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Brexit and Orlando: Consequences for all of us

The yield on the 10-year benchmark German bund fell into negative territory for the first time ever this morning on concerns over next week’s U.K. referendum to exit the European Union called, Brexit.

If Brexit happens, it will be an economic disaster for Europe. The Brexit fear is affecting us also, as reflected in the spiking of VIX:

VIXSpikedHere you can see what happens when the VIX spikes. Compare these two charts:
S&PSpikes
Our presently fearful market is great for day trading and potentially great for picking up bargains. Put in orders for your favorite stocks at 10% below last night’s close. You never know what you might be lucky enough to snag in the next few days.
Orlando
I feel sorrow for the Orlando victims. I also feel sorrow for us and what we are becoming as a society.
This is an AR-15 of the type the Orlando shooter used to kill 49 people and injure 53.
AR15
More than five million of these deadly military weapons are in private hands in the U.S. At least 800,000 are sold each year in the United States. They’re very easy to buy.
CNBC has been running a one hour documentary called:
AmericasGun
Watch it if you can. It’s a very balanced view on why and how Americans are buying these deadly weapons. The AR-15 is flying off gun shop shelves.
After the Orlando shootings, President Obama asked Americans to decide what type of society we wanted to become.
Yesterday John Cassidy wrote a piece in the New Yorker: Gun laws and terrorism: An American nightmare. It contained these three paragraphs, which paint a picture of where we are going as a society:
Four days after the San Bernardino shootings, President Obama delivered a prime-time address from the Oval Office, in which he said that Farook and Malik “had gone down the dark path of radicalization, embracing a perverted interpretation of Islam that calls for war against America and the West.” Obama called on Congress to “make sure no one on a no-fly list is able to buy a gun,” and added, “What could possibly be the argument for allowing a terrorist suspect to buy a semi-automatic weapon? This is a matter of national security.”
The Republican-controlled Congress ignored these words, just as it had frustrated the Obama Administration’s efforts to strengthen gun laws after the Sandy Hook massacre, which took place in December, 2012. “Sandy Hook marked the end of the US gun control debate,” Dan Hodges, a British journalist, tweeted in June of last year. “Once America decided killing children was bearable, it was over.”
If Hodges was right and the United States will never take action on gun control, then it is heading toward a future where much of the country is a fortified camp, with stricter rules governing who is allowed in, heavily armed police permanently patrolling urban hubs, more public buildings adopting airport-style security, and many more millions of guns sold, as alarmed citizens seek to protect themselves and their families against a perceived threat.

You can read Cassidy’s entire piece here.  Please watch the CNBC special. It shows you alarmed US citizens seeking to protect themselves and their families against a threat they perceive.

I am outraged on two levels this morning: First, the ease of obtaining military fire power like the AR-15 and Second, the abject failure of U.S. intelligence. They knew about the Orlando shooter. They had questioned him. Yet no flag went up when he recently bought the two weapons and many magazines of ammunition to wreak the carnage he did last Saturday night — the worst mass shooting in America’s history.

This story on the failure of US intelligence came from a respected Israeli web site called Debka. Read it and be mortified. Here’s their entire story:

US intelligence misses cues to terror – again

Omar Mir Seddique Mateen, a US Muslim citizen aged 29, son of Afghan migrants, perpetrated the deadliest shooting attack in American history on June 12, when he massacred 50 people and injured 53 at the Pulse gay club in Orlando, Florida, with an AR 15 assault rifle and a Glock 17 handgun.

The guns were purchased legally a few days earlier at a local shop. This alone ought to have alerted the various US intelligence and surveillance agencies responsible for countering terrorism – except that, for lack of coordination, they missed the fact that a man twice questioned by the FBI was suddenly loading up on deadly weapons.

Mateen fit the profile of an Islamic terrorist, whose attributes the incumbent US administration consistently refuses to acknowledge: He was a Muslim, whose Afghan immigrant father is a Taliban supporter; a religious extremist, who recently made the pilgrimage to Mecca; he was divorced, known for violence, and licensed as a security officer to carry a gun.

The Orlando killer had long been overdue for close monitoring – or least a flag to prevent him from working as a security officer or carrying arms.

In 2013-14, the FBI interviewed him after he made “inflammatory remarks” to a colleague, before closing its investigation.

In 2014, the FBI hauled him in again over a connection with Moner Mohammad Abu-Salha, a 22-year old Palestinian American. They had grown up together at the small Florida coastal town of Fort Pierce. Abu Salha went off to Syria, joined the al Qaeda-linked Nusra Front and killed himself in a suicide attack by driving a massive truck bomb into a restaurant filled with Syrian government soldiers.

Yet the FBI against closed the file on Mateen after determining that the links between the two young Muslims did not warrant a full-dress inquiry.

Compiling all the known data on the Orlando killer with the results of the FBI interviews with him would have placed him high on the list of suspects and called in for further questioning.

The oversights of US law enforcement, intelligence and security agencies recur each time Islamist terrorists strike. The Ramadan 2016 attack in Orlando showed that no lessons had been learned from the lapses that led to 9/11.

The FBI erred gravely in closing the case over the Mateen connection with the Palestinian American suicide bomber. This explains why senior FBI officials are down-playing the importance of that connection.

When he was exculpated, the federal authorities also discontinued electronic surveillance of the terrorist’s movements. So they missed his mounting extremism, his frequent attendance at a mosque led by a radical imam, who regularly incited his flock to murder (“Gays must die”). He thus kept his Security Officer’s ID which gave him access to secure government sites. His name was kept on the list of licensees for carrying firearms.

It is especially hard to understand the lackadaisical handling by federal agents of this prime suspect when the FBI Director James Comey was reiterating: “The Islamic State remains the top threat America is facing.”

Before entering the Pulse night club with the intent to slaughter those partying inside, Mateen called 911 and swore allegiance to the leader of the `Islamic State’s Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, and recalled Tamerlan and Dzhokhar, the brothers responsible for the 2013 Boston Marathon terror attack.

For 20 minutes, the dispatchers did not understand what he was saying and lost the chance to triangulate his cellular phone’s location and send police to nab him.

At the door of the club, he got into a brief exchange of fire with policeman before going in. Mateen went from room to room, firing well aimed semi-automatic rounds, killing tens of people, wounding tens more, and rounding up 30 people as hostages. He knew enough from his experience as a security guard to lock them in the restrooms which had no windows.

Long before the police, the city hall or any other official entity came to their senses, the club’s management sent a message via social networks: ‘Everyone get out of pulse and keep running.’

For three precious hours, dozens of police cars and ambulances, with FBI agents, dog handlers, special bomb disposal units, and other security officials huddled outside the club without doing anything. During those hours only a few shots sounded and many of those wounded lost their lives from blood loss and lack of medical treatment.

Only at 5 am, did the special anti-terror unit enter the scene, with one team using small detonators and firing at the terrorist to distract him, while a force of 9 officers blew up the opposite wall and broke a hole through which they could enter, fire and kill the terrorist. This entire event took 4 minutes.

Despite the three-hour wait, not enough ambulances had reached the scene, and some of the casualties had to be driven in civilian vehicles.

Mateen committed his murderous assault on the 300 partygoers at the Pulse club with ease, due to a number of factors:

+ US law enforcement agencies have shown inexplicable tolerance toward Islamist extremists to the point that the Orlando killer was free to purchase an unlimited amount of deadly weapons.

+ Due to lack of coordination between intelligence and law enforcement agencies, this killer was able to gain employment with a firm that trains its personnel in the use of firearms.

+ As soon as the local police were alerted to gunfire at the door of the club, they should have swarmed in to neutralize the killer. The three-hour wait for the SWAT team’s arrival betokened weakness and an unwillingness to fight, so leaving the horrendous event in the hands of the terrorist.

+ Pinning the dreadful episode on lack of gun control avoids the issue. Terrorists will always find murder weapons – if not guns, then homemade bombs like the Boston Marathon brothers, kitchen knives or vehicles. Even in countries with strict gun control, there is always a black market.

The best hearing aids/marriage savers

1. At home, I have Sennheiser headphones attached to each TV. I can hear TV loudly, clearly and in stereo.

SennheiserRS120  For the Sennheiser RS120 and wireless transmitting base for $58.95, click here.

2. At the theater. I always get headsets. They’re a lifesaver since they let you hear what actors say — especially when they’re speaking to each other, not the audience.

3. At the movie house. These days they all have loaner headsets, some of them excellent. Sadly, some movies don’t support headsets. I don’t know why.

 One day I’l discover a hearing aid which I can wear full-time. But not yet. Every one I’ve tried simply amplifies everything — especially irksome ambient noise.

The best dustbuster we own. It’s the $67.99 Black+Decker BDH2000PL MAX Lithium Pivot Vacuum, 20-volt.

Dustbuster20volts

It has three advantages. Compact size (it folds). Powerful suction (20 volts). No stupid filter bags to change. Click here.

HarryNewton

 

 

 

 

 
Harry Newton, looking happy in this old picture, but not feeling happy this morning.

 

 

6 Comments

  1. Angry_Dfns_Eng says:

    I think it is worth pointing out that while the AR15 looks like the full mil M16, the AR15 is not full auto. So the trigger must be pulled once for every shot. There are dozens of non military looking semi-auto sport rifles that don’t look at all like a slowed down version of some full military rifle. So what makes an AR15 so bad versus these other guns? Is it the pistol style grip? Is it the large capacity magazines? Is it the iron sites or plastic stocks? I don’t know. But to condem a rifle because it looks military seems off-base to me Harry. The shooter could have just as well walked in there with a semi auto “hunting” style rifle and fired just as many shots and done the same damage. Just like there are people who hunt with AR15s. As you pointed out there are millions of AR15s out there already. Perhaps the waiting period idea would have prevented this one, or not allowing some who has been interviewed by the FBI twice would have oriented it. But there are just as many crazy people that would have gone to a gun show and bought the same rifle and done something like this. I don’t think it will be easy to get the horse back in the barn on this issue.

    • Lowell Rapaport says:

      this is absolutely correct. while i am an advocate for firearm regulation, weapons should not be regulated based on what they look like or how ugly they are of some other cosmetic characteristic.

      regulation of firearms should be based on criteria such as weight and concealability, magazine size, firing rate and speed to reload, and the kinetic energy of each round.

  2. Paul Livingston says:

    Want to play the VIX? I see it as an emotional barometer that is extra volatile, but will never stay above $30 for more than a month. When it gets low something will come along to drive the fear emotions up and the UVXY price up. Buy UVXY in 100 share lots. Put in a sell call options just above the stock price one week out for at lease $1.00, the going price could be higher than $1.00 When a peak price forms buy puts to ride the price back down when the new pain either subsides or the market learns to live with it.

  3. Jerry says:

    You know what I take exception to? The news referring to a gay nightclub as “a war zone.” I am a brave American who fought in an actual war zone and a group of sweaty, shirtless men grooving to Gloria Gayner or Justin Timberlake thinking about who they want to hook up with is not a war zone. A purple, velveted club with holes in the walls for men to stick their ( )s to get them ( )ed is not a war zone. The killing fields of outskirts Baghdad, that is a war zone. On this I am sure we can all agree.

    • bruuno says:

      Thanks for your service, Jerry..but none of the 43 places that hosted shootings on the same day in the US are war zones according to your definition, which sounds right. That does not give you my approval to vent homophobia willy-nilly..and it souds like homophobia played a big part in the shooting motivation. And I would not be surprised if some of those shirtless men served in war zones as well. And I’m not even gay, which I mention because one time it’s homophobia, another it’s racism, another it’s “pro-life”, another it’s… -all BS excuses to kill randomly. On this most sane people can agree.