Harry Newton's In Search of The Perfect Investment
Newton's In Search Of The Perfect Investment. Technology Investor.
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8:30 AM Wednesday, March 22, 2006: Investments
I've looked at in recent days include a distress real estate fund, a commercial
real estate syndicate fund, lending on a rental-to-condominium conversion in
Phoenix and Vanguard mutual funds in Australia. Excluding the Vanguard fund,
none involve listed securities. The moral here remains twofold. First, you got
to search out and kiss a lot of frogs before you find The Perfect Investment.
Second, that "perfect investment" is not always a stock exchange listed
security.
Today's stock "plays" are short-term, momentum based. Right now Pandemic
Flu stocks (see yesterday's column) are hot. I'm looking for others.
Microsoft delays Vista. A
day or so after the trade press bitched that Vista (the new Windows) killed
laptop batteries, Microsoft killed Vista for another six months or so. Microsoft
had originally targeted late November -- the start of the holiday shopping season.
Now it won't be out until 2007 sometime. Microsoft shares took a hit:
Ditto for Intel:
The reason I mention
this is to repeat what I've been saying about these BIG computer companies:
1. They have become so big, it's impossible for them to get out of their own
way. Everything they do is slow, delayed, and uninspiring.
2. The cost of funding employee stock options has eaten away their shareholder
capital. Check out Intel, Dell and Texas Instruments. Read Gretchen
Morgenson. Click
here.
3. There is no heady IT boom -- like there was in the 1990s. Don't let anyone
tell you otherwise. Worse, computer prices continue to fall -- down 15% in the
last year alone.
In short, don't waste your time with even thinking about getting back into old
computer favorites.
Not
that you ever believed their "research," but... Wall
Street continues to reduce what it spends on researching stocks.
Today's news: Morgan Stanley plans to cut 50
to 60 stock-research jobs in the U.S. and Europe, reallocating some of the resources
to faster growing Asian and emerging markets. The jobs equal 7%
of the Wall Street firm's global stock-research headcount of 800 people. The
firm also plans to curtail "maintenance" research and emphasize more
"distinct," higher-value reports.
You and I should never believe Wall Street's stock recommendations since that
"research" remains tainted with corporate investment banking, which
is a business a million times more profitable than buying and selling stocks
for the likes of you and me.
Google
has started Google Finance: The only unique
thing about Google's finance site is that it doesn't have ads -- for now. There's
no original content. Google culls all its content from some place else, including
Yahoo! Finance, the web's most popular financial site. I'm not excited. Google
is having a rough time finding ways to make money -- other than web site ad
clickthroughs, its traditional business.
Don't
allow your bags to be transferred between flights. Take them off.
Then check them in. That's the moral of this story.
GENEVA (Reuters)
- Some 30 million pieces of airline luggage -- about one percent of
the bags passengers check in -- will go astray this year. ... The chief cause
of late-arriving bags was mishandling when luggage is transferred between
flights. This accounted for 61% of hold-ups in 2005. Next came
failure to load bags at the original departure point, which made up 15 percent
of delays. The attaching of incorrect destination tags at check-in accounted
for just 3%.
Genuine
bargain:
I love this screen. To buy it, click
here.
Fun
cartoons as Passover (April 12) gets closer:
Should children witness childbirth?
Due to a snow storm and power outage, only one paramedic responded
to the call. The house was very, very dark, so the paramedic asked Kathleen,
a 3-year-old girl, to hold the light high over her mommy so he could see while
he delivered the baby. Very diligently Kathleen did as she was asked.
Her mother Heidi
pushed and pushed, and after a little while Connor was born. The paramedic lifted
him by his little feet and spanked him on his bottom. Connor began to cry. The
paramedic then thanked Kathleen for her help and asked the wide-eyed 3-year-old
what she thought about what she had just witnessed.
Kathleen quickly
responded, "He shouldn't have crawled in there in the first place. Smack
his butt again."
Harry Newton
This column is about my personal search for the perfect
investment. I don't give investment advice. For that you have to be registered
with regulatory authorities, which I am not. I am a reporter and an investor.
I make my daily column -- Monday through Friday -- freely available for three
reasons: Writing is good for sorting things out in my brain. Second, the column
is research for a book I'm writing called "In Search of the Perfect
Investment." Third, I encourage my readers to send me their ideas,
concerns and experiences. That way we can all learn together. My email address
is . You can't
click on my email address. You have to re-type it . This protects me from software
scanning the Internet for email addresses to spam. I have no role in choosing
the Google ads. Thus I cannot endorse any, though some look mighty interesting.
If you click on a link, Google may send me money. Please note I'm not suggesting
you do. That money, if there is any, may help pay Claire's law school tuition.
Read more about Google AdSense, click
here and here.
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