Europe remains a mess. All markets are interwoven. Ten years ago, they weren’t. Hence diversification across market categories worked. It doesn’t now. Now you got to pick very carefully. Or stay in cash and bonds. My high dividend paying mortgage REITs are holding up. So is Con Edison, which also has no business in Europe.You don’t want to do business in Europe. And you don’t want to do business with Wall Street — see Andrew Ross Sorkin’s article below.
The message from travels?
1. Markets will remain volatile, difficult and probably depressed.
2. Your best investment is your own business. And now is a good time to start one. There are huge opportunities wherever you look. You see more of them when you travel. Good enthusiastic people who listen to their customers are the best. Those people are now available, newly unemployed.
Recommended reading:
+ The Sharp, Sudden Decline of America’s Middle Class. They had good, stable jobs – until the recession hit. Now they’re living out of their cars in parking lots. This is the story of what happens to people who lost it all. It’s very sad, and increasingly common. Capital preservation is one lesson. The second is the rainy day does come and it comes in buckets. For these people, The Great Recession was a rainy day beyond all rainy days. Click here.
+ The Scam Wall Street Learned From the Mafia. How America’s biggest banks took part in a nationwide bid-rigging conspiracy – until they were caught on tape. This is the story of how Wall Street ripped municipalities off for billions. As the piece by Matt Taibbi explains,
…These three Wall Street wiseguys spent the past decade taking part in a breathtakingly broad scheme to skim billions of dollars from the coffers of cities and small towns across America. The banks achieved this gigantic rip-off by secretly colluding to rig the public bids on municipal bonds, a business worth $3.7 trillion. By conspiring to lower the interest rates that towns earn on these investments, the banks systematically stole from schools, hospitals, libraries and nursing homes – from “virtually every state, district and territory in the United States,” according to one settlement. And they did it so cleverly that the victims never even knew they were being -cheated. No thumbs were broken, and nobody ended up in a landfill in New Jersey, but money disappeared, lots and lots of it, and its manner of disappearance had a familiar name: organized crime.
You can (and should read) the entire piece. Click here.
+ A Con Man Who Lives Between Truth and Fiction. A man ran a $450 million Ponzi scheme. Andrew Ross Sorkin flew down to visit him in jail. Writes Sorkin:
I was there to talk to him because his story is a cautionary tale of the highly sophisticated, often endemic, fraud that still lurks on Wall Street. People I spoke with who dealt with him are still mystified about the breach of trust and how no one had a clue about his deception until it was too late.
“Everyone cheats,” he said as a matter of fact.
Read the full piece here.
+ The New Rules of Sunscreen. The editors at Men’s Journal researched sun screens. “Forget all the misleading BS you’re heard about sunscreen,” they wrote, “Here’s all you need to know to find products that really work.” Click here.
Useful travel tips. The first travel tip is not to try uploading this column on Aer Lingus’s WiFi right at departure time. I stupidly did. And lost half of the copy and al the photos. hence I’m trying again with the tips
1. American Express platinum card will get you two business class seats for the price of one. It’s the bargain of the century. You can bargain with those airlines who don’t honor Amex’s platinum deal. In fact, you can bargain with everyone in today’s economy, including hotels and the poshest of retail stores. You must do your bargaining on the phone. the Internet is useless for bargaining.
2. When they open the door into your chosen hotel room immediately object (politely) and ask if they have a better one? They always do.
3. Get over your dislike of fat people. They’re everywhere. And they’re eating constantly, in airports, in restaurants, in hotels and outside eating huge ice cream cones. Here is scenic Shannon Airport.
4. Never eat main courses in restaurants. They’re too big. Order one appertiser, or a soup and an appertiser if you’re really famished. If you travel, you have to fight the need to eat and eat and eat. They don’t have zillions of tourist sites. But they do have zillions of restaurants.
5. Leave home all your credit cards and other ID stuff. You don’t need it. And it probably will get stolen. A friend got pickpocketed in a tram in Lisbon. The police said they knew the culprits but couldn’t prosecute because by the court date, all the victims (the tourists) had left. There are motorcycle-riding thieves in Phukkit, Thailand and Phnon Penh, Cambodia. A woman tourist got killed in Phukkit when a motorcycle thief accidentally stabbed her. Her carried to the knife to cut her handbag strap. Women should even carry a purse. They’re too vulnerable. Carry the important stuff around your neck inside your jacket.
6. Be wary of overhead bins. Everyone wrecks their shoulder and their back lifting cases into and out of them.Bend your knees when hoisting.
7. Most tourist traps are exactly that — traps. We visited Bunratty Castle, a sort of medieaval theme with a small, boring castle. There was only one way out.
The gift shop was bigger than the castle.
8. Make summer and winter lists of all the clothes you took last time, then edit for the next trip. Saves forgetting urgent stuff. Figure on two sets of underwear each day.
9. GPS often gets it wrong. Good idea to have a paper map for backup.
10. WiFi is ubiquitous. Free email is cheaper than pricey roaming phoning.
11. European car rentals can nickel and dime you to death. They wanted $12.50 a day for a second driver. Our rental price doubled for automatic transmission.
12. When you first log on to WiFi, always open a browser. Then do your email.Nothing will work until you open your browser and agree to their conditions.
13. Always ask your hotel for extra pillows. Beg for feather ones. You’ll sleep better.
14. Visit the gym. Even ten minutes running on the treadmill will make you feel better.
15. Don’t pay with your Visa or MasterCard. They charge 3%more for purchases overseas. With Amex, it’s free.
Favorite recent New Yorker cartoons:
Wimbeldon Tennis has started. It’s on ESPN, ESPN2 and The Tennis Channel. It runs most of the time — either in the original or in replays. For a full schedule, click here.
Harry Newton who finally switched to Windows 7 on his new, faster ThinkPad X220. Windows 7 seems to be faster and more reliable — I haven’t had an “out of memory” message yet. But it takes a little getting used to. It’s a bit stupid, too. I’ve found some replacement software for stuff that doesn’t work on Win 7, including SyncToy, free from Microsoft. It’s slow but seems to work. I also like PDF Exchange over the free, junky Adobe Reader which came with the machine.
Useful Irish toast: Here’s to our wives and girlfriends. May they never meet!







Harry Newton, you say markets will continue to be depressed. This is very close to what you said in the spring of 2009. Since ignoring the doom and gloomers at that time, and investing an amount in the mid six figures in the U.S. and international markets, I'm up, according to my calculations, about 107%. At no time in history has a three year period returned that rate. Yet if I had listened to you & the other perma bears, I wouldn't be sitting on this very large gain.
You talk out of both sides of your mouth. You preach doom & gloom, yet when you're wrong (as you always nearly are) you come on here and tout the few stocks on which you're long.
Earlier, you asked why I read you and I said that you are a good contrary indicator. I wasn't joking. You're not alone, it's the same reason I read the “experts” on Yahoo Finance. Also, there's a show called Fast Money on CNBC, where the guys are pretty much always wrong, especially when it comes to missing bottoms.
Because of your – and their – calls, I sunk more money into the market late Monday. We'll see what happens. But I am confident.
Fortunately there are some good stock callers (Warren Buffett, Jamie Dimond, the CEO of BlackRock to name three). But you, sir, are a silly Australian fool who should move back to Melbourne.
I accept being a silly Australian. and I accept that you're making a bundle at present. Can you help me? What would you recommend today?
Harry…please do not berate moderately fat people…I gained 30 pounds while on cancer treatment drugs for 3 years. It may not always be “what” you eat…I don't like looking at morbidly obese people either, but, I do think differently about them now.
Harry can be right about rates/fees on Visa and Mastercard. Some banks charge and some don't…check with your own bank well before leaving. M&I Bank do not add a transaction charge (last time I used them). Visa always charges 1% over what your bank charges. While out of the country you can easily check what Visa is using for “their” rate that day at:
http://usa.visa.com/personal/u… Foreign banks rarely charge to withdraw funds from their “Bank” ATMs…just always make sure it is a “Bank” ATM and not a stand alone such at the airport.
Call AMEX and ask them what they charge on the type of card you have…then decide. Very simple.I spend summers in Canada every year so I have a Canadian Funds account at (online bank) Everbank. I transfer US funds into my Canadian Funds account when I feel I can get the best exchange rate.Everbank charges me a flat 1%. Then I do a “free” bankwire transfer to Scotia Bank, when I need it. Scotia Bank charge a flat $10.00 for incoming bankwire transfers, no matter what the amount. Then I use their no fee debit card. AMEX charged me 3% on my Delta Gold Card in Canada.I only used it for a large purchase because I got double Delta air miles which was cheaper than purchasing them.
Good read as always Harry.
People come in all sizes. Some are large even with good diets. I think it is a little stubborn and one sided to take the view point you have. If you want to see lots of skinny people come to Washington State.
Why would you want to leave home all your credit cards when credit cards get you the best exchange rate even with the 3% fee? I was just in Europe and hardly anywhere I went accepted Amex…and I just got my Amex bill and they charged me fees so not sure you're right on that one.
Visa told me 3%. Amex platinum said free. I'll see when I get the bill. It's true Amex doesn't get accepted everywhere. so you need one Visa. Europe is very expensive. It's cheaper to vacation here.
Harry, your AMEX card might be free, but it depends on which card you have. I don't know the percentage, but for every transaction I make outside the US with my Amex Plum card (designed for small businesses) there is a fee.
I have a Presidential Plus Mastercard from United Airlines (chase), and that has no transaction fees, gives you lounge access (the best travel perk by far) and all the benefits, (apart from upgrades), of their “elite” class. The annual fee is far lower than Amex Platinum, and if you're a business that's always wrangling with cash-flow, AMEX's requirement to pay your bill in full each month can be painful. (PLUM gives you an extra 30 days, but no other perks like points)
Increasingly it seems to me that fewer places are accepting Amex. I assume it's because of their higher merchant fees.
I'm probably going to cancel my AMEX. There just doesn't seem to be any point in keeping it.
AMEX Platinum is free. And great for twofers on business class seats o international flights.