |
3:00 pm - 4:00 pm |
Semifinals
(Gentlemen's) |
ESPN2
(L) |
Dedicated
to my son and his IRS problems:
The Department of Water Resources representative stops at a Victorian
Farm and talks with an old farmer. He tells the farmer' I need to inspect your
farm for your water allocation'.
The old farmer says "Okay, but don't go in that paddock over there."
The Water representative
says " Mister, I have the authority of The Federal Government with me.
See this card? This card means I am allowed to go WHEREVER I WISH on any agricultural
land. No questions asked or answered. Have I made myself clear? Do you understand?"
The old farmer
nods politely and goes about his chores. Later, the old farmer hears loud screams
and spies the Water Rep running for his life and close behind is the farmer's
bull. The bull is gaining with every step.
The Rep is clearly
terrified. The old farmer throws down his tools, runs to the fence and yells
at the top of his lungs, "Your card! Show him your card!"
This column is about my personal search for the perfect
investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have to be registered
with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter and an investor.
I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available for three
reasons: Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second, the column
is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the Perfect
Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their ideas,
concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email address
is . You can't
click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects me from software
scanning the Internet for email addresses to spam. I have no role in choosing
the Google ads on this site. Thus I cannot endorse, though some look interesting.
If you click on a link, Google may send me money. Please note I'm not suggesting
you do. That money, if there is any, may help pay Michael's business school
tuition. Read more about Google AdSense, click
here and here.
Go back.
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