Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Technology Investor. Harry Newton
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9:00
AM EST, Wednesday, June 3, 2009. On way to
Boston for graduation. A very early Acela "high speed" train. Motivated
businesspeople sit with their laptops open. Their laptops churn screensavers,
while their owners lie fast asleep.
This
morning's headlines trumpet happy news -- booming car sales (sort of) and
rising savings rates. Increasingly, the investment newsletters talk of this
stockmarket rise as "sticking" and gold as a necessary diversification.
There is talk of hedge funds which were heavily out of the market for many
months. Their managers are now being rebuked by their investors who don't
see the 20%+ rise in their accounts -- that the general market has enjoyed
since March 6. As this sidelined money moves back in we can expect further
rises.
My
friends are emailing: Don't be so wary, so conservative, so bearish. Stockmarkets
recover way before the economy does. You know the rest of the argument.
There is clearly
plenty of money around. My Boston bank startup has raised
over $13 million and will probably open this Fall with two branches -- not
the one it had planned.
I
bought some EWA recently. It's an index fund which reflects the movements
of Australia's largest companies. It's clearly bouncing back.

I
like Australia's prospects as the commodities supplier to the world, especially
China, which it's close to. The morning MarketWatch reported that Australia's
economy grew 0.4% in first quarter, beating expectations (and beating us by
a wide margin).
The
easiest problem is getting out. Simply sell when it falls 15%.
That's our inviolate 15% Stop Loss Rule. But getting back in? When?
What about when it rises by 15%? Does this new rule make sense? Had
we all followed this rule, we'd have done well this year.
The
slimy local real estate "business." Think 17 times before
you give a real estate broker an exclusive to sell your house or property.
You must research the agent's local reputation for honesty and fair dealing.
The exclusive broker controls what information the seller hears. The exclusive
broker is motivated to find a buyer themselves -- and not to honor a deal
brought by an outside broker, since that would involve splitting the commission.
The exclusive seller is motivated to find a buyer who will develop the property
and return the property to that broker for another sale, another commission
-- one presumably much higher.
In short, the
seller who grants an exclusive often -- not always -- get screwed. Local real
estate is murky. I can detail specific cases. But you get the message.
New
web site extensions are available: The newest one is ME If you
do business on the Internet, you should protect yourself by owning as many
websites as possible, including ORG, NET, TV, etc.
Two
case studies. Parents of the graduates are being entertained with
a discussion of two case studies -- which we had to bone up on last night.
One case is on Dubai; the other on Saudi Arabia. Both have oil. Both know
one day the oil will run out. Diversification is their only salvation. Dubai
is much further along. In Saudi women still can't drive. But the Saudi family
still rules -- a testimony to the family's pact with the devil -- the religious
extremists. About 70% of Saudis are under 30. Most don't have jobs, can't
get jobs and are annoyed. The ruling Saudi family is scared. The family's
super-extravagant lifestyle don't endear them.
French
Tennis Open 2009 TV Schedule
Wednesday,
June 3 - QUARTERS
8:00 am - 12:00 PM: French Open Quarterfinals - TENNIS CHANNEL (HD)
- LIVE
12:00 PM - 6:30 PM: French Open Men’s Quarterfinals - ESPN2
+ ESPN2 HD - LIVE and tape
6:30 PM - 5:00 AM: French Open “Tonight” show - TENNIS
CHANNEL (HD) - tape
Thursday,
June 4 - SEMIS
5:00 am - 8:00 AM: French Open Men’s Doubles Semifinals - TENNIS
CHANNEL (HD) - LIVE
8:00 am - 1:00 PM: French Open Women’s Semifinals - ESPN2 +
ESPN2 HD - LIVE
1:00 PM - 6:30 PM: French Open Women’s Semifinals - TENNIS CHANNEL
(HD) - tape
6:30 PM - 5:00 AM: French Open “Tonight” show - TENNIS
CHANNEL (HD) - tape
Friday,
June 5: - SEMIS
5:00 am - 10:00 AM: French Open Women’s Semifinals - TENNIS
CHANNEL (HD) - tape
10:00 am - 1:00 PM: French Open Men’s Semifinals - NBC -
LIVE
4:00 PM - 11:00 PM: French Open Men’s Semifinals - TENNIS CHANNEL
(HD) - tape
11:00 PM - 6:00 AM: French Open Men’s Semifinals - TENNIS CHANNEL
(HD) - tape
Saturday,
June 6: - FINAL
9:00 am - 12:00 PM: Women’s FINAL - NBC - LIVE
Sunday,
June 7: FINAL
9:00 am - 2:00 PM: Men’s FINAL - NBC -
LIVE
Retarded
Grandparents
This was actually reported by a teacher. Maybe.
After Christmas,
a teacher asked her young pupils how they spent their holiday away from school.
One child wrote
the following:
We always
used to spend the holidays with Grandma and Grandpa. They used to live in
a big brick house but Grandpa got retarded and they moved to The Villages,
in Florida. Now they live in a tin box and have rocks painted green to look
like grass. They ride around on their bicycles and wear name tags because
they don't know who they are anymore.
They go to
a building called a wreck center, but they must have got it fixed because
it is all okay now, they do exercises there, but they don't do them very
well.
There is a
swimming pool too, but they all jump up and down in it with hats on.
At their gate,
there is a doll house with a little old man sitting in it. He watches all
day so nobody can escape.
Sometimes
they sneak out, and go cruising in their golf carts.
Nobody there
cooks, they just eat out. And, they eat the same thing every night --- early
birds.
Some of the
people can't get out past the man in the doll house. The ones who do get
out, bring food back to the wrecked center for pot luck.
My Grandma
says that Grandpa worked all his life to earn his retardment and says I
should work hard so I can be retarded someday too.
When I earn
my retardment, I want to be the man in the doll house. Then I will let people
out, so they can visit their grandchildren.

This column is about my personal search for the perfect
investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have to be registered
with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter and an investor.
I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available for three
reasons: Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second, the column
is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the Perfect
Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their ideas,
concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email address
is . You can't
click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects me from software
scanning the Internet for email addresses to spam. I have no role in choosing
the Google ads on this site. Thus I cannot endorse, though some look interesting.
If you click on a link, Google may send me money. Please note I'm not suggesting
you do. That money, if there is any, may help pay Michael's business school
tuition. Read more about Google AdSense, click
here and here.
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