Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Newton's In Search Of The Perfect Investment. Technology Investor.
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8:30 AM EST Friday, June 30, 2006: I'm
back from the land Down Under, Australia. Here is why I should have visited
the place two years ago. The top line is Australia's ASX 200 Material index
(^AXMJ)*, the second is Australia's ASX 200 (the top 200 biggest Australian
shares) compared with our Dow, Nasdaq and S&P.
This chart drops the materials index and just compares the ASX 200 against our
Dow, Nasdaq and S&P.
There are eight
reasons Australian stocks have done so well:
1. The mining boom. China gets 40% of its iron and coal from Australia.
Then, there's zinc, copper, uranium, bauxite (aluminum), natural gas, gold,
molybdenum, and every other mineral you can imagine, let alone pronounce.
2. They manage their country really well. The present conservative government
(and the same prime minister) has been around for 10 years and has brought in
business-friendly changes on every front, including tax reductions, less restrictive
labor laws and removal of anti-competitive domestic trade practices.
3. The mandatory 9% super money. By law (since 1992) Australians have
to put 9% of their salaries into a 401(k) type fund and invest the money
into (basically) the stockmarket. The 9% is brilliant. It assures Australians
of a prosperous retirement and relieves the government of having to fund it.
4. The intellectual export boom. Australians have always been creative.
But they live at the bottom of the world. That has made them feel inferior.
No more. There are now Westfield shopping centers, Macquarie infrastructure
deals, Rinker's concrete trucks, and a zillion other world-class Australian
business accomplishments, including designing many of the stadiums for the China
Olympics 2008.
5. Huge entrepreneurial opportunities. All my friends' kids are starting
their own businesses -- from managing money to signage for shopping centers.
Optimism pervades Australia. There's nothing the Australians feel they can't
do -- from building tunnels under cities, to railways to new areas, to killing
Starbucks. Yes, you got it. Starbucks is falling on its tushy because Australians
make better coffee and sell it better. Australia also has more than its fair
share of self-made billionaires. What's new: It's proud of them.
6. Australia's population is now very diverse, courtesy recent immigration
from Asia. Immigrants work harder, too.
7. Australia is world-class in every way. It's seriously gorgeous. Its
climate is to die for. I played tennis outdoors in the middle of the Australian
winter. Australia sensibly keeps its snow on its mountains. Mae West said it
best, "Living well is the best revenge." She could have been referring
to Australia. All this is why Australia is attracting rich retirees from Asia
and the U.S. It's a really nice place to live, mate.
8. Overseas hedge funds discovered Australia. And pumped billions in.
In the last month, they've pulled $30 to $40 billion out of Australia, causing
the slump you see above. That creates a huge buying opportunity for the likes
of you and me.
Australia is booming. There's no stopping it.
Australia is a
refreshingly honest place. While I was there, an American reporter called Charles
Krauthammer wrote a piece in the Washington Post, titled "Why
I love Australia:" I go along with everything he says:
In the Australian
House of Representatives last month, opposition member Julia Gillard interrupted
a speech by the minister of health thusly: "I move that that sniveling
grub over there be not further heard."
For that, the
good woman was ordered removed from the House, if only for a day. She might
have escaped that little time-out if she had responded to the speaker's demand
for an apology with something other than "If I have offended grubs, I
withdraw unconditionally."
God, I love
Australia. Where else do you have a shadow health minister with such, er,
starch? Of course I'm prejudiced, having married an Australian, but how not
to like a country, in this age of sniveling grubs worldwide, whose treasurer
suggests to any person who "wants to live under sharia law" to try
Saudi Arabia and Iran, "but not Australia." He was elaborating on
an earlier suggestion that "people who . . . don't want to live by Australian
values and understand them, well then they can basically clear off."
Contrast this with Canada, historically and culturally Australia's commonwealth
twin, where last year Ontario actually gave serious consideration to allowing
its Muslims to live under sharia.
Such things
don't happen in Australia. This is a place where, when the remains of a fallen
soldier are accidentally switched with those of a Bosnian, the enraged widow
picks up the phone late at night, calls the prime minister at home in bed
and delivers a furious, unedited rant -- which he publicly and graciously
accepts as fully deserved. Where Americans today sue, Australians slash and
skewer.
For Americans,
Australia engenders nostalgia for our own past, which we gauzily remember
as infused with John Wayne plain-spokenness and vigor. Australia evokes an
echo of our own frontier, which is why Australia is the only place you can
unironically still shoot a Western.
It is surely
the only place where you hear officials speaking plainly in defense of action.
What other foreign minister but Australia's would see through "multilateralism,"
the fetish of every sniveling foreign policy grub from the Quai d'Orsay to
Foggy Bottom, calling it correctly "a synonym for an ineffective and
unfocused policy involving internationalism of the lowest common denominator"?
And with action
comes bravery, from the transcendent courage of the doomed at Gallipoli to
the playful insanity of Australian-rules football. How can you not like a
country whose trademark sport has Attila-the-Hun rules, short pants and no
padding -- a national passion that makes American football look positively
pastoral?
That bravery
breeds affection in America for another reason as well. Australia is the only
country that has fought with the United States in every one of its major conflicts
since 1914, the good and the bad, the winning and the losing.
Why? Because
Australia's geographic and historical isolation has bred a wisdom about the
structure of peace -- a wisdom that eludes most other countries. Australia
has no illusions about the "international community" and its feckless
institutions. An island of tranquility in a roiling region, Australia understands
that peace and prosperity do not come with the air we breathe but are maintained
by power -- once the power of the British Empire, now the power of the United
States.
Australia joined
the faraway wars of early-20th-century Europe not out of imperial nostalgia
but out of a deep understanding that its fate and the fate of liberty were
intimately bound with that of the British Empire as principal underwriter
of the international system. Today the underwriter is America, and Australia
understands that an American retreat or defeat -- a chastening consummation
devoutly, if secretly, wished by many a Western ally -- would be catastrophic
for Australia and for the world.
When Australian
ambassadors in Washington express support for the United States, it is heartfelt
and unalloyed, never the "yes, but" of the other allies, perfunctory
support followed by a list of complaints, slights and sage finger-wagging.
Australia understands America's role and is sympathetic to its predicament
as reluctant hegemon. That understanding has led it to share foxholes with
Americans from Korea to Kabul. They fought with us at Tet and now in Baghdad.
Not every engagement has ended well. But every one was strenuous, and many
quite friendless. Which is why America has such affection for a country whose
prime minister said after Sept. 11, "This is no time to be an 80 percent
ally" and actually meant it.
My wife was born
in Western Australian. It's three times larger than Texas. And it grows big
things. This is a mud crab:
My nephew got nipped trying to catch one of these things on an Australian
beach. |
This is him holding one at the Sydney Fish Market. It was alive and its
claws mercifully tethered.
|
The sign on the "highway." I like their priorities -proper order. |
My wife
and my sister, in southern Western Australia -- about as far as you can
get from New York, without going to the South Pole.
|
Australia has its own language. Chooks are chickens. To hire is to rent. To
blow through is to go away. Being a dole bludger is someone who lives on unemployment
benefits, even though work is available. Everything gets done in due time, "No
worries, mate."
These two are Sydney streetsweepers. They carry walkie talkies. If there's an
emergency, head office can contact them immediately. "What sort of emergency?"
I asked. They answered, "Someone might spill a bin of papers on the street.
We have to get over there and clean it up." I don't make this stuff up!
I found some bonzer (great) money managers in Australia. I'm giving them some
money. I also found one stock I really like, Kagara Zinc (KZL.AU). I'll
write more about it on Monday. For now, I got major jet lag.
Footnote:
* ASX code: XMJ
The GICS Materials Sector encompasses a wide range of commodity-related
manufacturing industries. Included in this sector are companies that manufacture
chemicals, construction materials, glass, paper, forest products and related
packaging products, and metals, minerals and mining companies, including producers
of steel. GICS Materials aggregates many sectors from the ASX classification
system, Gold, Other Metals, Diversified Resources, Building Materials, Chemicals,
Paper and Packaging and some of the Diversified Industrials.
Australian
quizes:
Q: What do you call a boomerang that does not come back?
A: A stick.
Q: How many Australian men does it take to change a light bulb?
A: None. It's women's work, mate.
Q: What is the difference between an Australian wedding and an Australian funeral?
A: One fewer drunk at the funeral.
Q: What's the
Australian male's idea of foreplay ?
A: Get ready, Sheila (Australia's universal word for woman).
Wimbledon
Tennis is on:
2006
Wimbledon TV schedule
|
June
30
|
7-8
a.m. (live)
|
Preview
show |
ESPN2
|
June
30
|
8
a.m.-2:55 p.m. (live)
|
Early-round
coverage |
ESPN2
|
June
30
|
6:30-9
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
1
|
3-5
a.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
1
|
8
a.m.-noon (live)
|
Early-round
coverage |
ESPN2
|
July
1
|
12-3
p.m.
|
Early-round
coverage |
NBC
|
July
1
|
3-6
p.m.
|
Early-round
coverage |
ESPN2
|
July
1
|
8-10:30
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
2
|
3-5
a.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
2
|
Noon-3
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
NBC
|
July
2
|
4-7
p.m.
|
Highlight
show (Week 1) |
ESPN2
|
July
3
|
2-3:30
a.m.
|
Highlight
show (Week 1) |
ESPN2
|
July
3
|
7-8
a.m. (live)
|
Preview
show |
ESPN2
|
July
3
|
8-10
a.m. (live)
|
Round
of 16 |
ESPN2
|
July
3
|
10
a.m.-1 p.m.
|
Round
of 16 |
NBC
|
July
3
|
1-6
p.m. (live)
|
Round
of 16 |
ESPN2
|
July
3
|
8:30-11
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
3
|
11:35-11:50
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
NBC
|
July
4
|
2:30-5
a.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
4
|
7-8
a.m. (live)
|
Preview
show |
ESPN2
|
July
4
|
8-10
a.m. (live)
|
Women's
quarterfinals |
ESPN2
|
July
4
|
10
a.m.-1 p.m.
|
Women's
quarterfinals |
NBC
|
July
4
|
1-5
p.m. (live)
|
Women's
quarterfinals |
ESPN2
|
July
4
|
7-9:30
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
4
|
11:35-11:50
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
NBC
|
July
5
|
2:30-5
a.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
5
|
7-8
a.m. (live)
|
Preview
show |
ESPN2
|
July
5
|
8-10
a.m. (live)
|
Men's
quarterfinals |
ESPN2
|
July
5
|
10
a.m.-1 p.m.
|
Men's
quarterfinals |
NBC
|
July
5
|
1-5
p.m. (live)
|
Men's
quarterfinals |
ESPN2
|
July
5
|
7-9:30
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
5
|
11:35-11:50
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
NBC
|
July
6
|
3-5
a.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
6
|
7-8
a.m. (live)
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
6
|
8
a.m.-noon
|
Women's
semifinals |
ESPN2
|
July
6
|
Noon-5
p.m.
|
Women's
semifinals |
NBC
|
July
6
|
8-10
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
6
|
11:35-11:50
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
NBC
|
July
7
|
3-5
a.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
7
|
7-8
a.m. (live)
|
Preview
show |
ESPN2
|
July
7
|
8
a.m.-noon (live)
|
Men's
semifinals |
ESPN2
|
July
7
|
Noon-5
p.m.
|
Men's
semifinals |
NBC
|
July
7
|
8-10
p.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
7
|
11:35
p.m.-12:05 a.m.
|
Highlight
show |
NBC
|
July
8
|
3-5
a.m.
|
Highlight
show |
ESPN2
|
July
8
|
9
a.m.-2 p.m. (live)
|
Women's
final |
NBC
|
July
8
|
2-3
p.m.
|
SportsCenter
women's final (postmatch) |
ESPN2
|
July
9
|
9
a.m.-3 p.m. (live)
|
Men's
final |
NBC
|
July
9
|
3-4
PM
|
SportsCenter
men's final (postmatch) |
ESPN2
|
Have a great weekend.
Harry
Newton
This column is about my personal search for the perfect investment.
I don't give investment advice. For that you have to be registered with regulatory
authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter and an investor. I make my daily
column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available for three reasons: Writing
is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second, the column is research for
a book I'm writing called "In Search of the Perfect Investment."
Third, I encourage my readers to send me their ideas, concerns and experiences.
That way we can all learn together. My email address is .
You can't click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects me
from software scanning the Internet for email addresses to spam. I have no role
in choosing the Google ads. Thus I cannot endorse any, though some look mighty
interesting. If you click on a link, Google may send me money. Please note I'm
not suggesting you do. That money, if there is any, may help pay Claire's law
school tuition. Read more about Google AdSense, click
here and here.
Go back.
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