Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Newton's In Search Of The Perfect Investment. Technology Investor.
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8:30 AM EST, Monday, March 12, 2007: I've
taken a long weekend. I'm in Hilton Head, South Carolina. Nice weather. Nicely
managed. They celebrated St. Patricks Day yesterday -- five days early. Seems
to fit their business schedule better. Hard to get excited about investing when
the weather is so perfect for tennis.
Lex writes a
respected column in the London Financial Times (the pink newspaper).
His latest column on the stockmarket is interesting. He is concerned about the
slowing U.S. economy:
What a difference
a mini-correction can make. Not so long ago, financial markets might have
shrugged off last weeks readings on the US economy as mildly worrying,
if not very noteworthy. Growth in the service sector slowed to the lowest
level in almost four years. Factory orders had their biggest decline in more
than six years, following hard on the heels of dismal durable goods orders.
Labour productivity
growth for non-farm businesses fell to 1.6 per cent in 2006, the lowest level
since 1997. That fits the trend of the past four years and suggests the rate
at which the US economy can grow without triggering inflation has declined.
Even the weeks more cheerful data-points, payrolls and trade data, contained
some warnings.
A slight fall
in imports is no sign of domestic resilience and supply constraints
might well dampen exports, even if demand in the rest of the world remains
strong. Similarly, a tight labour market and rising wages further strengthen
the case against an interest rate cut, making a recovery in sectors such as
construction a distant prospect.
Worse still,
most of the payrolls reports cyclical gauges, from manufacturing to
working hours, remain weak. Aggregate employment, moreover, typically lags
growth trends, while most of the jobs created lately continue to reflect the
steady hiring by sectors less exposed to a slowdown, such as education, healthcare
and government.
Needless to
say, indicators are notoriously volatile, revision prone, or both. But that
they provided support for a neat little recovery on Wall Street says a lot
about how little it takes these days to reassure investors. Conventional wisdom
still has it that the sky would need to fall in to make US equities look wholly
unappealing. With corporate profitability near record levels, however, slower
growth and rising wages might prove all it takes. And the odds of that happening
before too long are shortening.
Little
tests. Big implications: A fellow is trying to sell me on investing
in his company. He gets me down to his office. But forgets to tell me that the
promised demo isn't ready. He finally gets the demo ready, calls me and invites
me down. I wonder why he doesn't bundle his device up and bring it to me? Or
figure a better way to sell me. I worry when CEOs show so little sales ability.
I always return to the statistics: the bulk of startups don't make it, and often
because the execs fall in love their technology / their idea and forget about
acquiring serious sales and marketing skills.
Switching
to a Mac.
My readers emailing me how ecstatic they are
that they switched to a Mac. All are universally unhappy with the constant housekeeping
Windows PCs require -- from reloading software, reformatting disks, to updating
virus protection and chasing out spyware -- and, their favorite, blue and black
screens of death.
What's
amazing to me also are the number of computer editors switching to Macs and
writing about their experiences. This is amazing to me because over 90% of their
readers use PCs. You'd think they'd care. But it's as though the PC press is
on a mission to convert everyone to Macs. The latest: ComputerWorld editor and
Windows expert Scot Finnie recently gave the Mac a three-month trial as his
primary machine for work and home use. Now he's hooked. Read about his experiences
in Part
1, Part
2 and Part
3 of his "Mac trial" series.
The
best mouse is the Intellimouse Explorer 4.0:
Reasons I love this mouse.
1. It's correctly shaped for right-handed people.
2. It has two useful buttons (left and right click) and one really useful wheel
for scrolling up and down web pages. You can push the scroll side to side, scrolling
your page side to side -- great for Excel spreadsheets. If you push the scrollwheel,
you have another button. I use this one for deleting unwanted emails etc..
3. It comes with great, non-intrusive software, which lets you speed everything
up -- from the rate the mouse moves across the page to the speed of the scrolling.
I have everything on "maximum." It works great.
4. Finally, I tested about ten of the things, including two trackballs from
Kensington which were awful.
The reason I've suddenly become obsessed with mice is that I have always used
the pointing stick in the middle of Toshiba's (and Lenovo's) keyboards. But
lately I've been getting cramps in my hand using the pointing stick. I have
no problems with the mice. The cheapest way to buy the mouse is to buy five
of them for $129. Give some to your friends. They'll appreciate them. Click
here.
Tennis
on TV this week starts on Wednesday:
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Pacific
Life Open Tennis on ESPN2
played in Indian Wells, California (near Palm Springs)
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Date
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Start
Time (PST)
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Wed,
March 14
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11:00am
- 3:00pm
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Live
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Early
Round Coverage
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Wed,
March 14
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6:00pm
- 8:00pm
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Live
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Early
Round Coverage
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Thu,
March 15
|
11:00pm
- 1:00am
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Delay
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Early
Round Coverage
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Thu,
March 15
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11:00am
-3:00pm
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Live
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Rd
of 16 or Quarters
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Thu,
March 15
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7:00pm
-9:00pm
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Live
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Round
of 16 or Quarters
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Fri,
March 16
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11:00pm
-1:00am
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Delay
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Round
of 16 or Quarters
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Fri,
March 16
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11:00am
-3:00pm
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Live
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Men's
Quaterfinal
Women's Semifinal
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Fri,
March 16
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7:00pm
-9:00pm
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Live
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Men's
Quarterfinal
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Sat,
March 17
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12:00pm
-4:00pm
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Live
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Men's
Semifinal
Women's Final
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Sun,
March 18
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12:30am
-2:30am
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Delay
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Men's
Semifinal
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Sun,
March 18
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12:00pm
-2:00pm
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Live
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Men's
Final
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Breakfast
talk
At the breakfast table a woman grumbled to her husband. "Our
new neighbor told me her husband has sex with her every day. Why can't you do
that?"
"Without
missing a beat, he answered, "Honey, I hardly know the woman."
Lawyer
jokes (deserved by my recent experiences with a bunch of bad bankruptcy
lawyers)
Have you heard
about the lawyers' word processor?
No matter What font you select, everything come out in fine print.
They're replacing
rats with lawyers in lab experiments:
1. They breed faster.
2. They are less messy.
3. You don't get personally attached to them.
4. There are also some things rats just won't do.
Why does New Jersey
have more toxic waste dumps while California has more lawyers?
New Jersey got first choice.
A newly deceased
lawyer goes to heaven and complains that at 52 he's too young
to die.
"That's strange," says St. Peter, "According to your time sheets,
you're 105."
What do you need
when you have three lawyers up to the necks in concrete?
Answer: More concrete.
This column is about my personal search
for the perfect investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have
to be registered with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter
and an investor. I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available
for three reasons: Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second,
the column is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the
Perfect Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their
ideas, concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email
address is .
You can't click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects
me from software scanning the Internet for email addresses to spam. I have no
role in choosing the Google ads. Thus I cannot endorse any, though some look
mighty interesting. If you click on a link, Google may send me money. Please
note I'm not suggesting you do. That money, if there is any, may help pay Claire's
law school tuition. Read more about Google AdSense, click
here and here.
Go back.
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